I'm not sure that I even understand OFG theory 24 seasons in ...

One of the prime points to determine about an element (and of HIGH difficulty) is to decide whether this is an OBVIOUS BOOT episode or a SURPRISE BOOT aka hidden boot.

If the latter, there will be some serious misdirection to hide the bootee's danger.

Monica is an "obvious boot." She is shown negotiating and clearly aware that Colton could be taking her for a ride. She has been in a minority alliance and in some danger from the beginning.

If I were looking for OFG theory here, I would look for a shot that is not necessary, that doesn't tell the story of the promo or is just odd.

The close-up of Christina which has an odd expression could be one:

Then we have shots where someone appears safe, like Jonas or Alicia, which could be misdirection:

Or Colton himself could be dethroned this episode, after being named Queen and Super Villain and master manipulator:

Another thing I look at is who has been in serious danger that they are ignoring in the promos but who is still shown. Both Leif and Christina have been major targets. Alicia has complained more about Christina than Monica, yet Christina has faded into the sidelines a bit since her confrontation at ep 1 TC.

Leif was supposed to be voted out, yet here he is shown as part of the group again:

What we don't see is ANY footage of Salani going through scrambling. 99% it is Manono going to TC. VERY seldom do they cut the tribe out that is going to TC. The one time I can think of recently is when they blindsided us in S22 with Zapatera booting Stephanie. (I think that was the one where we had all the promo energy put on the tribe that didn't go to TC.)

I think that Monica and Christina are most likely Colton's targets. He is the swing vote. While they could all band together and boot Colton, that would leave a 3-3 tribe and I don't really see the guys getting behind that, especially not Greg.

I would love to see Jonas and Leif form an alliance with Monica and Christina and take control of the tribe, but I'm afraid it's wishful thinking for the first post swap episode when original tribal loyalties are still so strong.

Then again, there is nothing very epic about a Monica/Christina boot, and we have more of the patented Jiffy Hypola touted this week.