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"S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*"
tribephyl 12393 desperate attention whore postings
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10-28-15, 10:08 PM (EST)
 
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"S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*" |
Here is the depository for Ep. 07 VidCaps and the discussion of those VidCaps...
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings
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10-29-15, 09:01 AM (EST)
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2. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
LAST EDITED ON 10-29-15 AT 09:04 AM (EST)Thoughts: 1. The crab on the rock and barnacles is getting blindsided by the wave. Will the next elimination be another blindside? 2. While everyone is listening to Kass talk, Tasha, Ciera, Jeremy, Spencer, Savage, Fishbach, they all have a blank expression on their faces with the exception of.... 
Savage is so pissed, and he'll be out for revenge. He considered Kass to be nothing but a nice lady, boy was he blindsided! Then the other picture that is telling to me is this one: 
Will Savage stab her in the back? I remember Kass' first confessional. She was happy with the way she played the first time, as Kaos Kass. She said the only thing she wanted to do this time around was to play nice and fool everyone UNTIL the merge. From the promo, this sounds like she is one that is sticking to her own plan! The problem is that they are on to her. I guess the only thing we have to get past is, is this misdirection? Who else could be in trouble? Joe? We see he has a confessional in the promo and we know that Stephen is gunning for him.
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michel2 4531 desperate attention whore postings
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10-29-15, 02:53 PM (EST)
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3. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
Good point, FP. Another thing that I find interesting is that Kass is talking directly to Tasha, her original victim. Tasha and Savage have become very close. They could team up on her or Kass gets the numbers and they team up on Savaga and Tasha.
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PepeLePew13 26134 desperate attention whore postings
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10-29-15, 04:05 PM (EST)
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4. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
But the crab is still standing after being hit by that wave...
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings
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10-29-15, 04:41 PM (EST)
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5. "Crab" |
LAST EDITED ON 10-29-15 AT 04:55 PM (EST)But the crab is still standing after being hit by that wave... ....Well, maybe that is the key. Who ever is the biggest crab will weather the storm? Also, good points regarding Tasha and Kass, michel. Tasha is indeed close to Savage and what they did to him, will not sit well at all with Tasha. And, we know how she's playing this season, she's asking for forgiveness after she wins the million dollars!  That move last night could have a huge impact on this game. The girls + Spencer went rogue on Andrew Savage last night. Andrew was the leader of original Bayon. He had cultivated relationships with Kass, who he mentioned last night that he found her to be quite nice, and had never seen a bad side to her. He had also cultivated a relationship with Ciera. He had one with Abi as well, but Abi was not on his original tribe. The women going against him last night was a slap in the face, pure mutiny against him as a leader. He is going to be livid. With the merge, what happened last night will totally tear original Bayon in half. Sides will be taken, imo. And, the one that will gain the most out of this is Spencer. Kass and Ciera are in the F5 with Keith/Joe/Kelley Andrew Savage is solid with Jeremy/Tasha/Joe Those that could go either way?
Stephen: doesn't like Savage, but is with Jeremy and Kimmi
Kimmi: Likes Savage and Kass/Ciera
Abi: Likes Savage, but seems to like Kass/Ciera as well
Spencer: probably doesn't like any of them now, but anyone that is not him will do
Kelley: neutral, hasn't been with any of the ones in conflict.
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coldbrewer 370 desperate attention whore postings
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10-29-15, 05:44 PM (EST)
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7. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
Anyone notice the exasperated look on Kimmi's face, who is sitting next to Tasha?
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
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10-30-15, 01:41 AM (EST)
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9. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
LAST EDITED ON 10-30-15 AT 06:28 AM (EST)
Anyone notice the exasperated look on Kimmi's face ...
I did. And it may be important to remember Monica's boot in the light of that expression. Jeremy is concerned with keeping a phalanx of strong, male players as a shield against his own boot. So he isn't going to challenge Kimmi if she becomes annoyed enough with - or feels her prominent position in the Bayon pecking order threatened enough by - any player who doesn't fit that description - to lobby for her/his elimination.
