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"Confessionals Tracker S31"
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Flowerpower1 4361 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"

12-10-15, 10:45 PM (EST)
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43. "Episode 13"
LAST EDITED ON 12-10-15 AT 10:48 PM (EST)

Since it's the last time the confessionals can be used, I thought I would churn them out. After last week, I really believed that Abi would be the next one to go. I let myself be persuaded however by Keith and his challenge prowess...hehhehhehehehe, SPIT! Speaking of Keith, did you notice they zeroed in on him in the promo with a big spit exclamation point?!

Here is the last confessional tracker before the finale:

episode            | I | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10| 11| 12| 13 |total
Spencer T/B/T | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5$| 4 | 44
Kelley T/T/B | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1$| 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 33
Jeremy B/B/B | 1$| 1 | 1 | 3 | 2$| 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 27
Abi-Maria T/A/T | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | . | . | . | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25X
Tasha B/A/B | 1$| 1 | . | 4 | 3 | 2 | . | 2 | . | 1 | 2 | . | 3 | 6 | 25
Keith B/T/B | . | 2 | . | . | . | 1 | . | 1 | 1 | . | 2$| . | 1 | 3 | 11
Kimmi B/B/B | 1 | 1 | . | . | . | 2 | . | . | 1 | 1 | 2 | . | 2 | . | 10

Eliminated
F20 Vytas T | 0 | 2 | 2X
F19 Shirin T | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6X
F18 Peih-Gee T/A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6X
F17 Jeff T/A | 1 | 2 | 5$| 3 | 2 | 13X
F16 Monica B/B | . | 1 | . | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5X
F15 Terry T/T | . | 1 | 2 | 2 | . | 1 | . | 6X
F14 Woo T/A/T | . | 1 | 1 | . | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8X
F13 Kass B/T/T | 1 | 1 | 1 | . | 2 | . | 5 | 5 | 15X
F12 Andrew B/A/T | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | . | 4 | 6 | 3 | 24X
F11 Kelly T/B/T | 1 | 1 | 1 | . | . | . | . | . | . | 1 | 4X
F10 Ciera B/T/T | 1 | 1 | . | 1 | . | . | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18X
F 9 Stephen B/B/B | . | 2 | 1 | 2 | . | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32X
F 8 Joe B/T/B | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | . | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 23X
F 7Abi-Maria T/A/T | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | . | . | . | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25X


Abi was the classic hidden boot, with a drop in her confessionals last week, then a spike in her boot episode. She did get a very early confessional in her boot episode, which apparently is a big tip to the episode boot. I think the title of the episode was a hint as well, perhaps?

Tasha got a big spike as well going from 3 to 6. Part of that was the drama at the IC with her near drowning, but Tasha expressed that Jeremy needs to let her take her turn to make a big move, but we saw her as fickle. She was dead set on taking out Keith, the big challenge threat with Kimmi, Abi, and Jeremy, but then in the hammock she did a 180, and decided Abi was the bigger threat, because she could flip at any time. We saw her rally her troops, Jeremy and Spencer, but not Kimmi. It was almost comical that at first she wanted Keith, then she says in confessional that the reason that Abi has to go is that she is very volatile. *snort* Tasha was volatile in the episode. The Fox train is leaving the station.

Spencer got the quality confessional with depth at the reward...not only was he blown away by the Cambodian temples and experience, but he reflected on his personal journey, in his second chance game which was to show through this game how much he's changed and to use that change to win this game. Another declaration to win this game. It's just what he needs to get through the last 6 days. Then he talks strategy with Kelley and Keith, then later with Jeremy and Tasha. Spencer was truly the swing vote, and he chose to go with the stronger Jeremy and Tasha to the end, rather than with his "dream goats" Abi and Keith. He's has made his bed. Is this the doubt that will be cast on him as winner?

Keith had his biggest spike yet, up to 3 confessionals. HIs first was about how he wished he'd known about the Joe vote, and that he needed to go talk to "some folks", then a confessional about the reward, then about the near drowning and then reeling Abi in to take out, Tasha, Jeremy, and Kimmi....easy.

