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"Probst comments from this morning"
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Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings
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04-11-03, 03:21 PM (EST)
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"Probst comments from this morning"

On Deena: "Was she overconfident? Yeah . . . its hard . . . you know, she was in control, but she got in too deep with Heidi. THAT'S the thing right there – the Jenna/Heidi bond is what people should watch out for.”

On Rob: "Yeah, he is really playing strong right now. He has a masterful way of being right in the thick of things, but staying just below the level where all the decisions seem to be made. He is such a good storyteller, and he absolutely feels he’s in control."

"Sometimes I have to try to . . . . a couple of weeks ago I said something to him about his comment about the Bushmaster being a porn star, because, you know, I’m playing my own game out there. I mean, Rob always wanted my approval –(affects a Rob voice) ‘Well, you know Probst, Heidi wants to go back and get her raincoat, but the rules state that once you arrive at a challenge, you have to compete with what you brought.’ He knows the game so well, and he is so in tune with what’s going on.

On Mateo: "Yes, he is absolutely clueless out there – at least in the social game of Survivor. But you know . . . when he became and underdog for me was back in week two, when he started talking to Daniel in Mandarin. That was a nice gesture, with no subtext, and reveals the kind of person Matt really is.”

"Did he throw the reward challenge? That’s hard to say. You know, in Australia, Colby was on a long truck ride to a reward and he said to me, ‘Probst, I think I need to throw a challenge’, and I said to him, ‘I can’t help you there, brother.’ The problem is that at this point in the game, everyone is afraid to give someone else an opportunity to take them down. Matt could dominate, but he just does not get that."

"Watching Rob manipulate Matt really shows how clueless he is, but at least Matt is honest. Rob is not giving him all the secrets.”

On Flying Under the Radar: "Is playing an under the radar-type game a good strategy? Well, that depends on how you look at it. I mean Alex is athletic and outspoken and lays it all out there for everyone to see, and he is doing fairly well. Rob, on the other hand, is just right there below the surface. He influences every decision without appearing to be the one driving the boat – he has a hand in everything that’s going on."

"Butch – now there’s an under the radar guy! Butch is a kind of a 'dote-de-doh, here we go' fellow who is on no one’s list, but he is also the kind of guy that can sneak up on you, and before you know it, you’re seen as a threat."

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  Table of Contents

  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 RE: Probst comments from this morni... Devious Weasel 04-11-03 1
   RE: Probst comments from this morni... Devious Weasel 04-14-03 2
       RE: Probst comments from this morni... Brownroach 04-14-03 3
           RE: Probst comments from this morni... jkokoj 04-14-03 4
           Boston Guy still kicking? Krautboy 04-14-03 5
               RE: Boston Guy still kicking? Devious Weasel 04-14-03 6
               RE: Boston Guy still kicking? PrettyInPink 04-15-03 7
                   RE: Boston Guy still kicking? Brownroach 04-15-03 8
                       RE: Boston Guy still kicking? PrettyInPink 04-15-03 9
                           Come on People, it's easy. Wacko Jacko 04-15-03 10
                               RE: Come on People, it's easy. Devious Weasel 04-15-03 11
                                   RE: Come on People, it's easy. tamarama 04-15-03 12
                                       RE: Come on People, it's easy. Loree 04-15-03 13

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Devious Weasel 18756 desperate attention whore postings
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04-11-03, 03:28 PM (EST)
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1. "RE: Probst comments from this morning"
The first statement kind of matches up with what Deena is saying in her chat. She says Heidi is a real manipulator and that she thinks Heidi, along with Alex, turned Jenna against her.
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Devious Weasel 18756 desperate attention whore postings
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04-14-03, 12:22 PM (EST)
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2. "RE: Probst comments from this morning"
Wanted to give this a little bump, cause I think this will be the key to Episode 10.

