LAST EDITED ON 03-26-15 AT 07:51 PM (EST)

I'm wondering if the Kelly connection with the No Collars and the Joe connection with the Blue Collars could merge the groups together. My first instinct would be like the above two analysis, that the core Blues are going to go against the Core Reds.

But considering that Mike/Dan/Sierra just scrambled to save Joe, maybe Joe pulls them over to join up with Jenn and Hali? This alliance setup would potentially be ridiculously gigantic, as it would include Will and Carolyn (and possibly Tyler by extension?) as well. Such a setup would basically only leave out Rodney and Shirin (or Tyler) as the easy merge boot.

It seems unlikely, though, that a line wouldn't get drawn almost down the middle like in most merges. It's kind of rare for one giant super-alliance to form. The only example I can think of where this happened was Micronesia, where Eliza and Jason were at the bottom and had nowhere to go. Amazon is another example (Roger and Dave), so maybe it is possible, since both of those were swap seasons. You could also argue Tocantins, so maybe it's not that rare after all.

I feel like, in general, Joe is more likely to go back to Jenn/Hali/Will because of past voting history. There weren't any rumbling from Will during the swap, so I'm guessing he's content to stay. Carolyn has no real reason to go over to the Blues. Especially if they see the writing on the wall of Rodney and Tyler flipping to them, they may as well start dismantling Blue while they still can.