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"AI7 DialIdol/VoteFair Rankings"
xwraith27 1136 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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02-19-08, 08:01 PM (EST)
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"AI7 DialIdol/VoteFair Rankings" |
Here's where we can keep a running tally of VoteFair and DialIdol scores after each performance show. I started a thread like this last season and it looks like it can be a good way to try and predict who'll get eliminated next.
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Author |
Message Date |
ID |
02192008 - Preshow VoteFair Ranking... |
xwraith27 |
02-19-08 |
1 |
Semifinals, Week 1 |
xwraith27 |
02-20-08 |
2 |
RE: Semifinals, Week 1 |
Snidget |
02-20-08 |
3 |
RE: Semifinals, Week 1 |
emydi |
02-20-08 |
4 |
RE: Semifinals, Week 1 -Girls |
Snidget |
02-21-08 |
5 |
RE: Semifinals, Week 1 -Girls |
xwraith27 |
02-21-08 |
7 |
RE: Semifinals, Week 1 -Girls |
Snidget |
02-21-08 |
8 |
RE: Semifinals, Week 1-by state |
Snidget |
02-21-08 |
6 |
VoteFair Rankings, Week 1 |
xwraith27 |
02-22-08 |
9 |
RE: AI7 DialIdol/VoteFair Rankings |
zazzy |
02-22-08 |
10 |
Top 10 Boys |
Snidget |
02-27-08 |
11 |
RE: Top 10 Boys |
zazzy |
02-27-08 |
12 |
Top 10 girls |
Snidget |
02-28-08 |
13 |
RE: Top 10 girls |
xwraith27 |
02-28-08 |
14 |
VoteFair Results, Week 2 |
xwraith27 |
02-28-08 |
15 |
Top 8 Boys |
Snidget |
03-05-08 |
16 |
Top 8 Girls |
Snidget |
03-06-08 |
17 |
VoteFair Rankings, Week 3 |
xwraith27 |
03-06-08 |
18 |
Top 12 Rankings |
Snidget |
03-12-08 |
19 |
Zabasearch prediction |
Snidget |
03-12-08 |
20 |
RE: Top 12 Rankings |
xwraith27 |
03-16-08 |
21 |
RE: Top 12 Rankings |
zazzy |
03-17-08 |
22 |
Top 11 Rankings. |
Snidget |
03-19-08 |
23 |
Top 10 Rankings |
Snidget |
03-26-08 |
24 |
RE: Top 10 Rankings |
zazzy |
03-26-08 |
25 |
Top 10 Zabasearch results |
zazzy |
03-26-08 |
26 |
RE: Top 10 Zabasearch results |
Snidget |
03-26-08 |
27 |
Top 9 |
Snidget |
04-02-08 |
28 |
RE: Top 9 |
zazzy |
04-02-08 |
29 |
Top 8 |
Snidget |
04-09-08 |
30 |
RE: Top 8 |
zazzy |
04-09-08 |
31 |
RE: Top 8 |
zazzy |
04-09-08 |
32 |
RE: Top 8 |
nailbone |
04-09-08 |
33 |
RE: Top 8 |
zazzy |
04-10-08 |
38 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
Snidget |
04-10-08 |
34 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
Magnolia_Rocker |
04-10-08 |
35 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
Ahtumbreez |
04-10-08 |
36 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
nailbone |
04-10-08 |
37 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
CattyChat |
04-10-08 |
39 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
Corvis |
04-10-08 |
40 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
nailbone |
04-10-08 |
41 |
RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers |
Snidget |
04-10-08 |
42 |
RE: AI7 DialIdol/VoteFair Rankings |
Ahtumbreez |
04-16-08 |
43 |
VoteFair's Top 7 |
xwraith27 |
04-16-08 |
44 |
Top 5 |
Snidget |
04-30-08 |
45 |
Top 4 |
Snidget |
05-07-08 |
46 |
Top 3 |
Snidget |
05-14-08 |
47 |
Top 2 |
Snidget |
05-21-08 |
48 |
RE: Top 2 |
zazzy |
05-21-08 |
49 |
RE: Top 2 |
Snidget |
05-21-08 |
50 |
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xwraith27 1136 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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02-20-08, 00:41 AM (EST)
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2. "Semifinals, Week 1 " |
LAST EDITED ON 02-20-08 AT 07:03 AM (EST)Guys' Final Scores: David Archuleta 12.55 Michael Johns 10.6 Jason Castro 8.22 Danny Noriega 7.69 David Hernandez 7.12 Jason Yeager 6.15 Robbie Carrico 5.3 Luke Menard 4.84 David Cook 0 Colton Berry 0 Chikezie Eze 0 Garrett Haley 0 Everyone in green is predicted to be safe
