Skip the math...howabout a simple number...as in 3.
That's how many men are left in the game. So WORST case scenario for either Alicia or Christina is F4. And that's if Troy is deadset on taking Leif and Tarzan to the F3 which I'm not completely convinced of. I think Troy wouldn't mind facing a Jury with five men sitting between two women.

The way it is now, Alicia & Christina are least likely to make the F4 whereas flipping to the men one is GUARANTEED a F4 spot. Talk about giving the game to someone...this current scenario gives the game to Kim moreso than a flip "giving" the game to Troy.

Although it's possible for Troy to run the table, the odds are strongly against that. Challenge Studs don't come anymore dominant than Terry and he lost the final IC. What if we have another Gabon with a pathetic "build a House of Cards" final IC which would not favor Troy's athletic ability?

Should a F3 of Kim, Chelsea, and Kat materialize NO ONE can claim they didn't "see it coming" because Troy pretty much spelt it out for everyone.

Troy attacked Christina and Alicia???? LMAO!!!!
Troy was having a discussion with Christina when the b!tchy hag initiated the "attack" by butting her skanky nose into a conversation not even directed toward her. Troy REACTED appropriately.