Here's what I see in these vidcaps - psycho random thoughts to follow:

- Revealed alliances don't succeed - I'm not holding out hope for a Malcolm/Lisa/Denise F3. I also don't think Jeff/Malcolm/Pete/ Artis and whoever's alliance of 6 will either.

- Tribal dynamics - here's where I'm really having loopy thoughts...

Jonathan thinks he has 4 loyal people, something that we're already being shown is not true. An alliance of 4 is not strong at this point in the game anyway.

RC and Abi are shown talking together??? That is so out of character with their editing, which has made a division between the two of them painfully clear. We're also being reminded that Tandang is not one big happy family. But at this point, they do have a significant numerical advantage over Kalabaw, so it would make sense for them to go after a Kalabaw individual challenge threat during the first TC. They may not be a happy family, but they decide it makes sense to stick together for at least this one vote.

It also makes sense to go after a male this time, since even with one gone, they still have a numerical advantage over the women. No fears of a female alliance, especially with all the RC/Abi drama.

So which male? I think the comment about not letting a returning player win is misdirection. Heck, even if the two returning players made it to the final 3, the jury could just vote for the third player. So there's no reason to go after Jonathan just yet, especially since he has a HII.

Carter? Is he even in this game? Compared to the other Kalabaw men, he's had practically no face time. The younger crowd also might want to keep him around so that the older folks don't take over. He might be a potential target who wins IC, but even if he doesn't, I think he's safe this round.

So that leaves Jeff. Individual challenge threat? Yup. Facetime? Plenty of it. He's been making deals with practically everyone, so folks may want to get him out of the game before he can blindside anyone.

If a Tandang were going, it would definitely be Artis, but they've only just started giving him a negative edit. I doubt he'll be around more than another episode or two.

So right now, I'm thinking that Jeff is getting his torch snuffed this week.