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Excellent reasoning as always FloPo! Your summary makes perfect sense...but it does sound like things will be fairly predictable if the Upolu stay loyal to each other.
I don't thing Maxx intended to give us a Savaii boot order, just a suggestion that they might be Pagonged. If Keith goes first, it's an indication that the Upolu will try to eliminate the challenge treats first, so my guess is they would gor for Ozzy and Jim next, followed by Whitney and Dawn after that and finish off the traitor/goat before the Upolu are forced to start voting off their own...
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -