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"SurvivorBlowsTribe, Time To Vote: S22 ep12"
dabo 26942 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-03-11, 03:09 PM (EST)
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"SurvivorBlowsTribe, Time To Vote: S22 ep12" |
LAST EDITED ON 05-03-11 AT 03:32 PM (EST)ADVISORY: Vote threads are open to all who wish to participate and cast their votes, spoilers and non-spoilers alike. The posts initiating these threads contain no spoiler information other than perhaps referencing what has been revealed in TV promos for the upcoming episode. Non-spoilers, be advised that spoilers may include information in their posts here which you may not wish to read. Spoilers, please do not include spoiler information for future episodes, stick to the episode in question. The Rules1. Put the name of your choice for this week's boot in the subject heading. This is easy, just erase where it says "Re: SurvivorBlowsTribe, Time to Vote..." and replace with your vote on which player will get the boot, e.g., "Ralph." Or, if you think this will be a two-boot week: "Ralph and Steve." It doesn't matter which order you put them in unless it matters to you. This makes it easier to tally votes quickly and accurately. Nicknames are tougher to tally unless they are really obvious without actually reading your post. Other things you want to vote on, these should go in your post not in your subject line. ("Boot" defines as voted out of a tribe, either exiled to Redemption Island or, when Redemption Island is no longer a factor in the game, eliminated from the game. Quitters are also regarded as boots though whether they would be exiled or eliminated/disqualified is unknown. It is assumed that medical evacuees would be eliminated/disqualified without prejudice.) 1b. The process for voting on which Exile on Redemption Island will be eliminated from the game. Place your elimination vote anywhere in the subject line with the boot vote. Place an "X" in front of the name of the exile you think will lose the duel and be eliminated from the game, as in XMatthew or XMike or XDavid. Alternately, should you wish to save space in the subject line, cast your vote using the exile's placement number determined by the time of their arrivals on Redemption Island, noted in the list below in this post. Exile 8, Matthew, would be X8. Exile 9, Mike, would be X9. Exile 11, Julie, would be X11.
This week we will be using the finale style voting method for duel voting. You will be voting on who finishes fourth (last), third, second, and who finishes first (wins). Please use the following designations in casting these votes: MC for Mike Chiesl ME for Matt Elrod RK for Ralph Kiser SW for Steve Wright Place these votes in this format: 4th/3rd/2nd/1st. 1c. Returnees. This section is to note that it is entirely possible for a player to be returned to the game immediately after a duel and subsequently be voted out again within the same episode. So an exile could also get the boot, both votes could be for exiles. Hence the importance of the X, please get in the habit. 2. Reply only to this post. We like to keep our votes threads nice and straight. EXCEPTION TO RULE 2! VOTE CHANGES! 2b. But to change your vote (or add additional votes) reply to your own previous vote post. Your new post heading should read, for example, "VOTE CHANGE: Rob." Or perhaps "VOTE CHANGE: Rob and Phil" if you think it will be a two-boot week. 3. This is not a discussion thread, do not treat it as such. There are plenty of places on the forum to debate the merits of people's arguments, have discussions, have civil and polite disagreements, don't do it here. But please feel free to discuss your vote in your own post, cast all the extra votes you want, tell us how much you hate Redemption Island, fondly remember when Survivor actually was a game, we're all interested in what you have to say. And KB wants your challenge votes for scoring purposes! 4. No graphics, particularly no sig pics. If you must have a graphic make it pertinent to something. Thank you. 5. Have fun! Quickly posting this while I have internet, from what I hear the entire state has been internet deprived today. The DAWS! Murlonio (black) tribe Andrea (Ometepe) Ashley (Ometepe) Grant (Ometepe) Natalie (Ometepe) Phillip (Ometepe) Boston Rob (Ometepe) Redemption Island exile 8. Matthew (Ometepe, exile 2, Murlonio) exile 9. Mike (Zapatera, Murlonio) exile 12. Ralph (Zapatera, Murlonio) exile 13. Steve (Zapatera, Murlonio) Eliminated Francesca (Ometepe, exile 1) Russell (Zapatera, exile 3) Kristina (Ometepe, exile 4) Krista (Zapatera, exile 5) Stephanie (Zapatera, exile 6) Sarita (Zapatera, exile 7) Jury David (Zapatera, Murlonio, exile 10) Julie (Zapatera, Murlonio, exile 11)
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Flowerpower 7262 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-03-11, 03:43 PM (EST)
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1. "Grant~Steve/Rooster/Mike/Matt" |
LAST EDITED ON 05-04-11 AT 03:34 PM (EST) I think that Matt will win the love from home, as we heard in his confessional, he will do anything to win today....Matt wins~Mike second~Rooster third~Steve fourth. I don't know who is going to sacrifice, most likely Matt will for the others?