Particularly since allowing Kimmi or other members of his alliance(s) to make those choices keeps Jeremy's hands - in comparison - clean. Sometimes the most expedient path to the $1,000, 000 is the one that a strong - and smart - player enables others to make for him. Example: Earl Cole. Who didn't win a single Challenge. And who received only a single vote. Until he got them all. Then there is also the fact that I said at the beginning of the Season that I thought that a Fire native would win the Game. I still do. And we're down to three: Keith, Andrew (who is really beginning to exasperate ... me) and Jeremy ...  Note: I don't think that it's coincidental - or irrelevant - that so many of the VidCaps of Jeremy include Stephen on his right and Kimmi on his left. Like so ...
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings
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10-30-15, 08:30 AM (EST)
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13. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
LAST EDITED ON 10-30-15 AT 08:31 AM (EST)Wow, those pics are great, G! Remember what Tina told us, pay attention to who is next to whom. Not only is Jeremy surrounded by his minions, Kimmi and Stephen, but look who is next to Savage, Abi and Tasha! Funny! Also, Spencer is next to his new BFF, Kass, and Kelley Went is next to Joe.
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Outsider32 584 desperate attention whore postings
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10-30-15, 09:24 PM (EST)
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20. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
Ciera is sitting in front of Spencer too. Hmm.........Kass and Ciera flip?
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 07:39 AM (EST)
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22. "RE: PostShow Promo" |
 Jeremy is sitting so pretty. It seems as though the Bayon tribe has revolved around him. Everyone comes back to Jeremy. Look at the above picture... He's got Stephen, Kimmi, and Tasha all around him. He was set up nicely with Andrew, Joe, Keith, and Tasha in the original Bayon, then he had his "family", with new BFF, Spencer, Stephen, Kimmi, and Kelly. Jeremy has had the luxury of keeping a low enough profile and letting his minions flesh out the drama and problem areas, as Kimmi did with Monica.
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
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11-02-15, 02:52 PM (EST)
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47. "For the Fun of Them ..." |
From my latest edit of Signs of Survival | Cambodia's Survivors (which really might be completely updated by showtime Wednesday) ...
Below are two (I think, hilarious) examples of the mayhem that a bored Aries can manage to make of just one little ... chicken:
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings
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10-30-15, 08:59 AM (EST)
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14. "RE: S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*" |
I bet Joe drew it?The first tree has a design on it, then a #12, 2 blank ones, then Savage, then a black sock with "LA", then CFD?, the LE, Fish, then a ying and yang, 2 blanks and Tasha...??
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suzzee 5961 desperate attention whore postings
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10-30-15, 11:45 AM (EST)
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17. "Keith" |
Keith is from Keithville, LouisanaKeithville, of all things. haha
I feel tingly all over
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
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10-30-15, 12:09 PM (EST)
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18. "RE: S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*" |
LAST EDITED ON 10-30-15 AT 01:27 PM (EST)
Jeremy is a member of the Cambridge Fire Department.
The #12 in Blue and Green could refer to the Seattle Seahawks' 12th Man. And Kelley Wentworth is from Seattle. Yin Yang is a symbol of Balance. And Joe is a Libra, the Zodiac Sign symbolized by The Scales. He also practices one or more of the Meditation Arts/Yoga Disciplines whose goal is to achieve/restore balance and harmony. So, Joe? Or Kelly? Whose Zodiac Sign is not Libra (she is a Cancer - The Crab) but who practices and teaches Yoga. The stylized (Aztec-like) flower on the far left could be Abi-Maria's?
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tribephyl 12393 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 01:22 PM (EST)
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24. "RE: S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*" |
Yeah, I don't see Kelly lasting long. I agree, her arm (and Stephen's arm) are out way too far. Their bicep will tire, causing the muscles to spasm and the arm to shake. The arm placement of all others (to a degree) looks better. Joe and Savage look solid. I'm interested in seeing how Joe's side stance works for him.
Keith and Jeremy look borderline. Jeremy actually looks too tense. Like he's using muscle strength to keep his arm "locked" in. And for me, Keith's stance is going to be a problem. His center of gravity should be placed OVER the wood. The ankle is the anchor to that center. His ankles are hanging over a bit and if not careful (or done for too long) will cause him to shake and possibly lose center of gravity, resulting in having to readjust faster which will cause the balls to over compensate. Keith is indeed good with his balls, but I don't see him winning this one. Besides, these are all from round 1. 1 big ball, 1st handhold, widest plank.
With Round 2 (2 medium balls, 2nd handhold, middle plank) and Round 3 (3 small balls, 3rd handhold, narrowest plank) I only see Joe, Savage and possibly Jeremy getting there. OF THESE 6. 
