LAST EDITED ON 04-13-15 AT 09:36 PM (EST)

I've reached the point where I am actively rooting against a Mike win because they have made it so ridiculously obvious with his coronation edit. I think he's playing a good game but I think the editors' love for him is detracting from the rest of the cast. It's a bit much for me. How over-the-top it is gives me a little hope that maybe he's just the Fan Favorite who goes out at F4.

Seems obvious that the Rodney plan isn't going to work, since they've telegraphed a Rodney/Will/Carolyn/Tyler Final 4. I suspect Mike is going to foil his plan either via Jenn/Shirin or his idol.

Joe is toast this week.

Looks like Shirin is definitely going to outlast Dan. You don't put that scene in the show if she doesn't get the last laugh. Kinda got Eliza vibes from her earlier this season, really starting to believe that Shirin is one of the most important characters this season.

Carolyn seems pretty irrelevant these days. The story dictated more Tyler in general, but it was weird how much she was discarded this week.

Think you're still sleeping on or being too critical of Tyler in general. The way he handled the Joe situation on the reward was clever and when things went south, he basically had to tell Mike. He already has his sub-alliance setup, so there's no need to make himself a target from Mike. It's better for Mike to be fat and happy. I didn't think Tyler came off that bad. I think Tyler is someone we are supposed to like, but they're not hitting us over the head with it. Still the Natalie darkhorse of this season.

Sierra is either a useless Jefra-type edit, or just a Final 3 goat at this point.

Ditto Will, although I doubt Final 3 is in the cards.

Jenn is getting a bit of a nihilistic chaotic edit, especially lately, where she just seems content to mess with people's plans. It'll be interesting to see how they handle her misery next week. If they use it as fuel to soften her and make her more sympathetic, we'll talk. The problem with Jenn (from an editing point of view) is that she's not sympathetic enough. Still picking her as the alt pick.

I'm at something like Mike 70%, Jenn 20%, Tyler 10% as my equity pie.

Kinda seeing Joe going this week and then some fireworks next week. I could see Dan going next week (in a 3-3-3 idol flush?), with Shirin getting her revenge, although I don't know how Mike gets out of that pickle. Could very easily be Rodney, though. Seems pretty obvious we're not going to have a straight Pagonging, since the Mike vs. Rodney F7 scenario won't happen.