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"Vulnerability"
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zoso 4 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "American Cancer Society Spokesperson"

03-08-01, 04:28 PM (EST)
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"Vulnerability"
As I see it, in Episode 7 the contestants fit into 3 categories, based on their vulnerability:

(1) 100% SAFE - These people are definitely staying for another episode. First of all they are all likely to be perceived as physically weak, and therefore not a serious threat. I believe that, as per Survivor I, the first bootee after the merger will be a strong all-round contestant. Furthermore, the contestants in this category must be "previous vote free". By this I mean they have yet to receive a TC vote, and are less likely to lose a tie vote (which almost seems like a given). The following people are in this grouping: AMBER, ELISABETH, RODGER, TINA.

(2) POTENTIALLY VULNERABLE - These people do not have the "advantage" of weakness. In other words, they create a perception of strength (mentally, physically, or both), and this makes it impossible for them to fly underneath the radar. However, that being said, these people also have yet to receive a vote, and would fare better than some others in the tiebreaker. Finally, while IC results are impossible to predict, these people have a solid chance of winning a physical/endurance challenge. This group: ALICIA, COLBY, NICK.

(3) ON THE CHOPPING BLOCK - These guys are in serious jeopardy. They are likely seen as fit contestants, and thus a threat. They also have shown some propensity to attract conflict within their own tribe. Accordingly, they are impossible to ignore as threats, and likely to rub some other contestants the wrong way. Finally, the votes they hav received in previous TCs makes them vulnerable in a tiebreaker situation. The only upside for this group is that they could win the IC. Indeed, they may have to win to survive. These people, obviously, are: KEITH, JEFF, and JERRI.

Conclusion: One of the Chopping Block people, Keith, Jeff, or Jerri will get the BOOT. Take your pick....

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  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 None of them.... ACPS65 03-08-01 1
 Categories AyatollahKhomeini 03-08-01 2

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ACPS65 240 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Network TV Show Guest Star"

03-08-01, 05:51 PM (EST)
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1. "None of them...."
Okay...Colby goes tonight.

Final Three: Alicia Calaway, Jeff Varner, Elisabeth Filarski.

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AyatollahKhomeini 2008 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Roller Coaster Inaugurator"

03-08-01, 06:41 PM (EST)
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2. "Categories"
I completely agree with your categories. But I think you've only cut down the number of people who have a chance of going from 10 to 6, not from 10 to 3. It would not surprise me if any of the people in group 2 left this episode, as well as the people in group 3 -- although the people in group 3 are more LIKELY to go.
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