"tattooed white girl with short, dark hair" CHECK

"Tall clean-cut blond guy." CHECK

TBD
"a white girl with long dark hair" Monica not seen in water basketball

"a black guy hair that was froish" Bill totally on boot radar

"a slightly bearded short white guy with dark hair" Colton an HII away from losing his grip on Colton's world."

There were EIGHT boots by date of flight.
Other three:
NINA
? Christina?
?

If nuManono is Colton, Jonas, Leif, Bill, Greg, Alicia, Christina

Colton, Bill, Christina would be 3 out of 7, and it really is not a stretch to see it play out that way. Bill will go first. Once Jonas, Leif, Greg have numbers, they can get rid of Colton who is completely untrustworthy and look to get back with Troyzan post-merge. We know that Alicia will be happy to boot Christina.

Of the Salani group:
Kim, Chelsea, Kat, Sabrina are tight and can control that tribe. Troyzan has been decent to the ladies. Jay has been so so but is strong and flexible in how he plays, his muscle alliance is dead. Michael is a target but he might be needed until the merge.

I think they would boot Michael if it's close to the merge. The girls should boot Kat this next time, but we know they don't do it pre-swap, and post-swap the girls can't afford to let go of numbers, so that explains how she would make merge even though she messes up so much.