LAST EDITED ON 05-06-14 AT 07:53 PM (EST)

"Shouting out first isn't a matter of luck but of preparation."

If you are aware of or ever attended a Reverse Auction you would realize that statement is incorrect.

In a Reverse Auction a ceiling price is established. If no one bites on that ceiling price, the auctioneer will incrementally decrease the value of the item until someone shouts out. Usually more than one may want the item at a particular price. In that case it goes to the bidder who shouts out FIRST.

Those who attend Reverse Auctions are prepared and know what they want to pay for the item. If a bidder loses out it's not because they were less prepared; it's because they were less fortunate by being beaten out by a split second among those shouting-out. The more who are vying for that item at a particular price, the more fortunate they need to have to win.

The Survivor auction is really a blend of both. Yes it starts out as a traditional auction; BUT the players are unable to bid more than $500, thus a ceiling price does exist.

In this case, as is the case of a Reverse Auction, probability and statistics apply simply because the more bidders who want that same item at the same ceiling price, the less percentage chance of being the first shout-out. Conversely, if fewer bidders are willing to shout-out for that same ceiling price there's obviously a better statistical chance of being the first shout-out. That's the point I'm making. And that's what Tony was hoping for from his alliance. If he was unable to be the first shout-out, he would have wanted someone other than Spencer or Tasha to win.

"I see that you have your own conspiracy theory going on there. Good for you! Finally..."

Rubbish...pure rubbish!

Listen, I'm aware that particular games may be formatted or season's twists can be advantageous toward a particular TYPE OF player. Historically, some formats/twists have favored the athletic; others have favored the pencil-necked geeks. Females, males and even the pathetically inept have been favored. And yes, Production may format particular twists/episodes where a castaway who has put out more effort and worked harder than the others might benefit.

My acknowledgement of those occurrences in NO WAY falls into a "conspiracy theory." To put those words in my mouth is utterly asinine. Conspiracy Theories are when it is suggested that production redo scenes to purposely favor or screw players. or when one player is purposely given the script to the season not privy to the other players.

Unless a whistle blower can provide total and indisputable proof of those shananigans, I will continue to poo-poo any conspiracy theory or silly nonsense posters may want to use to spin an episode simply because the season may not be going as they would like.