I haven't figured it out regarding the Murlonio's there, so don't know who is going to sacrifice out of them, and how they can win the love... Regarding the IC. I think this tough, brutal, very physical challenge on a very hot day will mean that either Rob or Grant is going to win it. We see Rob at the top of the challenge, apparently in agonizing close defeat....but is it defeat? I question that it is. I think the challenge involves adding one tread at a time from the missing 3 sections of treads. I think there is a puzzle portion that has to match up just so in order to place each one. I think this additional requirement may help Rob, who's already worked this type of puzzle plank in the challenge that had them digging up axes, chopping logs, sawing through 2X4's etc. Now, for the boot story...Andrea was identified as the first of the remaining Ometepe's to go last week by Grant and Rob. Ashley and Nat were aware of this. The promos made me think that Andrea is not going to go this week. So, if she weren't going this week, something has changed from last week. I think that something is that Grant is vulnerable without the necklace. Many think that Rob would kill himself by voting out one of his core 4 before Andrea and Phillip. But, Rob is not the only one out there. They are down to the F6. It's me or you time. As emydi noted, they are all vying to be Rob's Amber.... At least that's what I believe they believe. Ashley, Andrea, Phillip, and Natalie all know that they cannot beat Grant. If they do not vote him out now, he's likely to be Rob's Amber...he'll challenge whore his way into the finals. I would be willing to say that Rob wouldn't even need to vote out Grant, but everyone else will. We hear Rob talking in the shelter as well....one of us will go to RI. That's a fact! He's turned to Grant as he notes this. Phillip is the misdirection. Rob is the misdirection. Jiffy told us it would be a blindside. Grant is Rob's number 2, so yes, I think he will feel blindsided... Grant is an ex-professional player though. He's a competitor, he will get it...I'm sad though, because I would like to see Grant make it to the finals...;-( Or, if Grant wins this challenge, then Andrea will be toast, imo. And, for Krautboy, I'll bet that Amber is there for the family visit....if we are betting on that! ETA: Changing to original prediction that Matt will win...Matt first, 2nd Mike, 3rd Rooster, Loser: Steve
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kingfish 20752 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-03-11, 06:02 PM (EST)
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3. "Rob booted, RK/SW/ME/MC" |
Grant wins Immunity.Rob is booted. Mainly because the others regain their sanity. Except for Phil who we all know is too far gone, and because everyone wants him with them at F3. As for the others, who knows? And this week; "Sourced Spoiler to the stars, MissyPissy doesn't have a clue!"
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kiki_k 1444 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Beef Jerky Spokesperson"
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05-03-11, 07:30 PM (EST)
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4. "Andrea --- SW/RK/MC/ME" |
I'll start with the easier one:RI results: First place -- Matt (he will win the love) Second place -- Mike Third place -- Rooster Fourth place/boot -- Steve As for the IC & boot, I've been going back & forth between Grant & Andrea. Everything FloPo posted makes sense & I do agree with -- IF Grant doesn't win the IC. But I just can't convince myself that Grant doesn't win this IC because of his obvious physical dominance so far. So, I'm going to vote: IC winner: Grant Boot: Andrea If anyone else were to win the IC, then my vote would be for Grant. As for Jeffy's "hype" about the TC -- I'm not buying it as he's been getting carried away with his superlatives all season -- the "water cooler moment" blah, blah, blah. The "blindside" is that Andrea (given her Ometepe cheer when voting last TC) has no idea she is next on the chopping block.
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-05-11, 11:01 AM (EST)
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34. "RE: Andrea --- SW/RK/MC/ME" |
nice picks!
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KwietOne 1111 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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05-03-11, 09:47 PM (EST)
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6. "Andrea | RK/SW/ME/MC" |
IC Winner: Rob
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-05-11, 10:44 AM (EST)
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29. "RE: Andrea | RK/SW/ME/MC" |
nice picks!
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-05-11, 10:50 AM (EST)
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30. "RE: Andrea ~ SW/RK/ME/MC" |
nice picks!
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dabo 26942 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-04-11, 01:36 AM (EST)
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9. "SW/ME/RK/MC ... Ashley" |
I don't know what the duel is, something involving tables lined up in an order, some order to be followed. In any event, Steve is worn out and old enough to understand that his chances in this Survivor game are only bordering on remote, so he's out, doesn't quit but also doesn't try very hard.I don't think Amber shows up. Her pregnancy could help Rob win jury sympathy, so I don't entirely rule it out. But an equivalent Survivor buddy pick for Russell would have been who, Shambo? And what would Russell have made of Amber turning up? (I think Rob and Russell both knew in advance they were picked for their mutual rivalry.) I think Rob wins the immunity challenge, the shot of him at the top of the structure shows he's pushed himself very hard to win this one. So, how does Rob decide which of his Ometepe to eliminate? Grant can't make a move against him since he has II so Grant doesn't do anything to upset the natural order of Robness. Andrea has a good social game and the Zaps favor her, how did that happen, which buddy left her alone to do that? It's made up, a contingency plan, nothing else. Ashley hates Phillip and wants him gone, this is her big move in the game. Phillip in turn doesn't care for the lazy spa girls. It is good for Rob's game that inter-Ometepe personal dynamics force him to back one side or the other, such divisions remove the onus of an utterly Rob controlled blindside backstab. Crazy as Phillip is, he's still useful to Rob, Ashley is just expendable. Grant and Andrea will be happy to get rid of someone who eats and enjoys the good life but does little to help out in camp.
