LAST EDITED ON 04-01-15 AT 08:01 AM (EST)

Parsing words here... At first I didn't buy into what Joaquin said: "I got back and (Kelly) told me, 'Hey, it was (Sierra)'" as meaning it happened at Loser Lodge but rather after they got back home, because when you say 'got back', the implication is that you got back to some familiar place (i.e. the USA or home).

But then I saw this...

Tom Santilli: When you found out you missed the merge by only a few days, was that like salt in the wound?

Joaquin: Yeah, it really was. You know you go back to Ponderosa and then they send the next person up and you find out you were just hours away from hitting the merge and being reunited with Carolyn. To miss the next step of playing in individual challenges, that's something that I would have thrived at, obviously. I was a challenge beast out there. That really did hurt. It really did. But that's all right, there's nothing you can do about it.

There's the "you go back to Ponderosa and then they send the next person up" bit... Hmmm. Joaquin's a twit, so he probably was being quite careless with his words.

There's also the Dalton Ross mid-season interview with Shirin where she said she had a deal with Hali and Jenn to vote out Kelly last episode if they lost. Fast forward to this episode, Joe's back with the girls and the remaining Yellows would be likely to agree to support any vote as long as it's not themselves.

I still had trouble picturing Kelly as a boot option with seemingly bigger fish to fry in camp, but someone else made the point that the tribe may see Mike and Kelly as a 'power couple' that needs to be broken up a la Joaquin/Rodney, and Mike's been out hunting for wood quite a bit, so the tribe may fear that he's actually searching for the idol. Playing off that fear would shift the vote toward Kelly.

So... who knows? Let's go with Kelly as the vote this week.