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"S28 Confessionals Tracker"
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tribephyl 12393 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"

04-12-14, 03:50 AM (EST)
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16. "RE: Week 7"
I agree. However, if Spencer hadn't received confessionals after winning the IC or finding the idol I would be very worried about him.

But really, who knows, this season has been all over the place with the usual rules and reliable theories being mixed up with the bucking trends and irregular exceptions.
Large spikes "usually" lead to end-story.
Yet, zeroing out also means that someone is in danger.
Pride cometh before the fall unless... Pride lead-eth away from danger.
CT theory says it's the quick glimpse of the non-related person kinda squished between the plot points, naked theory says it's the one right up-front. Tribe theory states that the 5th boot and the 9th boot are more often than not the ones that lead people astray the most. (Then again at F7 and possibly F5 but much more predictable by then.)
Etc. etc.
And guess which boot we just past? Yup. 5th boot.
So according to my own drat-blasted theory these next 3 boots should be easy.

Therefore, I just don't think Spencer is out of danger this week. Despite his, or would that be... concurrent with his, recent Confessional Boost.
I believe that he will think he is safe when he truly isn't.
From a gameplay standpoint everyone knows the cards Spencer is holding and he has done NOTHING to integrate himself with the majority. Granted, waiting for the majority to split is a valid game "move" to some of these people. But going for Tony? NOT a smart move.

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Table of Contents
  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 S28 Confessionals Tracker   dabo     02-28-14       
   Week 1   dabo     02-28-14     1  
     RE: Week 1   Flowerpower1     03-05-14     2  
   Week 2   dabo     03-07-14     3  
     RE: Week 2   suzzee     03-07-14     4  
   Week 3   dabo     03-14-14     5  
   Week 4   dabo     03-21-14     6  
   Week 5   dabo     03-27-14     7  
   Week 6   dabo     04-03-14     8  
   Week 7   dabo     04-10-14     9  
     by the way...   tribephyl     04-11-14     10  
     RE: Week 7   Flowerpower1     04-11-14     11  
         RE: Week 7   CTgirl     04-11-14     12  
             RE: Week 7   Flowerpower1     04-11-14     14  
         RE: Week 7   michel2     04-11-14     13  
             RE: Week 7   tribephyl     04-12-14     16  
         RE: Week 7   dabo     04-11-14     15  
             RE: Week 7   Flowerpower1     04-13-14     17  
                 RE: Week 7   dabo     04-13-14     18  
                 RE: Week 7   Outsider32     04-19-14     20  
   Week 8   dabo     04-18-14     19  
   Week 9   dabo     04-25-14     21  
   Week 10   dabo     05-01-14     22  
   Week 11   dabo     05-09-14     23  
     RE: Week 11   tribephyl     05-10-14     24  
         RE: Week 11   dabo     05-10-14     25  
   Week 12   dabo     05-16-14     26  
   Finale   dabo     05-27-14     27  
     RE: Finale   michel2     05-28-14     28  
         RE: Finale   PepeLePew13     05-29-14     29  
             RE: Finale   michel2     05-29-14     30  
                 RE: Finale   tribephyl     05-29-14     31  
                     RE: Finale   michel2     05-30-14     32  
                         RE: Finale   tribephyl     05-30-14     33  

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