Thanks for doing this faithfully every week, dabo! I really appreciate it. I just wish Corvis could do the analysis, cause he's so good at it. I'll give it my best shot...

This week we are down to 6 left in the game, and 4 on RI. I'd say that this week Ashley, Nat, Rob, and Phillip are status quo....which bodes well for them all. Nat is flying well under the radar which is good that she makes it to F3, but it's bad that she will not win the game with no confessionals week after week. Ashley had one narrative confessional, which imo is also status quo, under the radar. I see nothing that she's saying that has any impact on the game. Rob and Phillip are the stars and they are status quo as well, no big spikes...I look at these four as safe

Grant and Andrea, OTOH, both had a spike. Andrea had a huge spike. Her confessionals all had to do with Matt. It seems like her entire game is in support of or wrapped up in Matt. Of the two characters, Matt seems the one that is more heavily weighted. I expect to see a Matt vs. Rob scenario down the road. Andrea is the supporting character in the movie. But, will she enable Matt in the end, or will she be supportive of Rob....that's the question. As the show winds down, it seems like Andrea is starting a dramatic arc of some kind. She could be getting ready to be reunited with Matt one way or the other...

Grant. He went from no confessionals to 2 confessionals, and that is the most he's ever had in one episode. His confessionals were also a bit meatier...he told us strategy...hmmmm. I think they would be considered what Corvis calls "D" confessionals. I'd say Grant is not long for this game. So, I'd say most likely to head to RI are indeed Andrea or Grant....