LAST EDITED ON 05-07-15 AT 08:01 PM (EST)

LAST EDITED ON 05-07-15 AT 01:05 AM (EST)

The top ten vote-getters(if the audience is picking all 20)

Tasha
Shirin
Carolyn
Ciera

Based on recency bias those have to be the top four. After that

Kelley(the last of the top likables)
Kass(the first of the villains, she placed 7th in Miss Survivor)
Abi-Maria

Also recency bias with the least memorable likable one and the two likely to get the votes among the villains because they do have fans.

Now two that should come out on top among the old school
Kelly
Kimmi

Kelly was roasted by Sue Hawk and Kimmi had the chicken battle with Alicia. Those are two highly memorable moments that to this day are still talked about.

Which leaves the last vote down to Teresa, Natalie, or Sabrina. I don't think Monica or Peigh-Gee were all that popular and they don't have enough number 1 fans. Mikayla and Stephanie left too early and the fans may not really care about the latter because they didn't care about Russell then.

I'm going to say because she was allied with BR Natalie gets in over Teresa and Sabrina. Teresa has some fans but it may not be enough given how long. Sabrina is gonna lose the african-american vote(if that exists) to Tasha and she was on one of the worst seasons in the show's history and lost to a more deserving player. Without that base, I don't think Sabrina has enough support. If Carolyn wins, then I could see Teresa squeeking in.

So the women will be in alphabetical order
Abi-Maria
Carolyn*
Ciera
Kass
Kelly W(likely Mama Kelly or Mama K)
Kelley W(likely blond Kelley)
Kimmi
Natalie
Shirin
Tasha
Teresa*

Now for the guys

The top ten vote getters
Spencer
Joe
Mike
Keith

Based on recency bias and those being the unquestioned fan faves of their seasons.

Jeremy(the least of the recently most popular)

This is different because there is only two villains and thats Shane and Brad. Brad didn't last long enough to make an impact. Shane was so long ago.

Then for the Rob C crowd
Stephen

So going with more fresh in the minds types that aren't screaming return by casuals.
Woo
Max

Now one old school
Andrew/Savage likely gets it over Terry due to the season of Rupert and Sandra.

That leaves one left. Its down to Terry, Jim, Vytas, and Troyzan. Jeff may be a big entertainment reporter but I don't think its enough and he's outnumbered by Savage and Terry. Shane may have been memorable his season that season as a whole is known for Terry and Cirie and was not that well received. Brad left too early and too many other favorites in the way. Plus he's not a popular villain.

It has to be Troyzan because of his character. Some of the old school castaways on Survivor Oz interviews have listed Troyzan as a great player or one never to have won plenty of times. And with Hulu plus and CBS showing past seasons, Hulu has the advantage because of being around longer and also not including the old school seasons 2-15(or 11)

That means both Terry and Jim will not get in. If Mike wins, then Vytas gets in.

So the men will be in alphabetical order
(Andrew/Savage)
Jeremy
Joe
Keith
Max
*Mike
(Savage/Andrew)
Spencer
Stephen
Troyzan
*Vytas
Woo

I find it intereting that there are 3 men and 2 women from WA. Makes me think a certain someone won.

Now once the cast is released I will break down how I think the tribes shake out because of this old season and what I figured out........

All Stars
Mogo Mogo
1st place Richard(Borneo)
2nd place Colby(AO)
3rd place Lex (Africa)
3rd place Kathy(Marquesas)(could not do Rob because of 3 men)
10th place Shii-anne(Thailand the only rep)
1st place Jenna(Amazon, the alt being a male)

Thats all I will say for now but I already am seeing how they will divide up the WA and Cagayan tribes and can't wait to break it down.