LAST EDITED ON 09-17-10 AT 11:34 AM (EST)

Confessional Analysis: As I recall (it wasn't me that used to do it). Confessionals used to get broken down into two main headings, T for talk (storytelling), D for dynamics (mainly strategy). For some confessionals I never really could tell which was which so I left it to the experts. There may have been a couple of other minor tags, I think there was, but I could be wrong about that.

Consistancy is good, inconsistancy is bad (sudden spikes can be deadly), patterns might reveal things; but that all depends on doing it every week and having it episode by episode for comparison. This early: the main storytellers in each tribe have a good chance to make it to the merge.

What it all tells us right now, mainly, is what we should already know: It's the Jimmy Johnson show! But it's early and it is understandable that they should focus on JJ a lot while he's in the show, that doesn't say anything about how long he'll last, whether he'll win, it just means he attracts attention.

For this thread's purposes I was looking for a winner quote, of course. But it occured to me while reading this stuff that it could be hidden in an observation someone made about somebody else. NaOnka's "girl, let's race" for example, could point to NaOnka or it could point to Kelly B. And, of course, it doesn't have to come from confessionals anyway, but that's a good place to look.