"THAT'S the thing right there – the Jenna/Heidi bond is what people should watch out for.” I think that, coupled with this

"A Survivor promises to vote against a trusted ally, sending the wounded friend into a flutter."

is how we get to an Alex boot. Alex says something to Jenna about them being a Final 2, Jenna repeats it to Heidi, and Heidi (right now, the only candidate for the role of 'wounded friend') goes into a flutter. Then, when Matt wins immunity, Heidi suggests booting Alex. She feels confident in doing so because she (along with Rob and Jenna) feel they can still control Matt to vote off Butch or Christy later.

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Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings
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04-14-03, 12:31 PM (EST)
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3. "RE: Probst comments from this morning"
Weas, I was just posting in MarkoPolo's thread about this Rob/Alex conversation:

>Rob: I had thought there would
>be three of us going
>to the final three at
>Jaburu. I thought Heidi and
>Jenna were in it together
>until the end. They're in
>it together up to a
>certain point. At four they're
>definitely going to vote together
>against me and whoever's left.
>
>
>Alex: Maybe, maybe, because I gotta
>tell you, neither one wants
>to go against each other
>in the final two. So,
>at that point they would
>want to get rid of
>the other. So they would
>vote against each other.
>
>Rob: The problem here is that
>the two of them have
>a deal to get to
>the final three. You and
>I made a deal to
>get at least to the
>final three. Someone is going
>to be screwed over.
>
>Alex (hard to understand): If we're
>in the final three and
>you and I wins immunity.
>And we take the other
>one off. It's you and
>I and then who knows
>what can happen.

This ties in with your idea -- somehow Heidi is made aware that Alex is going to vote against her.

Or maybe, in the aftermath of the above conversation, Rob plants the idea in Heidi's head that Jenna will vote against her?

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jkokoj 4389 desperate attention whore postings
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04-14-03, 02:08 PM (EST)
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4. "RE: Probst comments from this morning"
These four are definitly imploding. Instead of getting rid of one of the outsiders they are going to get rid of eachother. That is how ultimatley Christy, Butch and Matt end up in the final 4.

Good analyis Brownroach and Weasal!

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Krautboy 2750 desperate attention whore postings
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04-14-03, 02:55 PM (EST)
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5. "Boston Guy still kicking?"
So, does this mean that their is something to the BostonGuy comments that may still turn out to be true? Rob and Heidi vote against Alex?


Krautboy

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Devious Weasel 18756 desperate attention whore postings
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04-14-03, 03:46 PM (EST)
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6. "RE: Boston Guy still kicking?"
I’ve been wondering that myself. I don’t think Matt, Butch, and Christy would believe Jenna or Heidi if they told M/B/C that they were voting against Alex. But they would believe Rob. And, if J/H wanted Alex out, they would have to get at least one of M/B/C to vote with them. Thus, they would need Rob to spread the word.
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PrettyInPink 85 desperate attention whore postings
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04-15-03, 01:36 PM (EST)
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7. "RE: Boston Guy still kicking?"
LAST EDITED ON 04-15-03 AT 01:40 PM (EST)

I don't know - it would have to mean something pretty drastic to happen on Heidi's part - like Rob really persuading her, or a fight with Alex. In ep. 9, Heidi went running to Jenna to tell her about Deena wanting to boot Alex, with her confessional saying that she had an alliance with them and wasn't going to go against it. Heidi wanting Alex gone just doesn't add up. (Edit to add: I just saw Brownroach's post about Alex and Rob's conversation - now it makes sense! I didn't see that Alex was planning on voting against her.)

(Of course, until we saw Gabe getting his torch snuffed, I'd have called anyone crazy who said Rotu would vote him out in a landslide, LOL!! So who knows?)


"His name is Blane??? That's a major appliance, that's not a name!!"

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Brownroach 15341 desperate attention whore postings
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04-15-03, 02:46 PM (EST)
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8. "RE: Boston Guy still kicking?"
PIP, I just saw your reference to my post -- just to be clear, Alex hasn't actually said he plans to vote against Heidi (that we know of). Devious Weasel and I were just speculating, based on the Alex/Rob conversation, that Heidi might become persuaded that he is going to vote against her, either by Jenna or by Rob.
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PrettyInPink 85 desperate attention whore postings
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04-15-03, 02:49 PM (EST)
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9. "RE: Boston Guy still kicking?"
Aaaahh... okay, gotcha!

