Everyone is making too big of a deal out of Ozzy not bringing the HII. Afterall, if he wasn't planning on playing it, then there is no reason to bring it. Was he going to see something at TC that would make him think he needed it? Highly unlikely. Possible, I suppose, but highly unlikely.
If Jason swept the challenges, which he isn't going to, then he would deserve to win. I mean, come on, it isn't like he has been a complete jerk or something.
Alexis likely wins if she makes any F3 that doesn't include both her and Natalie. If it is Parvati, Cirie, and Alexis. I don't think there is much doubt Alexis would win. She would almost surely get Natalie, Erik, and Jason's votes, and I suspect it likely she would get Ozzy and Eliza's as well. Even if she didn't get all 5 of those votes, Parvati and Cirie would likely split some votes, meaning even just 3 votes could give someone else, like Alexis or Natalie or even Erik, the win.
So, if you think about it that way, Parvati ALSO doesn't want to be in an F3 with Cirie. Even if Cirie doesn't beat her outright, which she likely would at this point, Cirie at least could take a couple Fave votes away, giving a fan the win.
Parvati's probably ideal F3 would then be with Alexis and Natalie. But even then, she will need James or Amanda to forgive her enough to still vote for her. I believe Amanda might, but I doubt James or Ozzy will.
I am willing to change my mind a little and say that though it wasn't certain that Ozzy would win if he made F5, as Parvati said he would, it still would be a fairly big risk considering he would only need to win the F4 challenge against 3 women to make the Finals. In light of that, he did need to go at either F6 or F7, and since Parvati had immunity now, this WAS the best time for her to go after him.
I still think she lost his vote, but if she can recover Amanda and James, and maybe get a fair-minded vote from Eliza, then she can still win.
One problem with your editing analysis, michel, is that it makes no mention of the fact that Parvati virtually disappeared from the editing after the tribal switch. We had about 4 episodes in a row there that concentrated almost exclusively on Malakal. Who was at Malakal? Amanda, Cirie and Erik. I would say Amanda has actually gotten at least the most attention from the edit. Cirie probably has the best edit.
One thing I do know for sure, someone named "Paverti" is definitely not winning this.

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