I love theorizing!

Rob: We've been shown some foreshadowing of this, with Phillip being a loose-cannon, and who-knows-what-Matt-thinks... but Rob has shown to be more worried of Matt than Matt of Rob. Phillip seems to be easily controlled by soothing words (which Rob is a master at, per Matt's earlier confessional). If there were ever a time to get rid of Rob, it'd be this episode... but I don't see it. *safe*

Phillip: Rob has talked more about Phillip than about all other survivors put together. It wouldn't make sense for Rob to sacrifice Phillip right now, and the Zaps don't have the voting power to get rid of him (especially if they think he's swingable). *mildly safe*

Rooster: Rob likes to keep tabs on where the hidden idol is. I can see him tricking Rooster into playing the idol, but right now I don't see Ralph as a threat, so I don't think this is his episode. *mildly safe*

Mike: Traditionally speaking, you get rid of the challenge beasts immediately or risk taking them to the finals. He's the strongest non-Grant person left. He had a spike in confessionals, he's featured in the commercials, and had his "storytelling" confessionals taken over by Steve... plus, Zaps are no more, so if there's no story left to tell, there's no need for a storyteller. *unsafe*

Steve: I thought about having him go last week, and was kinda-sorta guilted into not changing my vote. But everything I said last week still holds true: He's weak (even though he looks tough), and he had a dip/spike in confessionals. I think he's likely to be the alternate boot candidate. *unsafe*

Matt: Flips/blindsides happen at lower odd numbers (5, 7, maybe 9), not at 12. If he flips, it's 6v6. He hasn't been shown to be against Rob - he's been shown that he's looking forward to coming home. He wasn't shown as having a miserable time at RI (which would go towards having him get revenge - "see how YOU like living in isolation, Rob!") Andrea is shown to be skeptical of Matt, not shown as looking forward to having him come back so she can create a 3-person team. There MIGHT be a 3-person team of Matt/Andrea/Phillip, but this isn't the time to switch it up (if they switched, they'd eventually be 3v5 Zaps). He prefers to make friends, not to shake things up. *safe*

I think the question really is, when's the duel-boot? This episode, next, or never?