LAST EDITED ON 04-06-11 AT 03:08 PM (EST)I am pretty much seeing eye to eye at this point with Brownroach.
Here are who I think the boot choices are:
1. Rob
2. Ralph
3. Mike
4. Steve
5. Phillip
6. Matt
First of all, Matt will win the RI duel and get back in the game. I do not think he'll have immunity in the first challenge. He is forgiving and will size up his options, and will be drawn back to the Ometepe's for now. He'll seek Rob out and strike a deal to work together, for now, as per the handshake. (I really had to explore him as I do think that at some point in time, he'll be the number one target. Dabo helped me realize if Matt were to go this week, it would be hard for Rob to control the vote next week...)
Phillip will definitely like the Zaps better and will note their great work ethic. But, as Jeff has told us, he's not dumb. While he respects them, he knows he most likely can not beat them mano y mano. So, he will bide his time and try to work his "plan" that he discussed with Andrea earlier. He will sit tight with the Ome's. I do think that he will spout off AGAIN at the TC, which could lead to his boot next week. He is definitely on Rob's radar.
Rob has 7 votes. He will want to keep it simple, I think. If Mike does not win the IC, and I highly doubt Rooster will, then Rob will spread the rumor that the plan is to target Ralph. All he has to do is let Ralph get wind that he could be the target, which would force him to play the HII. Ralph will most likely play it. Meanwhile, Rob will have all of them vote for Mike, the largest threat to win challenges. Phillip may be once again instructed to vote for Ralph at the TC. All of the Zaps will most likely vote for Rob. Rob doesn't have to play his HII. Ralph's idol is gone, and so is the challenge threat, Mike.
Let's say that Mike wins the IC, which he could. Then I think the same plan would come into play, but Steve would be the next victim.
And, to cover all bases here, if there is a second vote, a double boot this week, which I doubt, but it could happen, then I predict Ralph would be next. Plays is HII on the first vote, Mike/Steve goes. Second vote to boot someone immediately after the first, Ralph goes.
The Zaps could target Rob or Grant.
I predict the only thing jaw dropping about the TC will be Phillip and his mouth and probably something to do with that darn lion and gorilla....
ETA: Immunity Challenge Winner: Natalie