Let's say the spoiler that Kelly wins three immunities in a row are correct. She wins the next one. Now Susan has to pick between Rich and Rudy. Who do you think she will vote for? I think that she will vote out Rudy. I think that in her mind (as in Rudy's mind), it is her and Rich to the bitter end.

Thinking this through then, Rudy will have to pick between Susan and Rich. He thinks he's with Rich all the way and will vote out Susan.

Rich, having to pick between Susan and Rudy, has the most difficult vote of his stay on the island. For the first time he has to make an independent, non-allied decision. He will think strategically: who can I win against in the final two? He will make the judgment that Rudy will get more votes than Sue (remember how both tribes cheered for Rudy in the chess game??), so Rich will vote out Rudy.

Kelly will vote out Susan, resulting in the infamous tie. Rudy vs. Susan. The only two votes that matter in the tie breaker here are Rich's and Kelly's. Which of these two will switch their vote? I think Kelly will. She's not as stubborn as Rich and she gets hungry....she'll get tired of waiting it out and announce a change in vote from Susan to Rudy, and Rudy will be history in the first tc of the next show. My guess is that he will make a Rudy-esque comment to Rich on his way out.

The next tribal counsel will depend entirely on which of the three get immunity. If the challenge is walking on fire, then Rich will win it....can't you imagine that his feet are not as tender as the women's? Susan never wins immunity challenges anyway. Rich will get to pick his challenger...and he'll pick Sue. (He will overestimate how "popular" Kelly is with pagong.)

So...in the end it will be Rich versus Sue. I think Sue wins. Here's how the voting will stack up:

Voters for Susan:
Greg (disliked Richard immensely)
Colleen (disliked Richard immensely)
Sean (seemed to like Susan)
Rudy (will be angry at Rich and will not want a vote FOR a "homosexual" on his record)

Voters for Rich:
Gervase (disliked Susan immensely)
Kelly (feels competitive with susan/will not want to see her win)

Not sure how Jenna would vote, but it doesn't matter. I kind of think she'd do the female thing and vote for her fellow chick: susan.

Susan wins.