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Krautboy 2750 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Howard Stern Show Guest"

04-12-11, 08:56 PM (EST)
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18. "1st IC Rob TC Mike, 2nd IC Julie TC..."
I'm sticking by FloPo this week!

The first Immunity Challenge is well suited for Rob and the Tribal council vidcap alterations appear to hide the IN around Robs neck. We will assume that Rob wins the first immunity and the Ometepe alliance vote out a Zapatera.

Rob wants to keep his enemies close, so he takes Phillip and Mike with him on the Reward, but a HII clue probably triggers “Idol Paranoia”.

At TC Mike is the logical first boot for Rob and the Ometepe alliance and provides them a 6-4 buffer.

Rob “is pulling all the strings” and as Julie points out, probably after the first TC, “There’s no breaking their loyal shield”. Probably misdirection for what’s to come at the second TC.

Phillip is shown saying “I’ve got to make something happen”, misdirection that someone other than Phillip may be in trouble.

Rob doesn’t find the Idol and is afraid that one of the Zapatera’s may have found it, so Idol Paranoia takes hold.

The second challenge is the hanging endurance challenge, but with a 6-4 advantage some of the Ometepe probably choose food over a chance for Immunity.

JP’s blog comments are interesting…

Give us a sneak peak at what we can look forward to next week!
Next week is one of my favorite dilemmas: Immunity or food? I’m always fascinated by the people who choose to pass up the opportunity for immunity simply so they can have a slice of pizza or a cheeseburger. But we’ve never done this challenge without somebody taking the food. Take a guess who is eating next week?

Jeff suggests that some of those who choose to sit out probably shouldn’t. Phillip is probably among them.

The Zapatera have the most on the line and of them Julie has the most favorable strength to weight ratio, so I will predict her victory in the second IC.

Leading up to the second tribal council, Rob says, “I can’t shake the idol paranoia”. Rob is probably afraid that if the Ometepe’s vote for a Zap with an idol, he is vulnerable or forced to waste his idol…so he ends up deciding, “you have to gamble”.

Rob had Idol Paranoia when he decided it was safer to vote out Matt than a Zap. He still can’t shake the Idol Paranoia, so he will probably avoid an idol bounce by once again voting for an Ometepe rather than risking a vote for the wrong Zap.

Of the Ometepe’s left Phillip is the one who is trying to “make something happen”, so he will be the blindside.

By voting out Phillip Rob keeps his idol, avoids the risk of an idol bounce off of the wrong Zap, and still has a 5-4 advantage…sure one of his Ometepe 5 could flip next week, “but you have to gamble”.

First Immunity: Rob
First TC vote: Mike
Second Immunity: Julie
Second TC vote: Phillip


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Table of Contents
  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 SurvivorBlowsTribe, Time To Vote: S...   dabo     04-11-11       
   Mike + Steve   Scarlett O Hara     04-11-11     1  
   Mike/Steve Gone. Rob/Andrea Win IC'...   HitmanPayne     04-11-11     2  
   Mike 1st voteoff, Phillip 2nd voteo...   Round Robin     04-12-11     3  
   Mike & Steve xMatt   tribephyl     04-12-11     4  
   VO : Mike & Steve.................I...   Woogie     04-12-11     5  
   Mike and Phillip get axed at TC   kingfish     04-12-11     6  
     Mike and Phillip get axed at TC...X...   kingfish     04-12-11     7  
   Mike1 David 2   ajglitch     04-12-11     8  
   Mike and Steve   parathor     04-12-11     9  
     VOTE CHANGE: Mike and Ralph   parathor     04-12-11     12  
   Mike(TC9), Steve(TC10), no duel.   dabo     04-12-11     10  
     VOTE CHANGE: David(TC10)   dabo     04-13-11     22  
   Mike & Steve get booted; Rob & Gran...   Brownroach     04-12-11     11  
     RE: Mike & Steve get booted; Rob & ...   ajglitch     04-13-11     24  
         not a vote   Brownroach     04-13-11     29  
   Mike~Phillip   Flowerpower     04-12-11     13  
   Mike & David   CTgirl     04-12-11     14  
   Mike-Rooster alt Rooster-David   emydi     04-12-11     15  
   Mike booted first, then David boote...   Corvis     04-12-11     16  
   1st TC: MIke 2ndTC: David   michel     04-12-11     17  
   1st IC Rob TC Mike, 2nd IC Julie TC...   Krautboy     04-12-11     18  
   Mike, David   Travel_Queen     04-12-11     19  
   You're first, Mike; and you're seco...   Belle Book     04-12-11     20  
   Mike & Steve -- ICs Rob & Grant   kiki_k     04-12-11     21  
   TC#1 Mike TC#2 Ralph XMatt   KwietOne     04-13-11     23  
   No change in vote   ajglitch     04-13-11     25  
   Mike, Rooster   samboohoo     04-13-11     26  
   Mike, Steve   vince3     04-13-11     27  
     RE: Mike, Steve   vince3     04-13-11     35  
   Julie - Ashley   Rayne     04-13-11     28  
   Mike-TC9a, David-TC9b; IC9a Rob, I...   Blind Freddy     04-13-11     30  
   Mike & David   Loree     04-13-11     31  
   Vote Tally #1   dabo     04-13-11     32  
     RE: Vote Tally #1   Corvis     04-13-11     33  
         RE: Vote Tally #1   dabo     04-13-11     34  
   Ok two weeks in a row i am right   ajglitch     04-13-11     36  
     RE: Ok two weeks in a row i am righ...   Corvis     04-14-11     37  
     Congratulations   Krautboy     04-14-11     38  

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