Kelley had an uptick by 1, she had 4 confessionals. Kelley talks about her game play, her uncertainty, her wanting to trust in some people, while recognizing she hasn't had a strong alliance the entire game. Then, she admits wanting to get to the end game, she's almost there...then she admits that she JUST wants to get to the F3, that's a goal. Will she get there? I can't help but feel that when a player says they "just" want to do something, then it's a self fulfilling prophecy.

Jeremy had a dip in confessionals. His first confessional was about buyers remorse, should have kept Joe, but let me tell everybody on the jury why I deserve that million dollars, that’s all I want! Another self-fulfilling prophecy? Will he get to tell them all and fall short as well? The other confessionals were about Scorpios, and then entertaining the possibility of Spencer jumping ship.

Kimmi: Nada.

Predictions: Judging by the confessionals, regarding the next boot at F6, I think that Tasha, Keith, and Kimmi are all at risk. Tasha and Keith had confessional spikes while Kimmi dipped down (hidden boot pattern).

If I had to pick a winner for this season on the confessionals alone, I would easily choose Spencer, at this point. The story of the second chance season has really been played out through his second Survivor adventure. He epitomizes that story and I do think he's doing enough to win it. We will see!

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Table of Contents
  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 Confessionals Tracker S31   dabo     09-23-15       
   Week 0   dabo     09-23-15     1  
   Intro   dabo     09-24-15     2  
   Week 1   dabo     09-24-15     3  
     RE: Week 1   Flowerpower1     09-24-15     4  
         RE: Week 1   dabo     09-24-15     5  
   Week 2   Flowerpower1     10-01-15     6  
     RE: Week 2   dabo     10-01-15     7  
   Observation   Flowerpower1     10-08-15     8  
     RE: Observation   Corvis7     10-08-15     9  
     RE: Observation   michel2     10-08-15     10  
   Week 3   Flowerpower1     10-11-15     11  
     RE: Week 3   Sheldor     10-11-15     12  
   Week 4, "What's the Beef"   Flowerpower1     10-17-15     13  
     RE: Week 4, "What's the Beef"   Sheldor     10-17-15     14  
         RE: Week 4, "What's the Beef"   Georganna     10-17-15     15  
         SHELDOR IS GENIOUS   Flowerpower1     10-17-15     17  
             RE: SHELDOR IS GENIOUS   Sheldor     10-20-15     20  
     RE: Week 4, "What's the Beef"   Georganna     10-17-15     16  
         RE: Week 4, "What's the Beef"   Flowerpower1     10-17-15     18  
     RE: Week 4, "What's the Beef"   michel2     10-19-15     19  
   Week 5   Flowerpower1     10-23-15     21  
     RE: Week 5   Georganna     10-27-15     22  
   Week 6, Ep 6   Flowerpower1     10-30-15     23  
     RE: Week 6, Ep 6   CTgirl     10-30-15     24  
         RE: Week 6, Ep 6   Flowerpower1     10-30-15     25  
             RE: Week 6, Ep 6   CTgirl     10-30-15     26  
                 RE: Week 6, Ep 6   Flowerpower1     10-31-15     27  
     RE: Week 6, Ep 6   michel2     10-31-15     28  
     RE: Week 6, Ep 6   Sheldor     11-04-15     29  
   Week 7   Flowerpower1     11-08-15     30  
     RE: Week 7   Georganna     11-08-15     31  
     RE: Week 7   Georganna     11-08-15     32  
     Retrospect Ep 7   Flowerpower1     11-12-15     33  
         RE: Retrospect Ep 7   CTgirl     11-12-15     34  
   Week 8   Flowerpower1     11-13-15     35  
     RE: Week 8   coldbrewer     11-17-15     36  
   Week 9, The Witches Coven   Flowerpower1     11-20-15     37  
     Nice observations FP   Dusty2004     11-24-15     38  
   Week 10   Flowerpower1     11-28-15     39  
   Episode 11   Flowerpower1     11-28-15     40  
   Episode 12   Flowerpower1     12-04-15     41  
     RE: Episode 12   SquidProQuo     12-06-15     42  
   Episode 13   Flowerpower1     12-10-15     43  

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