LAST EDITED ON 09-26-11 AT 03:23 PM (EST)Just getting some thoughts out here as I have been gone for the weekend. First of all, great job on pinpointing the runners and the spinners, and the puzzle people. I think you are all right! But, however, I don't know how we can speculate as to who goes first...We CAN see that Ozzy retrieves the 3rd one...
...and that Dawn retrieves the 4th one...
But, I am not so sure that one tribe doesn't pull far ahead of another....Ozzy scales those floating platforms very well...
While it looks like Brandon or ? Albert is falling...
Ozzy takes off in a flash....
...while Brandon does not....
Here:
The Savaii's are reeling in the runner, while the Upolu's are NOT....ETA: Actually I think that they are as seen in reel time...UGH!)
Also, here we see Ozzy retrieving his bag of puzzle pieces, while there is NO one from Upolu in sight....not coming or going....could mean they are behind, OR, they are ahead....
I would think that if one falls off with the puzzle pieces, they have to swim to catch up with the board...so that they both arrive at the beach together....falling off of the board will give the other tribe a bigger lead or catch up factor. I don't necessarily think that if you fall off you have to go back to the start....I just wouldn't assume it.
With 5 bags to retrieve 2 out of the 3 runners will have to make 2 trips, while one person will make only one trip.
I just don't know, you could be onto something here, but I don't know. Someone above was asking why Cochran wouldn't do the puzzle, well in the pre-game interviews they did with video takes on them all, he admitted that he was horrible at puzzles...so, hopefully he admitted this and allowed others to step up.
I think that Dawn might be okay at this challenge, Ozzy is going to rock it with the exception of the falling off part, which, imo, may not make too much of a fall back, Keith would rock this challenge as well. I think that Brandon won't do that well, we see him falling, I think Albert will do ok, and I think Mikayla will rock it.
I don't know, I really get the feeling that the only thing that happens when Ozzy falls off the board is that he'll lose a bit of time. I do, however, believe that the boarders on the Savaii tribe could beat the boarders on the Upolu tribe....that means the challenge could be won by the puzzle portion...
I don't know. If Savaii loses Papa Bear will be toast, imo, if the Upolu lose, then Stacey is toast...fwiw.