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Woogie 135 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Blistex Spokesperson"
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05-04-11, 02:14 AM (EST)
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11. "VO:Andrea............IC:Grant..............RI:SW/RK/MC/ME" |
No duel, no truel but quadruel. I can't tell how many will go to the Jury section, I'm guessing two but it could be one. I'll say Matt and Mike will survive again and one or two of Rooster and Steve are going to the jury.IC seems to be tough. It could be either Rob or Grant and I'll say Grant cause he's younger, lol, played NFL, yoga etc. It looks like a challenge for him. And maybe this is why Rob wants to take him out but not in this episode. A lot of focus is in family visit, so I guess there is not much of surprise in TC. And Andrea is gone to meet bitter Matt in RI. And for the bonus point! Family visit from Rob : His brother. Against Amber, cause as much as JP and MB and CBS would have wanted, I don't want my family to visit there while pregnant. It could be really dangerous.
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-05-11, 11:02 AM (EST)
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35. "RE: VO:Andrea............IC:Grant..............RI:SW/RK/MC/ME" |
nice picks
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parathor 250 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Network TV Show Guest Star"
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05-04-11, 10:13 AM (EST)
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13. "Andrea - SW/RK/ME/MC - Rob I.I. (no Ambah)" |
Andrea was highlighted as the next most likely to go last week, and Rob is nothing if not methodical. Plus, it'll allow for a "story" next week between the contrived romance of Andrea/Matt (to fill the void of anything else dramatic happening, like a family visit, rice wars, or scrambling to choose the next person). Everyone else was 100% on board with it.Steve's plate is still shown in some pictures as being intact. It's just a matter of putting the rest of the guys in the proper order. Matt said he'd be "trying his hardest to win" out there, but he's been wrong the entire season - he failed to give up last week when he wanted to lose, and he'll fail this week when he wants to win. Second place is good enough, though. Mike wins RI challenge. The visit from Ometepe family members probably comes from people betting on which RI person wins. Rob probably is the only person to bet on the winner (so part of me wants to say Ralph wins), and will sacrifice his "win" so others can see their family (Rob is nothing if not lucky). It's not Amber, so I doubt he has a problem with not seeing his family for a little bit. He's rich enough to fly to see them whenever, and far enough away from them (FL-MA) that he probably doesn't see them often anyways. The picture of the Ometepes walking with torches to Tribal Council has everyone with a bag, except Rob. Rob is nothing if not savvy - he'd bring his bag to TC, just to fit in, unless he absolutely did not need to. Rob wins Individual Immunity. I might change my RI order after mulling over the Ralph option...
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parathor 250 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Network TV Show Guest Star"
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05-05-11, 08:22 AM (EST)
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28. "RE: VOTECHANGE: Andrea - SW/ME/MC/RK - Rob II (no Ambah)" |
...nothing to see here. Ignore my second post.
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-04-11, 11:05 AM (EST)
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14. "Ashley- Steve/Rooster/Matt/Mike" |
Grant wins ICThe real Romber is not together this episode but the 5 Romber wanna bes are in full force I think Grant wins it and Rob is shown as just missing it at top of steps Steve loses and is off to Jury Ponderosa I think Mike wins, Matt in second and gets one of the family visits maybe Mike sacrifices...and also Natalie gets visit As for boot, I still think Philip and Andrea have something going on re Rob Boot as per the old conversation that was shown many eps ago. Does Rob play HII I don't think so I thik dabo has it right and Ashley tries to get rid of Philip too soon and Rob doesn't like it.
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Travel_Queen 138 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Blistex Spokesperson"
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05-04-11, 01:00 PM (EST)
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15. "**Ashley** SW/RK/ME/MC" |
Grant wins IC with Rob coming in a close second (Rob mentions in a promo how 32 days of work have gone to waste. I was torn between Andrea and Ashley for the boot, but I think that the so-called reunion of Matt and Andrea will be in the main game and not on RI. Both Natalie and Philip are under Rob's "protection" Mike wins the RI with Matt coming in second or third (doesn't matter as he gets to stay either way..amd Pagonging V2 of Zaps continues... Rob's family to visit will be brother Mike.
