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If Keith had won F4 immunity, Natalie was going, period. It wouldn't have made the slightest difference whether it was Baylor or Jaclyn casting the 4th vote.
Sure about that? Both Keith and Jaclyn owed Natalie for saving them at that point. With Baylor gone and Keith having immunity, it's very probable that Missy would have been voted out. With Baylor there instead of Jaclyn, Natalie would have been gone.
ETA: I do think Natalie was stupid about one thing: making an F3 alliance with Missy and Baylor to begin with, just because she thought she could beat them both. Survivor rule 1.01: Break up all obvious pairs as quickly as is practicable. 😊
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -