LAST EDITED ON 05-01-14 AT 08:29 AM (EST)

What Tony needed to do was make sure Tasha was voting against Jefra. That would have told him that the women weren't together so he could have gone after Spencer. But Tony's paranoia prevented him from talking directly to Tasha so he delegated. Big mistake.

That was precisely what was so perplexing about his move. His logic was that the girls were getting together, so to combat this... He was going to have to rope in one of the girls. There isn't anything stopping Tasha from saying, "Screw him, I'm voting for Spencer" if the girl's alliance existed. Once Spencer told him that Tasha was on board, he should've known the lay of the land.

(Although I guess that would start the line of reasoning of trying to figure out if Tasha was just playing Spencer. If there was a girls alliance, then Tasha would've probably "lied" to Tony too.)

I'm actually re-watching Gabon right now and am not sure who exactly would win in a Sugar/Crystal/Susie final. I think most of it would depend on who in the bitter Kota 4 + Randy alliance would pick. I recall Randy calling Susie "the worst person out here" when he was deciding who to idol out of the game, so he actually seems like more of a Sugar vote.

Although given Corinne's hatred of Sugar, I could see her convincing her alliance to begrudgingly give it to Crystal (even though no one likes her). Gabon is probably one of the strangest seasons of Survivor ever, so it's really difficult to tell. Maybe Sugar wasn't a 100% goat but her road to winning would've been really, really specific.