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"Merged Tribe Spoiler Analysis"
slimmyworm 28 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Beauty Pageant Celebrity Judge"
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03-03-01, 02:21 PM (EST)
 
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"Merged Tribe Spoiler Analysis" |
Hey all, first post here, some spoiler analysis, plus good stuff from Mike's interview with Rich...
Thus far, I haven't been able to find much spoiler evidence relating directly to Episode 7, so I've decided to expand my focus somewhat and look a few more episodes down the line. I think there's some inferences to be made from this stuff. For my speculation I assume that the jury had to stay reasonably close to the ranch because they had to come back every few days to witness TC.-- Mary Alderman, who owned the ranch at which the survivors went for their psychological debriefing, and were allowed to stay afterwards, has said that the survivors went into town to go shopping. When people asked who they were, she said that they were students at a local college. I don't remember the name of the school. Source: I don't have Lexis-Nexis access at home, so I can't get this now, but this article I think is pretty much common knowledge.
Now, I don't know about you, but I'm in college now, and I don't often see Rodger look-alikes hanging out around campus, other than my professors, anyway. Certainly Nick, Liz and Amber look like college students, and I guess it's plausible that Jeff, Colby, Alicia and Jerri could pass for older students. That leaves Keith and Tina in addition to Rodger. This doesn't necessarily mean much, nor is it really related to the rest of this post, and for all I know these three don't like to shop, but at least keep it in mind. -- Jerri "stayed a little bit longer when they were finished filming and went shopping in Australia with a friend", according to her mom. Source: Huntsville Times
This quote has been used to support the hypothesis that Jerri stays until the final few days. The friend could be Amber, I guess, but we don't really know enough about merged tribe dynamics to be sure yet. -- Mike says that he didn't get to know Keith while in the Outback, but his tribemates said he was a good guy. Source: Radio interview posted on board. -- Mike's timeline. He spends 18 days on the island before burning his hands, then 7 days (days 19-25) in the burn unit. Then Mike says he spends 7 days in outpatient therapy (days 26-32). Finally, Mike basically says screw the doctors' advice, I'm seeing Australia. He spends two and a half weeks touring the Great Barrier Reef (days 33-49). Source: Mike's interview with Rich Hatch, ET Online
Now, of course there are only 42 days in Survivor. It is important to note the way Mike says this: "I had two and a half weeks left". The first time I read this, I was doing the mental math, and was so ready for him to say a week and a half that I just skipped over it. If he consciously knew he had another week to enjoy Australia, I think that it's possible that they all did. This would make the idea that Jerri stays another week to go shopping because she made it right to the end less significant. What to make of all this? I'm rather interested in analyzing the Mike and Keith quote while looking at Mike's timeline. I feel like Mike would not have added the part about how Keith's tribemates said he was a good guy if he had gotten to know him while Keith had been booted and Mike was in outpatient therapy - presumably relaxing at the ranch and going back to the hospital each day - Mike would have been more likely to say he didn't get to know Keith well and simply leave it at that. If Keith is on the jury, he would have had to stay near the ranch and probably seen Mike while recuperating. (Note: this does not preclude Keith going this week and leaving to travel after a few days, since he wouldn't be on the jury.) So in order for there to be tribemates to talk to Mike, don't some Ogakors have to be among the E8-E9-E10 bootees? I doubt when Mike talked about Keith's tribemates, that he meant the merged tribe, although I can't say that for sure. Kel should be around, but Maralyn and Mitch are already gone. In any case, Mike should be hanging out at the ranch while the 8th, 9th, and 10th bootees are there. It seems like there should be some Ogakors there, but from the quote, I don't think Keith is one of them. Does he last long, or does he go this week? Whew, that was long...Feedback please.
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Minstrel 422 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Daytime Soap Guest Star"
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03-03-01, 03:17 PM (EST)
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3. "RE: Merged Tribe Spoiler Analysis" |
I agree with Rudyrox here, not that you aren't doing a good job trying to assess the time line (keep it up)! The problem I have is just how much, if any, could he "see the barrier reef?" The answer is in Brisbane and the burn unit there. Mike went there and unless I'm mistaken, the barrier reef is in that area. Now, I would believe that he would not enter the water with burned hands trying to be healed.Mike said on "The Early Show," that he had a series of skin grafts, and had a series of operations scheduled. But these operations did not occur because the grafts and Mike's regenerative powers were very successful. The doctor evidently said in 25 years in the burn unit, he had never seen a patient heal as quickly and completely as Mike. But the timeline presented carries beyond the 42 days. So, I think not only was part of Mike's "seeing the barrier reef" coincide with being at the burn unit, but that when backing up the time line, he was absent long enough not to know who is booted after him. E7 through 10 means twelve days. We know he was unattached to the bootees for at least two weeks after getting burned. So, no way we can assume anyone was or was not booted off during this time. Mike even said that he returned home still with bandages that he told his family were as if he had a severe sunburn. He said he carried his own luggage and that hurt a lot. So his hands had not completely healed by then.
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dangerkitty 1913 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Herbal Healing Drugs Endorser"
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03-03-01, 03:06 PM (EST)
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2. "RE: Merged Tribe Spoiler Analysis" |
Regarding the quote from Mike that he didn't get to know Keith but heard from his tribemates that he was a good guy - I had interpreted that as Mike heard from HIS, Mike's, tribemates. Do you know absolutely if he meant one or the other? I have used this assumption in my speculation that Keith may get into the Kucha group by promising to vote out Jerri, thus guaranteeing she goes and Kucha gets majority (based partly on analysis of info and partly, I admit, on an increasingly obsessive and blood-thirsty desire to see Jerri's cackling, shrieking, sneering, egomanical, more-than-I-wanted-to-know sex fantasizing, boobs-falling-out-the-side-of-her-bikini-top, skanky ass OUTA there! But I digress).BTW - are you a slimmy worm as opposed to a fatty worm? 
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