With the others...
Kimmi, Abi, Kass, Ciera, Spencer, Kelley and Tasha. As noted, this image is definitely from seconds after JP says "drop your hands..." Kimmi, Abi and Kelley are the last to accomplish it, so it's hard to tell how well or badly those three will do. (But I'll 'limb' it and say none of the three are our winner)
Kass and Spencer seem to have that arm too far out problem, Tasha and Ciera look pretty locked in.
I think the winner of the IC will be either Tasha, Ciera, Joe or Savage. Neither Jeremy or Keith will feel the need to push harder at this moment. With Joe and Savage still there, Jeremy should feel VERY safe. Joe and Savage are alpha beasts who don't want to be in danger when they go to TC. Ciera feels in danger and it's because Savage tossed her name under the bus last TC. She's gonna play hard just so she can beat Savage (and be secure). Tasha is, apparently, just that single minded. Goal = The End. No matter how many good things are neglected or bad things paid attention too. (She's gonna be doing a lot of penance when she gets home.)
Maybe the airing of dirty laundry between Kass and Tasha creates enough of a doubt in Tasha's head that she'll NEED to win this IC. On paper, Kass, Ciera, Joe, Kelley and Keith are still aligned, and they have since added Spencer to their ranks. Tasha, Savage and Abi are together and presumably, Savage and Tasha REjoin their alliance mate Jeremy. Who was kinda forced into aligning with Stephen and Kimmi. In this scenario, where would Kelly align herself?
But, as I see it... Old-Bayon is indeed split. Original alliance mates will hook back up and new alliances made since will falter. Joe, Savage, Keith, Jeremy and Tasha will be tight. Kelley may follow Joe, if that side has the numbers, and I think they will.
At that point, Kass, Spencer and Ciera MUST gain/maintain Abi and Kelly, as well as Stephen and Kimmi to get numbers.
But do Kimmi and Stephen feel most safe with the old-bayon? They're 6th and 7th no matter which side they choose, so they'll probably stick with the familiar. And while Kelly is pretty much up in the air as far as predicting where she'll go, Abi is fairly predictable when aligning, wherever she feels safest and most needed. Tasha and Savage have offered that to her already and don't appear to be turning it off, at least to Abi's perception. So I predict Abi falls in line behind Tahsa and Savage, along with all the rest of the Old-Bayon poweralliance.
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michel2 4531 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 02:08 PM (EST)
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25. "RE: S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*" |
"But, as I see it... Old-Bayon is indeed split. Original alliance mates will hook back up and new alliances made since will falter. Joe, Savage, Keith, Jeremy and Tasha will be tight. Kelley may follow Joe, if that side has the numbers, and I think they will."That is how I see it also, Tribe. I think Abi will join them because of Tasha. Spencer cannot stay with Kass too long either. I think it would be perfect Karma if "Chaos Kass", who came to life at the Cagayan merge, sees her survivor life come to an end at the Cambodian merge.
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 04:56 PM (EST)
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27. "RE: S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*" |
"But, as I see it... Old-Bayon is indeed split. Original alliance mates will hook back up and new alliances made since will falter. Joe, Savage, Keith, Jeremy and Tasha will be tight. Kelley may follow Joe, if that side has the numbers, and I think they will."
That is how I see it also, Tribe. I think Abi will join them because of Tasha. Spencer cannot stay with Kass too long either.I think it would be perfect Karma if "Chaos Kass", who came to life at the Cagayan merge, sees her survivor life come to an end at the Cambodian merge. Yes, I agree with you, gentlemen. I think Abi will stay with Savage and Tasha, and I think that Spencer will go back with Jeremy too, and I think Kelly will go with Spencer and Savage. So, the sides could end up something like this: Joe, Savage, Keith, Jeremy, Tasha, with the tag alongs ~ Stephen, Kimmi, Abi, Spencer, Kelly. I also think that Kelley will want to stay with Joe. So, where will Kass and Ciera fall? This will really be fun!
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Sheldor 4639 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 04:50 PM (EST)
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26. "S31E07 Press Image Timestamps" |
The Timestamps on the photos are not real useful now that the tribes have merged. I didn't have time to convert this code to display the Thumbnail Images with links to the Full Size images like Tribephyl did (THANKS!). I can edit this post later and change it to Thumbnail images with links but for now here are the Timestamps with Full Size Press Images (55 of them!) 55 Episode 7 Press Images on Survivor Fever at
http://www.survivorfever.net/s31_press_images_ep7.html Images 1-25 and 27-44 have time stamps.
