Yes, I agree OFG, that this season there is likely going to be a different path to the finals than at least in the past 2 seasons. Clearly, there have been cross tribal alliances before, but they were due to swaps that took different folks from different tribes and placed them on the same tribe a la Cook Islands. This could be good, and will require the eventual winner to be savvy.

Now that the cast is announced and we are getting some information on the DAWS, let's examine the 5 castaways that are speculated to be the first boots.

First of all, from this picture...

I still say that the only "blonde" male is Greg Smith, the plastic surgeon, but clearly he doesn't look like he's under 40 or tall. Matt is the tall one with the hair closest to blonde, but I just wouldn't describe it as blonde....We'll have to wait and see with this bit of info. The problem with the airplane spoiler is that it's so brief, and subjective.

Jay Byers looks much beefier than he did in the pre-show pics...MUCH!

Kourtney sticks out like a sore thumb....we can deduce that she is definitely one of the first 5 speculated to be on the flight.

Bill Posely is also pretty cut and dry as well.

Now remarking on the slightly bearded, short, white guy with dark hair. When I think about the age distinctions that this observer used, <40 and <30, I think that the folks that he saw must not have been too young. In other words for him to describe them as less than 40 they most likely looked a bit older than 20's, imo. Colton is just 22, so would he be described as <40? I just don't know....

Is there any way that we can see who is short and who isn't? Greg looks much shorter than Michael Jefferson who is 6'5". Jonas is dark haired and he is shorter, would the observer neglect to note that he looked Asian?

Regarding the "white girl with long dark hair"....Kimberly has long hair but her hair definitely looks lighter, highlighted....it's not that dark, imo. In fact, I think her hair looks "blonder" than Matt's. That leaves Monica and Alicia as possibilities for the white girl with the long dark hair. I'm inclined to think this is most likely Monica.

Colton being the villain could indeed be one of the first booted then...