Email this topic to a friend Printer-friendly version of this topic Bookmark this topic (Registered users only)		Archived thread - Read only  Previous Topic | Next Topic
Conferences Survivor Spoilers Forum (Protected)
Original message

Bebo 21083 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold" 10-31-03, 12:02 PM (EST) "Episode 7B boot sheet" During the past few weeks, posters have started boot sheets that I've found to be very helpful in figuring out who's at risk for the upcoming week. I thought I'd kick it off this week. - We know that the two returnees are safe this week, so the 8 players who survived TC in last night's ep are our targets. - There may or may not be a merge. DRAKE TRIBE Jon - AT SERIOUS RISK Pro boot: If there's no merge and Drake goes back to TC, he's toast. Rupert and the girls don't need a returning member to oust him. And if the returnee is indeed Burton, he'd probably enjoy the chance to get revenge on the guy he thought he had an alliance with. If there is a merge, he's still a good target, since Morgan can't stand him. Anti boot: He's not a threat to win physical individual ICs, given his poor performance so far. And wouldn't you love to be up against Jonny Fairplay in the final 2, given all of the people he's pissed off? Rupert - AT SOME RISK Pro boot: Big individual IC risk puts a target on his back. May have scared some folks with his outburst against Jon. Very popular with Morgan tribe, so loyalty cannot be completely assured. Anti boot: Spoiler information about his wife being flown down for the family reward suggests he's still around for a little while longer. Has a strong 3-person alliance, which should protect him if there is no merge. If there is a merge, Morgan may want to make Rupert fish for them awhile to build up their strength before getting rid of the provider, based on Andrew's comments during last ep. Christa - SAFE Pro boot: Has shown strength and could be reckoned with in individual ICs. Anti boot: Spoiler information about husband being flown down for the family reward challenge. Has a strong 3-person alliance that should protect her if there is no merge. If there is a merge, there are much bigger targets out there to be picked off first. Sandra - SAFE Pro boot: At this point, nothing. Anti boot: Has a strong 3-person alliance that should protect her is there is no merge. Not at all an individual IC threat, so she will not be a target should the tribes merge. MORGAN TRIBE Andrew - AT SERIOUS RISK Pro boot: Individual IC threat. Most likely outsider in Darrah's alliance. The person outside the "alliance of three" would be history if Morgan went back to TC. If there is a merge, Drake may target the leader of proclaimed leader of Morgan. Anti boot: If there is a merge, the younger Rhino or Rupert may be more obvious IC challenge threat targets. Rhino - AT SOME RISK Pro boot: Individual IC threat. Anti boot: Possibly the third member of Darrah's "alliance of three", which means he's safe if there is no merge. Probably not the first target for Drake, given Andrew's obvious leadership role. Darrah - SAFE Pro boot: Prior challenge success could suggest individual IC threat. Anti boot: Spoiler information suggests her boyfriend visits for the family challenge. Apparently, she's in a 3-person alliance, which would mean she's safe should Morgan return to TC. If there is a merge, Drake has much bigger targets to address first. Tijuana - SAFE Pro boot: Can't think of anything Anti boot: Definitely allied with Andrew. Probably one of the people in Darrah's alliance. That means she's got at least an alliance of 3, which means she's safe. Drake wouldn't target her when there are much bigger IC threats to go after first. We really do have guidelines here. Believe it or not, the Guidelines make things more fun. Really.   Top

Subject     Author     Message Date     ID    RE: Episode 7B boot sheet true 10-31-03 1    RE: Episode 7B boot sheet Bebo 10-31-03 2    RE: Episode 7B boot sheet Brownroach 10-31-03 3        RE: Episode 7B boot sheet LeftPinky 10-31-03 4        RE: Episode 7B boot sheet Blow by Blow 10-31-03 5        RE: Episode 7B boot sheet aethelstan 10-31-03 6            RE: Episode 7B boot sheet ExInterper 10-31-03 7  RE: Episode 7B boot sheet MakeItStop 10-31-03 8  RE: Episode 7B boot sheet LookeeLoo 10-31-03 9

Lobby | Topics | Previous Topic | Next Topic

Messages in this topic

true 9689 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold" 10-31-03, 12:21 PM (EST) 1. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" Great job, Bebo! The only things I'm unsure of are these- Andrew- Anti boot: If there is a merge, the younger Rhino or Rupert may be more obvious IC challenge threat targets. Andrew has taken the lead role in all of Morgans challenges, including last night. I think it is clear to everyone that Andrew is the leader, and the biggest challenge threat. Tijuana- Anti boot: Definitely allied with Andrew. I'm not sure why you think Tijuana and Andrew are definately alligned, maybe I've missed something. If Tijuana is a memeber of the Darrah 3, with Darrah and Rhino, how does she have an alliance with Andrew too? After her comments regarding Andrew's leader status, last night, I think she realizes that Andrew is in big trouble. If she knew Andrew had a solid alliance, I don't think she'd be as concerned. It's funny, but it seems the twist was put in the game to punish tribes for voting out strong members early, but I think it's going to backfire. It's clear from your analysis that the players who are the least threatening in challenges are still the safest.   Top

Bebo 21083 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold" 10-31-03, 12:25 PM (EST) 2. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" I made my anti boot comment about Andrew just to have something to say there. I really think he's the main Morgan target. As for Tijuana, she was the first one over to kiss his forehead after the strength IC, and we've been shown a number of occasions where he's sought her counsel to talk strategy. While she may be perfectly willing to cut him loose at this point, I don't think that's vice versa. I think Andrew would prefer keeping her around to the other Morgans. We really do have guidelines here. Believe it or not, the Guidelines make things more fun. Really.   Top

Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold" 10-31-03, 12:30 PM (EST) 3. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" I'm not sure why you think Tijuana and Andrew are definately alligned, maybe I've missed something. If Tijuana is a memeber of the Darrah 3, with Darrah and Rhino, how does she have an alliance with Andrew too? After her comments regarding Andrew's leader status, last night, I think she realizes that Andrew is in big trouble. If she knew Andrew had a solid alliance, I don't think she'd be as concerned. I think you're right, true, but while Tijuana is probably the third in an alliance with Darrah and Rhino, she was also strongly allied with Andrew and Osten, probably waiting to see which way the wind would blow down the line (smart!). Now that Osten quit, she'll disengage herself from Andrew too.   Top

LeftPinky 4150 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest" 10-31-03, 12:40 PM (EST) 4. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" Agree BR... I think T was in two alliances of three, one with Andrew and Osten and one with Rhino and Darrah. Her comments regarding Andrew sitting in prime seat (not exact quote) were very anti-Andrew. Now that WUSS ostened, Andrew is the odd man out - especially if Lil returns to Morgan. She truly dislikes Andrew and has a bone to pick with him (did she look angry last night or what??). Rhino would only be a Morgan target if there is a merge and Andrew wins II. I think the telling decision will be who the GT members align with upon return - they could control the flow of the game as they are immune and could help someone else win immunity.   Top

Blow by Blow 895 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Fitness Correspondent" 10-31-03, 12:45 PM (EST) 5. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" I'm in total agreement with your thinking on Tijuana and Andrew's alliance. The only thing I would add is that Tijuana may have some misgivings about the T/RyanO/Darrah alliance and whether she's a third wheel (I think she is). If this is the case, then she's probably going to look for a chance to ditch one of those players, but that probably won't happen until we're down to 4 or 5 players. So yeah, I'd say Andrew is in the biggest trouble on his tribe. Clearly his "leadership" isn't going to be needed much longer. I also think there's going to be a tribal IC next week, but if there were a merge and an IIC instead, would that change the rankings of each player? I would argue that Rupert and Andrew would be in more danger than Jon since they pose II threats. -P   Top

aethelstan 4435 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest" 10-31-03, 01:02 PM (EST) 6. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" I aslo agree, BR, Tijuana seems to be putting on a clinic on how to play the game. She has put herself in the decision-making group yet still flying UTR. She was in 2 3-way alliances (andrew/osten) and (ryan/darrah). I don't think she'll worry about being the odd one out in a F3 with Ryan and Darrah because she could probably outlast them in an endurance challenge. Slightly OT. Did anyone else notice that Jon told Rupert that Trish had one-on-one alliances with many members of her tribe? Seems like she was using the porn star - errr - Brian strategy. Not a bad choice considering how well it worked before. Regarding Ryan: There was a spoiler that said that a woman with a man's name did well in the game. Is it possible that the source was confused about who was who and that he thought that Ryan was, in fact, Darrah? Ryan can be a woman's name too. If this is the case, I could see Ryan going pretty far. Other than that, I think, Bebo, you've summed it up nicely. I see Savage or Jon as being the next one voted of pending the results of the (Individual??) Immunity Challenge. -aethelstan I am a moth. The OT board is the flame.   Top

ExInterper 3093 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Car Show Celebrity" 10-31-03, 03:02 PM (EST) 7. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" Agreed: Jon or Andrew goes next, and they may go consecutively. In addition to all the game logic stuff, the editing may bear this out as well. Of all the non-ghosts, only two were seen actively bashing the outcasts and vowing not to let the returning ghosts get a foothold in the game: Jon and Andrew. To me, this seems like foreshadowing that they meet their demise at Burton & Lil/Trish's hands.   Top

MakeItStop 1098 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest" 10-31-03, 09:39 PM (EST) 8. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" Great summary of the situation Bebo. I just wanted to remind people of the Jon and Shawn spoiler. I don't have a link but this is what I jotted down when I read it: We heard that Shawn and Jon are the last people to leave Isla Contadora on a plane. (Their photos were pointed at.) They might be the last pre-jury boots. I haven't had as much time as I would like to pay attention to spoilers so I don't even know if this is still a valid spoiler. But since Shawn just got booted, the timing seems right for Jon to go ... FINALLY! If you want breakfast in bed then sleep in the kitchen.   Top

LookeeLoo 1169 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest" 10-31-03, 10:40 PM (EST) 9. "RE: Episode 7B boot sheet" This one's too deep for me Bebo.   Top

Remove

Lobby | Topics | Previous Topic | Next Topic

Select another forum Lobby The Amazing Race Message Board Forums (Conference)   |--The Amazing Race Fanatics Forum (Protected)   |--The Amazing Race Basher Forum (Protected)   |--The Amazing Race Spoiler/Speculation Forum (Protected) American Idol Message Board Forums (Conference)   |--American Idol General Discussion Forum (Protected)   |--American Idol Individual Contestant and Judge Discussion Forum (Protected) Big Brother Message Board Forums (Conference)   |--Big Brother Fanatic Forum (Protected)   |--Big Brother Bashers Forum (Protected)   |--Big Brother Live Feed Updates And Spoilers (Protected) Survivor Message Board Forums (Conference)   |--Survivor Fanatic Forum (Protected)   |--Survivor Basher Forum (Protected)   |--Survivor Spoilers Forum (Protected)   |--Survivor Games Forum (Protected) Other Reality TV Shows (Conference)   |--The Bachelor / The Bachelorette Forum (Protected)   |--Dancing with the Stars Forum (Protected)   |--Other Reality TV Shows Forum (Protected) Off Topic (Conference)   |--The Help Forum (Protected)   |--Off-Topic Forum (Protected)