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Good opening analysis, michel. Not much to disagree with in your analysis, and this is one of the most wide-open seasons we've had in quite some time in terms of legit game-players (and potential winners). This is going to be a season where it'll be tough to see who might be the likely winner until at least the merge, I'd say. Great cast, so far.
Based on pre-game vidcaps (which usually tells me a lot) and at who's hanging out with whom in camp, I would think the winner would come from this group: Joe, Jenn, Shirin, Mike, Hali (first to lay out her game strategy when tribes got to their camps), Max (got a real narrator's role, though), and Tyler.
Considering how gung-ho Jiffy was in his pre-game thoughts about the winner, I'd expect it be someone who is playing rather aggressive in the game (Tony, Kim, RobM, etc.). While I liked Carolyn and initially thought she was playing too hard, perhaps she should be added to the contender list after all. I don't see a Fabio/Natalie White/Sophie/Vecepia type of winner this season.
My early vote? The skinny raccoon. I like that lil' bugger.
(The raccoon appeared twice right after a No Collar said something - Hali the first time, Jenn the second time)
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -