I continue to be amazed how well Christie does in this game (See my previous posts). I was contemplating what I would do next if I was Christie and wanted to win this game. The following facts seem to exist1) Heidi and Jenna make an alliance of 2 that everyone else dislikes and wants to voye ou during the next 2 episodes.
2) Butch and Matt seem to have developed a friendship from all there fishing together.
3) Rob is closer to Matt than he is to anyone other survivor right now.
If I was Christie and faced with these facts, I would go to Rob and say that we need each other to get to the final 2. Lets get rid of C and H during the next 2 weeks and then lets go for a tie with M and R in the Final 4. If we win that, lets agree to take each other to the Finals. Since B and M seem to have developed a close friendship, Rob's choice would seem to be to take C's offer or try to go with B and M to the final 3 and hope to win the final 3 immunity challenge. Since Matt seems to do very well in physical immunity challenges, this probably would not work.
This strategy would eventually fail, if Jenna starts to win the last few immunity Challenges, but it does get you to the Chill One's prophesy. First, the M,B, R and C alliance votes out Heidi. Then Jenna wins immunity and tells the whole world that I am voting for Rob and you should too. B and M realize that the safest thing for them to do to is follos J''s lead and also vote for Rob (Just like the original Tagi alliance following Sean's led and voting out the loser in his alphabetic strategy). Once again, an ally of Christy quickly falls. The following week, J once again wins immunity and Christy finally gets voted out much to the chagrin of all viewers.
Does this make sense as a likely way for the game to play out?