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Krautboy 2750 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Howard Stern Show Guest" 10-27-03, 00:00 AM (EST) "EP6 Confessional Analysis" EPISODE 6: Confessional Analysis Drake made the trip to TC for the third time, so the confessional count continues to be weighted toward the Drake tribe members… EP6 Confessional Count Note: Numbers in parentheses are previous episodes ---EP6…(EP5)… (EP4)…(EP3)…(EP2)…(EP1). High Confessional count: Rupert----6…(11)…(3)…(2)…(6)…(9) Andrew---5…(5)…(4)…(12)…(5)…(6) It’s obvious that Rupert and Andrew continued as narrators for their respective tribes, with Rupert continuing as star of the show. Moderate Confessional count Sandra---4…(3)…(2)…(2)…(3)…(9) Trish------4…(4)…(2)…(1)…(0)…(2) EP6 Boot Jon--------3…(3)…(2)…(3)…(0)…(6) Shawn----3…(2)…(3)…(2)…(2)…(6) Trish peaked in EP6 after a steady increase in confessionals over the last few weeks built to a climax with her departure. Sandra, Shawn, and Jon continued in their supporting roles without any dramatic changes up or down in their confessional count Under the Radar Ryan O---1…(4)…(2)…(5)…(0)…(2) Osten-----1…(1)…(1)…(2)…(3)…(8.) Darrah----1…(2)…(1)…(1)…(1)…(1) Christa----0…(0)…(6)…(3)…(1)…(9) Tijuana----0…(1)…(1)…(1)…(4)…(6) Osten, Darrah, Christa and Tijuana continued well under the radar for the second week in a row. Ryno’s confessional count is the most interesting this week having slipped into the background after a confessional spike last week. His is the only confessional count this week with a significant change. Conclusions: With the merge coming soon, Rupert’s role as narrator could be passed to someone else. His story could be considered complete and as such, he should be considered vulnerable. While Shawn should be considered vulnerable based on game logic, his confessionals do not indicate an upcoming change in his status. Osten falls into the same category as Shawn, in that the storyline suggests that he may once again be considering quiting. His confessionals show him well under the radar without any significant changes in the last several episodes. Based purely on confessionals, Ryno appears to be the most vulnerable. His confessional count spike last week, followed by his disappearance this week, may indicate that he is being hidden for a surprise boot in EP7. In addition, his character was softened as he was shown being kind to the pelican, defending it from Osten. Ryno could be next... Krautboy   Top

Subject     Author     Message Date     ID    RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis rose 10-27-03 1  RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis DRONES 10-27-03 2    RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis Brownroach 10-27-03 4  RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis badger 10-27-03 3  RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis Brownroach 10-27-03 5    RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis oddout 10-27-03 6

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rose 313 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Cooking Show Host" 10-27-03, 07:12 AM (EST) 1. "RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis" Krautboy, Excellent as always.. I tend to agree with you about Ryno, but would like to add that Andrew may also be in danger- note how his editing last week made many who previously dislike him now have a soft spot... Maybe not this week, but soon.   Top

DRONES 615 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Reality Show Commentator" 10-27-03, 08:00 AM (EST) 2. "RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis" LAST EDITED ON 10-27-03 AT 08:00 AM (EST) I generally agree with all of your conclusions, except for Ruperts story being almost told. His story is far from complete, and in order for him to be booted out MB is going to have to show him as less of a leader and a little bit more vulnerable. The only exception to this would be the "suprise boot" involving the BL et al. DRONES   Top

Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold" 10-27-03, 11:27 AM (EST) 4. "RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis" I don't think MB has to do much more with Rupert's story. The point was made last week that he is in an extremely powerful position, after the set up of him getting to know Morgan the week before. Rupert himself knows it, and even mentioned at TC that people were fearing he'd win individual IC's after a merge. It really won't be that much of a surprise if Rupert is booted in Ep 7 (probably 7b), imo.   Top

badger 1273 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Beef Jerky Spokesperson" 10-27-03, 09:51 AM (EST) 3. "RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis" Thank you Krautboy for once again contributing some excellent analysis. I just want to concur with Rose that Andrew's time may well be up too. Like Rupert, Andrew's role as the narrator for Morgan may not save him once the tribes merge. . . .when the tribes merge. . . . if the tribes merge. I, for one, am curious to see how the (possible) reentry of booted tribe members will fit into this confessional analysis. -badger   Top

Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold" 10-27-03, 11:52 AM (EST) 5. "RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis" KB, good observations about Ryno. Even though his confessional count dropped last week, he did get a reasonable amount of face time with the pelican's visit. Osten being featured in the previews might very well be misdirection away from another Morgan getting the boot -- though I'm a little mystified by Snewser's recent downgrade of Osten while keeping him in the jury pool.   Top

oddout 34 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Beauty Pageant Celebrity Judge" 10-27-03, 01:10 PM (EST) 6. "RE: EP6 Confessional Analysis" I also seem to agree that Andrew's time has come to an end. I believe that maybe Rupert knows that Andrew is the leader at Morgan and that would therefore make Andrew a big target if the merge happens this week. oddout   Top

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