I'll have to combine this with Episode 2 before we get a vote off, but I thought I'd see where we stand.

DI Score (DWTS version)

29.97 Melissa & Tony
25.39 Lawrence & Edyta
20.89 Steve & Karina
19.49 Holly & Dmitry
15.60 Steve-O & Lacey
15.53 Lil' Kim & Derek
14.61 Giles & Cheryl
11.87 Ty & Chelsie
11.59 Shawn & Mark
11.54 Chuck & Julianne
8.73 Denise & Maksim
7.82 David Alan & Kym
7.00 Belinda & Jonathan

24 Giles & Cheryl
23 Melissa & Tony
23 Shawn & Mark
21 Lil' Kim & Derek
20 Chuck & Julianne
19 David Alan & Kym
18 Holly & Dmitry
18 Denise & Maksim
17 Steve-O & Lacey
17 Belinda & Jonathan
16 Lawrence & Edyta
14 Ty & Chelsie
13 Steve & Karina

I then took the Dial Idol Scores and did a % of the total score as well as a % of the total Judges score and added them together.

I took the average of that and the standard error to divide them into three groups.

Safe (Lowest risk of going home)
24.4% Melissa & Tony
19.3% Lawrence & Edyta
17.2% Giles & Cheryl
17.2% Holly & Dmitry

Probably Safe (Low risk of going home)
16.4% Lil' Kim & Derek
15.8% Steve & Karina
15.3% Shawn & Mark
14.8% Steve-O & Lacey

Possible Dance Off Peeps.
14.0% Chuck & Julianne
11.8% Denise & Maksim
11.7% David Alan & Kym
11.7% Ty & Chelsie
10.5% Belinda & Jonathan

Notes: Lawrence and Edyta had a pretty low judges score, but the voting seemed very strong. America likes it's dancing football stars. Steve and Karina also seem to have strong voting which may save them initially if this keeps up next week.

While Chuck and Julianne were on the top half of the judges leaderboard, they didn't get that much in the voting so it pulled them down quite a bit, maybe America doesn't like this twist that much. The Judges scores will probably keep them around awhile if this trend continues.