Images 26-27 and 45-55 do NOT have time stamps. Images were resized smaller and lost their EXIF data Three Cameras
3 Monty Brinton Cameras- 2014 PST? +15:07 = ICT; Monty Brinton; Canon EOS 5D Mark III # WRONG YEAR
- 2015 PDT? +14:08 = ICT; Monty Brinton; Canon EOS 5D Mark III
- 2015 PDT? +27:00 = ICT; Monty Brinton; Canon EOS-1D X # WRONG AM/PM should be PM
Tue Jun 16, 2015
106607_D27618.JPG 06/15/2014 08:00 PM -> Camera 1 +15:07 = 06/16/2015 11:07 AM ICT
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106607_D26925.JPG 06/15/2014 08:32 PM -> Camera 1 +15:07 = 06/16/2015 11:39 AM ICT
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106607_D26932.JPG 06/15/2014 08:32 PM -> Camera 1 +15:07 = 06/16/2015 11:39 AM ICT
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106607_D27769.JPG 06/15/2015 09:18 AM -> Camera 3 +27:00 = 06/16/2015 12:18 PM ICT
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106607_D27837.JPG 06/15/2015 09:27 AM -> Camera 3 +27:00 = 06/16/2015 12:27 PM ICT
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106607_D29229.JPG 06/16/2015 06:59 PM -> Camera 2 +14:08 = 06/17/2015 09:07 AM ICT
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106607_D29949.JPG 06/16/2015 08:04 PM -> Camera 2 +14:08 = 06/17/2015 10:12 AM ICT
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106607_D30027.JPG 06/16/2015 08:10 PM -> Camera 2 +14:08 = 06/17/2015 10:12 AM ICT
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106607_D30449.JPG 06/17/2014 07:28 PM -> Camera 1 +15:07 = 06/18/2015 10:35 AM ICT
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106607_D30571.JPG 06/17/2014 07:41 PM -> Camera 1 +15:07 = 06/18/2015 10:48 AM ICT
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suzzee 5961 desperate attention whore postings
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11-02-15, 02:43 PM (EST)
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46. "RE: S31E07 Press Image Timestamps" |
LAST EDITED ON 11-02-15 AT 02:44 PM (EST)The wheels are turning in his head, seems to be really assessing her and not necessarily in a good light either.
I feel tingly all over
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 06:39 PM (EST)
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28. "Tasha's Napkin " |
In sequence ...
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 08:35 PM (EST)
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31. "RE: Tasha's Napkin " |
It is all about angles, I suppose ... But it doesn't seem to me that the cup and the something look as though they were that far apart.
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michel2 4531 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 09:16 PM (EST)
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32. "RE: Tasha's Napkin " |
You're right. We'll have to see if it's anything. It would be dumb to add a third idol now but since they are that dumb...
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
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10-31-15, 09:40 PM (EST)
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33. "RE: Tasha's Napkin " |
To add a bit of intrigue ... Below is the last of the Press Images of the feast according to Kona and Mayan Sun at MESS (we don't have it here). And missing are Tasha and Kimmi. Who were sitting beside each other on the tarp.
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tribephyl 12393 desperate attention whore postings
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11-01-15, 02:33 AM (EST)
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36. "RE: Tasha's Napkin " |
I love your eyes, G, but I have to agree with michel's earlier assumption.
 
When comparing, as you did, I noticed that with your placement of key items, the stick was "missing" as well as the something. IOW, if the something is missing because of her drink cup, then where is the stick that is visible above her cup?
So, I offer another comparison...
The white on the ground, the white-node on the stick, the gromit and the other small white stick under the tarp all match up quite perfectly. In essence, the "something" is actually the "stick" seen above Tasha's cup. (It is weird placement for a drinking cup though.)
While I don't doubt that an HI clue will be hidden within the merge feast items, or that Tasha might indeed find it, but I don't think this particular theory is solid evidence it DOES happen.
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
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11-01-15, 04:08 AM (EST)
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37. "RE: Tasha's Napkin " |
LAST EDITED ON 11-01-15 AT 06:52 AM (EST)Well, I'm not too in love with my eyes right now, but the memory is a lot of fun ...
