We shouldn't be debating Palau still but I just wanted to point out that this is wrong:"They made a deal before the IC that they would be willing to play the "colored stone" tie-breaker at TC should the vote be 3-3. That spooked Caryn to be their fourth vote."
Caryn was the 3rd vote that gave them a shot at a 3-3 tie. Katie was the one spooked into being their 4th vote. If Caryn had realized her position of strength, she could have gone to Gregg and told him what Tom was planning.
Had Cirie faced the jury, neither you nor I know how it would have turned out against Terry or Aras. All I know is she had a shot.