But truly, when I read back on the transcript of Alex and Rob's conversation, I think you have something there. Let's just say that Alex is certainly alluding to maybe voting her off!


"His name is Blane??? That's a major appliance, that's not a name!!"

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Wacko Jacko 2438 desperate attention whore postings
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04-15-03, 04:35 PM (EST)
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10. "Come on People, it's easy."
At this point Rob knows he will be the one voted out by the other three. He also realizes that he has Matt and Butch. Christy has already voted against Alex because he is a threat. Rob teams with the other three. They vote out Alex next. Where do you get that Alex and Rob are friends? Or have an alliance? After Alex is voted out (next episode). The controlling four (Rob, Matt, Butch and Christy) then vote out Heidi the following week. After that one of two things happen. Or both. Jenna may win immunity or Matt, Butch and Christy now realize they are in control and get tried of Rob trying to be the leader and vote him out. There you are now left with the final four.

Heidi and Jenna will never turn on each other. You are buying the CBS hype again. If any 'friend' turns on another it will be Matt turning on Rob. Or Rob on Heidi (see below). Clues are never the most obvisious choices.

After Alex gets voted out. Heidi and jenna may also now know they are the next two to go. So Heidi goes straight to Matt and Maybe Butch and tells them Rob's strategy. Rob has been way too open about what a clueless idiot he thinks Matt is. The two friends might also be Heidi and Rob. Remember the crush? We will probably see Rob and Heidi getting along well this coming week. We were not told Rob digs Heidi for it not to come into the picture sooner or later. Also remember Rob saying that outside the game Heidi would not give him the time of day. He'd get rid of her in a second and I predict foreshadowing.

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Devious Weasel 18756 desperate attention whore postings
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04-15-03, 05:07 PM (EST)
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11. "RE: Come on People, it's easy."
Well, I'm not sure we ever suggested Alex and Rob were friends. But as for an alliance, there is this from the Yahoo Premium stuff Marcopolo posted

"Rob (speaking to Alex): The problem here is that the two of them have a deal to get to the final three. You and I made a deal to get at least to the final three. Someone is going to be screwed over."

That would suggest an alliance in place between Alex and Rob.

Further, I don't think any of us believe that Jenna and Heidi will turn on each other. Alex may have told Rob that, but that doesn't mean that Rob (or we) believe him. On the other hand, Rob, knowing the insecurity of his position within the Kool Kids Alliance, may take that to Heidi (the only person at present that we know fits the definition of a wounded friend - well, Butch is wounded, but I just can't see him going all a flutter). And it may, in fact probably will, turn out to be nothing, cause she and Jenna will hug and everything will be okay again. But it could lead to a possibility of Jenna and Heidi being willing to vote against Alex. A remote possibility, perhaps, but a possibility nonetheless.

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tamarama 1785 desperate attention whore postings
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04-15-03, 05:28 PM (EST)
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12. "RE: Come on People, it's easy."
I believe Rob & Alex HAD an alliance, just like D/J/H HAD an alliance -- I think it was made pretty clear last week that once Hef & the girls got together their previous alliances went out the window. They were willing to string Deena (and now Rob) along until Deena decided to target one of them. The strongest (or only)actual alliance at this point is A/J/H, with Rob along for numbers. He'll see that, and that's why he'll jump.

As for the 'wounded' friend, I took that to mean hurt feelings, not a literal physical injury.

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Loree 8616 desperate attention whore postings
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04-15-03, 05:32 PM (EST)
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13. "RE: Come on People, it's easy."
Rob did tell Deena that he and Alex had an alliance when they came over to Jabaru. And Rob and Alex had a convo with Matt where Alex and Rob told Matt they would be final 3. So Rob and Alex had agreed to an alliance at one time. But whether they both planned to honor it is another thing.
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