Eliza: This isn’t it. This isn’t it. This is so stupid. This is just a napkin. Oh my God. This isn’t it.
Eliza: Jason! Come here ... Eliza: That’s not the idol! Jason: What is it? Eliza: It’s a f***ing stick! Jason: I know! It has a face on it! Don’t worry. Eliza: It's not the Idol! Jason: Why not? Eliza: Because it’s just a stick! Jason: I know. You think so? Eliza: I think that that’s not the idol. Jason: Then … that’s a bummer ...
With my apologies to you, Michel and Outsider, thank you ... G PS: Now could you work on what she's sitting on? 'Cause I think that I can safely say that it isn't a ... stick.
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michel2 4531 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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11-01-15, 10:38 AM (EST)
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40. "It's a f**** Stick...But..." |
...didn't Jeff say before the season began that some immunity idols will not look like idols? If i remember that correctly then that stick could be the idol.
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"
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11-01-15, 11:40 AM (EST)
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41. "RE: It's a f**** Stick...But..." |
LAST EDITED ON 11-01-15 AT 12:09 PM (EST)He did! And if you'll just give me a few moments, I'll crop the image, enlarge the area, circle the beautifully carved ... stick ... and ... describe the Asian facial features and ornate Cambodian headdress that I now see on what I'm now sure must be ... an Idol! ...
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michel2 4531 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Stuff Magazine Centerfold"
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11-01-15, 01:14 PM (EST)
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42. "RE: It's a f**** Stick...But..." |
Well...if it has a face on it then...!!!
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Outsider32 584 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"
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11-01-15, 00:15 AM (EST)
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34. "RE: Tasha's Napkin " |
It might be a shadow from the sun?
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"
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11-01-15, 05:47 AM (EST)
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38. "RE: S31 | VidCap Analysis | Ep. 07 *no sources*" |
LAST EDITED ON 11-01-15 AT 11:56 AM (EST)As several posters at Survivor Sucks have noted ... In the new CBS Preview of Play to Win, Joe appears to be wearing the Immunity Necklace ...
Doesn't he?
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Georganna 693 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"
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11-02-15, 03:49 PM (EST)
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48. "RE: Joe wins IMMUNITY!" |
So, One mystery solved! But ... We also know that we are about to see Kass's brand of chaos once again. But, we don't know just what the lady is about to do: You've noted that there might be an outstanding connection between her birthday gift to Kelley and something having to do with Idols later. And, reportedly (I apologize, I just don't have a link), Jeff Varner said in an exit interview that Kass would do something memorable later in the Season that he was really looking forward to watching. And it seems to me that these photos may capture a moment when she does something - or takes *something from her bag - that appears to involve Savage ... and make everyone other than Stephen, Spencer and Abi-Maria - including Jeff Probst ... uncomfortable ...? *Probably, a stick ... G
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Flowerpower1 4375 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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11-02-15, 07:57 PM (EST)
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49. "Breakdown of 2 warring sides..." |
Spencer is telling us, right now there are 2 warring sides. Let's figure this out! Ciera: I'm going for the jugular.
Kass: You just unleashed the beast! Vs. Andrew: You just woke up a raging bull. Where will the daws land, which side will they take? If Savage is one of leaders of one side, I would bet that Tasha, Jeremy, Kimmi, Kelly are solidly with him... With Kass and Ciera: Should be Joe, Kelley, Keith, Stephen (Stephen does not like Savage) Abi: She's neutral. But, right now she appears to be with Kass/Ciera, but could go with Tasha/Andrew.
Spencer: Played with Kass last episode, but if he is no longer on the bottom I think he will go with Jeremy
Joe, Keith, and Kelley: They all have an F5 with Kass/Ciera, BUT, they are also in good with Savage and Jeremy. I bet that Ciera and Kass think they have the numbers with Joe, Keith, Kelley, Spencer, Stephen, and Abi. But, I bet when push comes to shove that Joe, Kelley, Abi, and Spencer will vote with Savage and Jeremy, leaving possibly the final factions as: Ciera/Kass/Keith/Stephen vs. Savage/Jeremy/Tasha/Kimmi/Joe/Kelley/Spencer/Abi/Kelly
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Outsider32 584 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator"
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11-02-15, 09:23 PM (EST)
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50. "RE: Breakdown of 2 warring sides..." |
With that promo I have to think Tasha might be the target that doesn't go.
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