LAST EDITED ON 05-11-08 AT 03:13 AM (EST)Editing points.
1. Amanda has been forefront all season and based off my memory has gotten the most confessional time of anyone.
2. After the tribal switch, Malakal dominated every episode. The members of Airai virtually disappeared from the edit. Would a winner come from that tribe? Seems doubtful to me. Cirie and Amanda were on Malakal.
3. Every confessional and secret scene has painted Amanda in a positive light. We were shown one confessional where Parvati called Jason a loser, and Parvati's comments about Erik being the stupidest player ever were also left in the edit. We had a confessional from James disparaging the kind of person Parvati is, and we have been repeatedly reminded of Ozzy's ire towards her.
4. Parvati has not been forefront during the two episodes prior to the finale. She had only 3 confessionals shown, and one of those showed her lazy and perhaps overconfident at Exile Island. Amanda has had 5 confessionals during that time, and Cirie has had 7. Two episodes ago, Parvati was not shown at all until the RC, when they showed everyone.
Now, none of this means Parvati can't win. I still think she can win if Natalie does NOT make the F3 and with a good FTC, which she is capable of. I think Parvati needs the vote of either Natalie or Alexis, and she gets neither if Natalie makes the finals. I am starting to think now, especially after seeing the last two episodes again, that Cirie's chances are better than Parvati's. So, she can still win, but I think the odds are likelier that you are going to need to watch the season again.
Personally, in the editing, I see Ozzy's boot as Parvati's high water mark. That was her greatest move, but also, where the game turned for her. The editing since then has shown James dissing her, Ozzy throwing daggers at her at TC, and has shown in order, Natalie, Amanda and Cirie each forefront in 3 consecutive episodes down the stretch, while Parvati's story has faded to the background.
Revamped odds after reviewing of last two episodes-
Amanda - 5/2
Cirie - 3/1
Parvati - 7/2
Natalie - 30/1
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