So you have no other thoughts on my analysis?
I was not critiquing your first episode response. That was good spec and it was the first episode. I was merely looking at which parts held up. I'm not psychic, so I'm not surprised when things evolve a bit differently. Are you?
This post on 3/22 was where you started theorizing that the reaction shots would all be pre-merge boots.
you wrote, in the Editing topic:
When Jeff explained the Redemption Island twist, it was Matthew’s surprised reaction that we heard first. Will he the one coming back from the island? The camera also panned to Kristina, Krista, Ashley, Francesca and David while Jeff explained the living conditions on the island...Russell was the one shown when Jeff explained the duels
In those 7 players, 5 have already been sent to RI. It suggests that Ashley and David will make the trip there soon.
You were going for 7 out of 7. When Ashley nor David went last week, you tried to bring Stephanie's head bobbing under David's reaction into the theory.
Prior to her vote out, I can't see that you considered Stephanie as showcased in these shots. If you had, doubt you would have written "With this confessional, Stephanie punched her ticket to the merge…and maybe well beyond" ... As she said this, we saw a little frog perilously trying to hang on to a branch as it crossed from one side of our screen to the other, obviously symbolizing Stephanie’s attempt to cross from one tribe to the other. The frog made it. ... It would be quite a story if, after relying on Russell, Stephanie made the end game by riding on Rob’s back. Is it too good to be true? Probably but she should make the merge and outlast the rest of her tribe. Post Ep-5 comments you made in your panurge46 topic at Sucks.
Either the editing tells us Stephanie is making the merge and flipping, or the editing tells us that Stephanie is going to be a pre-merge boot. Not both, at least not with accuracy.
Francesca was not the focus of any shot. She was IN wide shots that had Matt and Ashley making noticeable facial reactions. If focus does not matter and anyone in a wider shot counts, what is the rationale for paying attention to close-ups?
Mike, Steve, Grant, and Rob should be on the list of those who got focused reaction shots, which would seem to mess the 7 out of 7 prediction by making the 7 into 11. You don't explain why you cull shots from only one part of Jeff's speech about RI.
I would be interested to hear the rationale for not counting all of them. Bulletin Bored at Sucks did mention all of them when he/she proposed this was something to look at.
I have always agreed that shots are there for a reason. The question is whether they are there as a sneaky little Easter Egg presented by the editors to those who pay attention -- of the Seven Pre-merge Boots -- or whether they have another editorial purpose.
In my last post, I gave an alternate view of why those particular people fit the story Jeff was telling. It would be interesting to get a response from someone on that idea.
As far as I can tell, the editors alerted us that women MAY find RI living conditions harsh, that alpha males may get a second chance through the Duel, and that Russell was probably heading for a fall.
It did not give us a list of the exact boots and no one but the boots. It just didn't.
It was an interesting idea, but it didn't pan out. I don't see what the problem is with noting that it wasn't quite as simple as a list of the early boots. Odds were high that they weren't going to spell it out so precisely for us.
"Sometimes it's not enough to know what things mean, sometimes you have to know what things don't mean." — Bob Dylan