LAST EDITED ON 02-07-12 AT 02:04 PM (EST)

Post TRIBAL SHUFFLE Challenges

So far we have at least two post tribal shuffle challenges, maybe three. The first one I will post is the leaky water barrel challenge.

We see that 2 guys and 1 girl are all working together with the blue barrel, and we see a blue buff on the guy on the left of the frame. This is definitely post shuffle....

The girl in the middle is definitively Kim, and the guy on the right is definitively Michael. The guy on the left has been identified by Castaway208 at Sucks as Matt. I agree with him. Some at Sucks believe he is Troyzan because someone thinks that these shorts are the same as pictured above....

I disagree about the shorts, to me, they are different. I believe the guy on the left of the frame is Matt. I suppose we will definitively know when they get their bathing suits.

Second post tribal shuffle challenge

The water basketball challenge. We know that this challenge is for immunity...

Here are the vidcaps...

Kat and Sabrina...

Bill...

Colton...(and I believe Matt in front of him, face not seen)

Monica....

Jonas (with orange buff on wrist), Troy with blue buff around neck...

Leif...

Alicia with orange buff....

Jay with blue buff...

Tarzan, Greg:

(Note above that Greg is topless, and he's standing next to his tribemate, Christina, I believe at the start of the water basketball challenge)

Michael, now wearing blue buff, vs Leif, orange buff:

Christine, now in orange buff:

Christina and Sabrina (blue buff)

FWIW....I think that Sabrina is holding on to our mystery tribemate that is on the orange tribe. If we could tell who she is, we would have our first two boots, imo, fwiw....

Sabrina, with blue buff, and MYSTERY Orange tribe woman...

So, by the tribal swap, here is who we have:

So, here are who I have placed on the tribes post shuffle:
New Manono, orange : Leif, Bill, Alicia, Jonas, Colton, Christina, Greg, Mystery woman seen with Sabrina in the water basketball challenge (?Chelsea, Nina, Kourtney)
New Salani : Monica, Jay, Katt, Sabrina, Troyzan, Matt, Kimberly, Michael

***With all men accounted for post episode one, and in the post shuffle challenges, clearly our first boot will be one of the following females: Kourtney, Nina, Chelsea.

So, with 16 people seen, in the basketball water challenge, the tribal shuffle must occur most likely after the second boot, most likely in episode 3.

Manono wins episode one challenge. Going one step further, out of the five people that are not seen post shuffle - Kourtney, Nina, Chelsea - two of them are our first and second boots, while the remaining one will be on the ORANGE tribe, Salini, post shuffle. She is seen in the vidcap with Sabrina. So, I am thinking that Manono wins both the first and second episodes. The episode 3 IC is most likely with mixed tribes.