Keith and Kimmi are both goners.
Neither is attached to the season, story-wise.
Perhaps a bit of a boost for Kimmi following a Keith boot. But it's pretty clear to me that neither gets to the end.
Considering the other four:
Yes, Jeremy will get into the finals.
Jeremy will have to try hard to explain HOW he deserves to win. 2 Hidden idols will help. But no Immunities may taint things, as well, can he really explain his "control" of the game?
And I've known since episode 1 that Tasha would be in the finals too.
Tasha will have to atone for past digressions of character, both to the jury and to her god.
For me, it's between Kelley or Spencer for the win.
However, my thought is... self-admitted "journey" player, Spencer, will fall a skoosh short in planting himself into the finals. Great 2nd Chances journey but gone at F4.
And in this case, Kelley will not only have 2 idols to boast about, but her immunity wins and playing from the side of 'numbers dis-advantage' the whole time... will ultimately lead to a 'satisfying' winner, as she played the game the way it was meant to be played the whole time.