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"AI-8 Dial Idol and Other Prediction..."
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zazzy 4390 desperate attention whore postings
DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"

04-22-09, 09:34 AM (EST)
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47. "RE: Top 7, again."
Dial Idol's webmaster agrees that something is wonky with Lil's data from last night:

http://www.dialidol.com/asp/news/news.asp

"Make no mistake about it - the predictions are simply too close to call this week. No one is predicted to be flat-out safe for the first time this season therefore DialIdol can't be wrong because it really isn't making any prediction.

I ran through a simulation of last nights vote - filtering out the dialers I had found last night who seemed to be getting a disproportionately high number of busy signals for Lil (even during the 9pm hour where filtering wasn't in place yet) and the resulting prediction still had Lil solidly in the second row on the chart though teetering on the brink of the third row where Danny was. Everything else was unchanged order wise. Also the predictions were still too close too call - much closer in fact. Here is what it looked like when I filtered these dialers out."

See link above for the chart and many iterations of data.

--And--

"It looks like there is some weird stuff going on with Lil Rounds prediction this week. I did some analysis during the first hour of voting and found three of 24 people dialing for her with busy percents way out of whack. Two of those three were calling from the same area code. I filtered those dialers out at about 10pm but the "damage" was done. In a way I believe this has more to do with a disproportionate number of callers for her compared to the rest of the contestants. She only got 40% of the calls that the next highest total. This makes her data very unreliable and probably over-inflated. If there are going to be any surprises they will probably come from her. I believe she is ranked higher on the chart than she the data suggests she should be."

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Table of Contents
  Subject     Author     Message Date     ID  
 AI-8 Dial Idol and Other Prediction...   Snidget     02-18-09       
   First 12 Semifinalists.   Snidget     02-18-09     1  
   Second Group of 12   Snidget     02-26-09     2  
     RE: Second Group of 12   Estee     02-26-09     3  
         RE: Second Group of 12   Snidget     02-26-09     4  
             RE: Second Group of 12   emydi     02-26-09     5  
         RE: Second Group of 12   emydi     02-26-09     8  
             RE: Second Group of 12   Belle Book     02-26-09     9  
   RE: AI-8 Dial Idol and Other Predic...   kingfish     02-26-09     6  
     RE: AI-8 Dial Idol and Other Predic...   goheels     02-26-09     7  
   Group 3 dial idol   Snidget     03-04-09     10  
     RE: Group 3 dial idol   vince3     03-04-09     11  
         RE: Group 3 dial idol   Snidget     03-04-09     12  
             RE: Group 3 dial idol   vince3     03-04-09     13  
                 RE: Group 3 dial idol   Snidget     03-04-09     14  
                 RE: Group 3 dial idol   emydi     03-04-09     15  
   Top 13 Raw numbers   Snidget     03-06-09     16  
     RE: Top 13 Raw numbers   emydi     03-06-09     17  
         RE: Top 13 Raw numbers   Snidget     03-06-09     18  
             RE: Top 13 Raw numbers   emydi     03-06-09     19  
   Top 13 DI   Snidget     03-11-09     20  
     RE: Top 13 DI   Estee     03-11-09     22  
     RE: Top 13 DI   emydi     03-11-09     23  
   AOL and Vote Fair   Snidget     03-11-09     21  
   Top 11 Dial Idol   Snidget     03-18-09     24  
   Top 11 AOL and Votefair   Snidget     03-18-09     25  
   Top 10 Dial Idol   Snidget     03-26-09     26  
     RE: Top 10 Dial Idol   true     03-26-09     28  
         RE: Top 10 Dial Idol   zazzy     03-26-09     29  
             RE: Top 10 Dial Idol   true     03-26-09     31  
     RE: Top 10 Dial Idol   DoodleBug     03-26-09     30  
         RE: Top 10 Dial Idol   Belle Book     03-26-09     32  
   AOL and Votefair Poll   Snidget     03-26-09     27  
   Top 9 Dial Idol   Snidget     04-01-09     33  
   Top 9 Other Polls   Snidget     04-01-09     34  
   Top 8 Dial Idol   Snidget     04-08-09     35  
     RE: Top 8 Dial Idol   zazzy     04-08-09     37  
         RE: Top 8 Dial Idol   Snidget     04-08-09     38  
   Top 8 other polls   Snidget     04-08-09     36  
     RE: Top 8 other polls   dragonflies     04-08-09     39  
   Top 7 Dial Idol   Snidget     04-15-09     40  
     RE: Top 7 Dial Idol   zazzy     04-15-09     42  
         RE: Top 7 Dial Idol   Snidget     04-15-09     43  
   Top 7 Other Polls   Snidget     04-15-09     41  
   Top 7, again.   Snidget     04-22-09     44  
     RE: Top 7, again.   zazzy     04-22-09     47  
   Top 7 w2 other polls   Snidget     04-22-09     45  
     RE: Top 7 w2 other polls   zazzy     04-22-09     46  
   Top Five Dial Idol   Snidget     04-29-09     48  
   Top 5 other polls   Snidget     04-29-09     49  
     RE: Top 5 other polls   zazzy     04-29-09     50  
     RE: Top 5 other polls   Ahtumbreez     04-30-09     51  
         RE: Top 5 other polls   zazzy     04-30-09     52  
             RE: Top 5 other polls   emydi     04-30-09     53  
                 RE: Top 5 other polls   Glow     04-30-09     54  
                 RE: Top 5 other polls   zazzy     05-06-09     58  
   Top 4 Dial Idol   Snidget     05-06-09     55  
     RE: Top 4 Dial Idol   vince3     05-06-09     57  
   Top Four Other Polls   Snidget     05-06-09     56  
   Top Three Dial Idol   Snidget     05-13-09     59  
     RE: Top Three Dial Idol   Snidget     05-13-09     61  
         RE: Top Three Dial Idol   zazzy     05-13-09     62  
         RE: Top Three Dial Idol   DoodleBug     05-13-09     63  
         RE: Top Three Dial Idol   Syndyloo     05-13-09     64  
             RE: Top Three Dial Idol   Snidget     05-13-09     65  
                 RE: Top Three Dial Idol   Syndyloo     05-13-09     66  
   Top 3 Other sites   Snidget     05-13-09     60  
   Finally   Snidget     05-20-09     67  
     RE: Finally   vince3     05-20-09     68  
         RE: Finally   emydi     05-20-09     69  
             RE: Finally   Snidget     05-20-09     70  
                 RE: Finally   vince3     05-20-09     71  
     RE: Finally   seahorse     05-20-09     72  
         RE: Finally   seahorse     05-20-09     73  
             RE: Finally   emydi     05-21-09     74  

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