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"Micronesia finale - vote thread"
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iltarion 1791 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Herbal Healing Drugs Endorser"

05-11-08, 02:52 AM (EST)
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19. "RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread"
LAST EDITED ON 05-11-08 AT 03:13 AM (EST)

Editing points.
1. Amanda has been forefront all season and based off my memory has gotten the most confessional time of anyone.
2. After the tribal switch, Malakal dominated every episode. The members of Airai virtually disappeared from the edit. Would a winner come from that tribe? Seems doubtful to me. Cirie and Amanda were on Malakal.
3. Every confessional and secret scene has painted Amanda in a positive light. We were shown one confessional where Parvati called Jason a loser, and Parvati's comments about Erik being the stupidest player ever were also left in the edit. We had a confessional from James disparaging the kind of person Parvati is, and we have been repeatedly reminded of Ozzy's ire towards her.
4. Parvati has not been forefront during the two episodes prior to the finale. She had only 3 confessionals shown, and one of those showed her lazy and perhaps overconfident at Exile Island. Amanda has had 5 confessionals during that time, and Cirie has had 7. Two episodes ago, Parvati was not shown at all until the RC, when they showed everyone.

Now, none of this means Parvati can't win. I still think she can win if Natalie does NOT make the F3 and with a good FTC, which she is capable of. I think Parvati needs the vote of either Natalie or Alexis, and she gets neither if Natalie makes the finals. I am starting to think now, especially after seeing the last two episodes again, that Cirie's chances are better than Parvati's. So, she can still win, but I think the odds are likelier that you are going to need to watch the season again.
Personally, in the editing, I see Ozzy's boot as Parvati's high water mark. That was her greatest move, but also, where the game turned for her. The editing since then has shown James dissing her, Ozzy throwing daggers at her at TC, and has shown in order, Natalie, Amanda and Cirie each forefront in 3 consecutive episodes down the stretch, while Parvati's story has faded to the background.

Revamped odds after reviewing of last two episodes-

Amanda - 5/2
Cirie - 3/1
Parvati - 7/2
Natalie - 30/1

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Table of Contents
  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 Micronesia finale - vote thread   smokedog     05-09-08       
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   frisky     05-09-08     1  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   iltarion     05-09-08     2  
     RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   garcor     05-09-08     3  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Loree     05-09-08     4  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Max Headroom     05-09-08     5  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Lasann     05-09-08     6  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   nailbone     05-09-08     7  
     RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   agman     05-09-08     8  
         RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   iltarion     05-09-08     9  
             RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   garcor     05-09-08     10  
             RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   jbug     05-09-08     14  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Colonel Zoidberg     05-09-08     11  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Aruba     05-09-08     12  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   PsychoKitty     05-09-08     13  
     RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   jbug     05-09-08     15  
         RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Wacko Jacko     05-10-08     16  
             RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Wacko Jacko     05-12-08     29  
                 RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   Aruba     05-12-08     30  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   MattyMax     05-10-08     17  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   michel     05-10-08     18  
     RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   iltarion     05-11-08     19  
         RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   michel     05-11-08     20  
             RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   beka     05-11-08     22  
                 RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   michel     05-11-08     23  
                     RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   CTgirl     05-12-08     28  
                         RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   michel     05-12-08     31  
   Cirie, Queen of the Couch   suzzee     05-11-08     21  
     RE: Cirie, Queen of the Couch   NedraSue     05-11-08     24  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   dreamerbeliever     05-11-08     25  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   memzoo48     05-11-08     26  
   RE: Micronesia finale - vote thread   aquariaqueen     05-11-08     27  

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