LAST EDITED ON 05-01-03 AT 05:14 PM (EST)

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NOTE: THIS IS NOT THE THREAD WHERE THE MESSAGE BOARD POSTERS VOTE FOR THEIR 'OFFICIAL' PICK. THAT THREAD IS HERE
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Another week another uneventful pick... Heidi or Jenna... Jenna or Heidi... or Rob? It's a bit too early for Matt, Christy, and Butch to entertain thoughts of turning on Rob (not only don't they want to take any chance on putting Heidi or Jenna back into a position of power, but the last thing they what is to chance a 3-3 vote split at this point in the game.) The smart plan is to boot Heidi or Jenna, and only consider booting Rob the next council when the choice is between the remaining stick or twig and Rob (with Rob the current favorite to go.) Therefore this pick boils down to Heidi or Jenna...

If Chillone or the Bodogg casino story are to be believed (and at this point, why not) then Jenna isn't going anywhere. Add to that the fact that between the two HEIDI is much more of an immunity challenge threat (just think back to last's week's challenge that exposed the other player's opinions of Jenna) and it's clear that HEIDI is the likely boot. The only real chance of it not being HEIDI would be if she wins immunity, but that's also possibly explained away with the theory that even if HEIDI wins immunity she "shockingly" gives it away to Jenna.

Either way, HEIDI is gone tonight.

As for the challenges, CBS' teasers hint toward to MATT winning the reward challenge, therefore MATT is our reward challenge pick. In the immunity challenge, sure, the theory of HEIDI giving up immunity would certainly result in a "shocking" tribal council, but if there's one thing we've learned from this show it's that the promos are frequently over-hyped. And if there's another thing that we're learned, it's that during "collaborative" challenges like the plate-smashing challenge: A) rarely are the players foolish enough to allow the top couple of bootee targets to last very long in the challenge and B) the winner typically comes from a member of the dominant alliance.

Given such, despite how conveniently a Heidi victory fits in the "shocking" tribal council storyline, a Heidi IC victory would seem much less likely than one of Matt, Christy, or Butch (Rob's plate is already shown breaking in the previews.) Out of the three, we'll go with BUTCH as the immunity challenge winner.

-SB

PS HRCBJM