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Krautboy 2750 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Howard Stern Show Guest"
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05-04-11, 03:28 PM (EST)
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17. "SW/MC/RK/ME...IC:Rob...TC:Grant" |
Traveling this week, so thanks to VG and the vidcap analysis by everyone.The Matt's confessional matches up with a RI win. Ralph has done well when anything needs to be tossed, so he should do well, and Steve is probably going to join the jury. The IC vidcaps show Grant slightly ahead of Rob, and the shot of Rob sitting on the top steps could be victory or defeat. Jeff tells us that it's very close. The vidcap blow-up of the tribe walking to TC appears to show everyone except Rob carrying a bag, so I will assume that Rob has the IN around his neck. Strategies Revealed do not succeed...last week Grant and Rob's plan to vote out Andrea next was revealed to us. After being eliminated by Grant in the Log rolling last week, and almost losing to him again this week, Rob will realize that Grant must be eliminated before his HII expires. Grant would fit Jeff's description of a blindside at TC. (and just for fun...Rob's brother, not Amber.) Redemption Island: Matt wins Ralph 2nd Mike 3rd Steve loses Rob wins IC Grant is blindsided at TC.
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dabo 26942 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-04-11, 04:01 PM (EST)
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18. "Vote Tally #1" |
Doing this quicklyDuel finish order (4/3/2/1) Steve/Ralph/Matt/Mike: 5 Steve:Ralph/Mike/Matt: 5 Ralph/Steve/Matt/Mike: 3 Ralph/Steve/Mike/Matt: 1 Steve/Matt/Ralph/Mike: 1 Steve/Mike/Ralph/Matt: 1 Immunity Rob: 8 Grant: 6 Andrea: 2 Boot Grant: 6 Andrea: 5 Ashley: 3 Rob: 2
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Blind Freddy 444 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Daytime Soap Guest Star"
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05-04-11, 04:09 PM (EST)
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19. "Andrea - SW/ME/RK/MC - IC:Rob" |
TC votee - Andrea. I'm thinking fulfills her foreshadowing from last week.IC - Rob While I'm leery from the prior CBS promo manipulation at TC w/Rob. I'm choosing him over Grant who is shown leading in the promo footage(but I think it will be close) RI chal - SW/ME/RK/MC. Strength will be tested this week with only guys there. Mike is still at full strength and I predict him to win, followed by Ralph who also is still strong and has some previous chal experience in tile breaking accuracy. But strength is the key in this chal. Matt's reserves are getting depleted, but he will exhaust all efforts to remain in the game and honor his God. Steve is physically exhausted and will easily finish in last place and be booted from the game. RI Boot - Steve Oh, and no Amber.
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-05-11, 10:54 AM (EST)
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32. "RE: Andrea - SW/ME/RK/MC - IC:Rob" |
Nice picks!
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Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-04-11, 05:45 PM (EST)
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25. "RI Vote change: SW/ME/MC/RK" |
I was misunderstanding the shots of the visitors' entrance amid the tiles; it seems clear that Steve still has tiles left when they come in so he must lose. I like Parathor's idea that Ralph wins because there are still quite a few rocks on his pedestal.
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CTgirl 8013 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-04-11, 05:15 PM (EST)
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22. "Grant booted, X-Steve, Steve/Rooster/Mike/Matt" |
This is really just a stab in the dark based on what I've read on these boards. I was away until yesterday and haven't even watched last week's show yet. Oh, and I still haven't learned everyone's last names so I can't use initials in the subject. For Grant to get booted, Andrea must win immunity. He's too much of a challenge threat so I don't think it would be hard for Rob to get the 3 degrees to vote for him. At RI, the challenge takes as much skill as it does endurance so anyone could win but a few days on rice rations and Steve will be weak again and he takes the walk of shame.a Bragging rights: Rob's brother comes for the family visit. If Amber were there I think we'd have seen it in the promos. That would be a ratings booster.
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michel 10958 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-04-11, 05:39 PM (EST)
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24. "Andrea - SW/RK/MC/ME" |
I do not care about the RI order (it is crazy to have so many people still playing) only that Matt stays.Grant wins immunity. Andrea should be voted out. That is the smart move, especially if Matt remains on RI, but I think Ashley could cause trouble and get herself voted out. I noted her stare last week when Andrea said Rob could bring her to the finals so I think Ashley will start doubting Rob. Still, I will vote Andrea so that she can reunite with her boyfriend. Do we also have to vote on visitors...Jeff would certainly have wanted to get Amber on the show but he would not have been able to keep it quiet because he is such a gossip. Not Amber so his brother will visit him again.
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emydi 13669 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-05-11, 10:57 AM (EST)
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33. "RE: Andrea - SW/RK/MC/ME" |
nice picks
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p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
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