Thanks Grit, I watch on Hulu, the next day. I am all up to date now. I agree Jbug, probably Allison was talking about next episode week. If she meant only seven actual days between marathon and final weigh in, John obviously won. He has at least 25 lbs on Antone.
John and Antone lost about the same over the first month home. If the next month goes similarly John is an easy winner. By Grits stats I am thinking John could likely end up at 47% and no one could catch him.
The 100 K is the next bet and the hard prediction. I am thinking Vinny, Jessica, Jen, Joe and Sunny are in the mix. I agree, Ramon is all talk, although he ran the marathon suprisingly well. Wish they weighed him. That would be very predictive.
I hope whoever wins the 100 K also beats Ramon's weight, because then Ramon won't feel bad for losing to John for the 250 and losing out on the 100 K by winning the marathon. Ramon will sleep better if he knows he would have lost either way, and he did get 25 K. That is the best he could have done, most likely.
I love John's love for his wife and family. But, yeah, he is going to have to make some changes to avoid gaining it back. I heard Bob say once that the people who are unemployed the last month tend to win, because they can focus on their weight loss. For 250 K I would hope my wife and kids would help out a whole lot. It is only one more month for one heck of a check. John could have worded it better, more PC, but he needs to have his wife cover for him if he intends to win.
I thought this has been a great season. The contestants were friendly, the gameplay did not seem to take away from the show, makeover week could have been better, but Becky at least came off looking both great and improved. The trainers did reasonably well. Bob rocked. Dolvett is likeable, had decent results. Anna is leaving, and she partially redeemed herself after Bonnie got off her team and started dragging down Dolvett's team. Season 11 was better in my mind. But it the first season I watched, also.
I think there are three basic strategies or paths to choose from:
1) gameplayer strategy number one: vote off the contestants who present the greatest threat. Don't lose too much weight when you have immunity so the next week you have greater chances of staying above the line, make alliances, etc.
2) gameplayer strategy number two, for poor contestants or Bonnie types: vote off the worst players (as opposed to the best players) whenever you can, lose as much weight as you can, win any prizes you can. Understand that you will not win the big prizes ahead of time. The reason to vote off other poor contestants, such as Vinny or Ramon as opposed to John, Antone, Sunny, Jen, etc. is because poor players present no threat. No one cares to vote off the Bonnies because they will fall by the wayside sooner or later. With that in mind, it is always better for poor players who fall below the yellow line to be matched up against Jen or Joe or threatening players. Gameplay then dictates that the other players will vote off the bigger threats. So, the poor player strategy, is to make sure she does not fall below the yellow line with a Vinny or a Ramon. Consequently poor players need to vote off other poor players. They need to isolate themselves as the least threatening. Other poor players are their competition for this role.
Strategy number three: John's style. Skip alliances altogether. Vote however you feel. Make sure you lose as much weight as possible every week. Never fall below the yellow line. Advantage to this strategy is that at the end of the game, when you are measured by total weight loss, you have a 6% head start over the gameplayers and the contestants who could not keep up.
Strategy number four - for Sunny types, or better than average players. Lose what you can, as you are able. Follow Grits stats weekly. If you are 6% behind towards the end, bail on the 250 K and try for the 100 K.