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NOTE: THIS IS NOT THE THREAD WHERE THE MESSAGE BOARD POSTERS VOTE FOR THEIR 'OFFICIAL' PICK. THAT THREAD IS HERE
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SurvivorBlows Note: I enjoyed and agreed with sleeeve's vote in the voting thread so much this week and I'm so strapped for time that I'm just going to blatantly steal it and appropriate it for our official predictions, enjoy!
Here's our typical episode formula:
Subplot 1:
A:"I really have a craving for ______. I sure miss
_____. If only we could have some _________."
Jeff Probst: "Today's reward is ________. Good luck"
Option 1: A: "Yay I won, and everyone is happy for
me."
Option 2: A: "Aww... I lost, and I'm pissed that so-and-so
won.
Episode 10: Vee wants a special b-day present. We know
from previews that people are jealous of whoever wins, so
Vee must not win (or be taken by the winner).
This eliminates Vee, Sean and probably Kathy as possible
RC picks, because in all three situations, Vee would get
cruise ship reward. Either the P/N or the R/T
combination must go on the ship.
Subplot 2:
B: "Even though I'm in an alliance and everyone with a
brain knows I'm safe at tribal council, I suddenly think
I might be voted out unless I win immunity."
C: "B has been pissing me off with some little thing
that doesn't matter. I think I might vote for
B, although that would be the single dumbest thing I
could do at this point."
Jeff Probst: "B wins immunity, and is safe tonight"
Episode 10: We know that Kathy is suddenly gonna go on
a shark hunt. I suspect that it will remind
a lot of people of her earlier fire/shellfish tirades.
They will imply that she might be voted off (even
though we know it's not really an issue at all),
and then she will win immunity.
Subplot 3:
D: "I was the obvious target last week. But E
did something really bad, and now I think I might
be able to turn the tides and get back in
this game."
E: "I didn't think it was a big deal, but suddenly
everyone's upset at me... Why do they hate me?"
F: "I'm voting for E tonight."
Jeff Probst: "D... you have been voted out of the tribe.
Everyone saw it coming until we cleverly tricked our
audience by broadcasting that E was in danger. By
next week, everyone will have forgotten about E."
Episode 10: First and foremost... the previews say nothing about the
clear and present danger that Robert and Tammy are facing.
Tammy is gone, unless she wins immunity, in which
case Robert is gone. Since the previews have left
this out, we must assume that the boot will be
the obvious one (otherwise, they'd be cramming a T/R boot
down our throats with the previews).
Since they give us two scenarios that present possible alternate boots,
we know that the typical editing applies. One of
the possible alternate boots will win immunity. In this
case, that person is Kathy.
The other possible alternate boot (the RC winners) is a red
herring. Since I'm predicting the obvious boot, this must
mean that P/N wins the reward (and Paschal wins it--
see my thoughts on the SOTS thread and on the
RC vote thread).
Okay... so P/N are the red herrings (their bond is too
close... Pappy's won two in a row... blah blah blah),
and Tammy does NOT win immunity (otherwise the preview would
ask if Tammy could save herself from doom for a
third week in a row).
We know that of T/R, Tammy is the stronger threat, both
physically and strategically. Thus, Tammy, the obvious boot, will
be voted out of the game.
Summary:
RC - Paschal takes Neleh (alternate: Neleh takes Paschal)
IC - Kathy (alternate Neleh, second alternate Paschal)
BOOT - Tammy (alternate Robert)
Next week, look for cracks in the alliance to start to
form, as Robert tries to re-ally with P/N, and the
RC winners from this week suddenly find bright red targets
painted on thier backs... as we continue to correctly predict
the "most unpredictable season ever".