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xwraith27 1136 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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02-21-08, 06:51 AM (EST)
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7. "RE: Semifinals, Week 1 -Girls" |
Anyone else finding it weird that the top 7 guys all had higher scores than the top-rated girl? Maybe they added more phone lines to accommodate more calls and DialIdols scoring algorithms might not have been updated yet. Even the busy signals data are quite low for everyone.
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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02-21-08, 07:47 AM (EST)
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8. "RE: Semifinals, Week 1 -Girls" |
I don't find it that odd at all. It looks like the guys had more consensus on who was good and who wasn't.If you look at the state by state wins a few guys won all the states. For the women almost everyone won a state and no one had all that many states. There did seem to be very few busy signals last night, but I'm not sure how it compares to last year. If I remember correctly last year there seemed to be a big jump in capacity and that showed up as many fewer busy signals for Dial Idol users. I also wouldn't place too much faith in the dial idol numbers as they aren't sampled evenly, and I think the math really needs a pretty high number of busies to work really well. I use DialIdol and I had one busy for the girls and only a few busies for the guys I voted for. So there may be another bump in capacity, or it could be that this early in the season the votes are more spread out. Again, going on memory, but it seems that there are many fewer busies in the rounds with a lot of people to vote for. That is why after awhile they start having 2 or 3 numbers per person as once you get down to just a few left, then the system gets overloaded if there is just one number.
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xwraith27 1136 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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02-22-08, 02:10 AM (EST)
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9. "VoteFair Rankings, Week 1" |
Rank | Girls | Guys |
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First most-popular | Ramiele Malubay | David Archuleta | Second most-popular | Syesha Mercado | Michael Johns | Third most-popular | Asia'h Epperson | Jason Castro | Fourth most-popular | Brooke White | Robbie Carrico | Fifth most-popular | Alaina Whitaker | David Cook | Sixth most-popular | Carly Smithson | David Hernandez | Seventh most-popular | Amanda Overmyer | Danny Norriega | Eighth most-popular | Kady Malloy | Colton David Berry | Ninth most-popular | Alexandrea Lushington | Luke Menard | Tenth most-popular | Kristy Lee Cook | Jason Yeager | Eleventh most-popular | Joanne Borgella | Chikezie Eze | Twelfth most-popular | Amy Jean Davis | Garrett Haley |
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zazzy 4390 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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02-22-08, 10:46 AM (EST)
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10. "RE: AI7 DialIdol/VoteFair Rankings" |
Cool data, thanks for providing. I was surprised to see David Cook not doing well so early on.
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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02-27-08, 06:31 AM (EST)
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11. "Top 10 Boys" |
LAST EDITED ON 02-27-08 AT 06:32 AM (EST)Dial Idol Score. David A is safe, the rest could be from 2-10 so at risk. 19.43 David Archuleta 7.91 Jason Yeager 7.82 Robbie Carrico 5.76 David Cook 5.51 David Hernandez 5.25 Michael Johns 4.71 Jason Castro 3.27 Chikezie 3.24 Danny Noriega 3.2 Luke Menard GeoPredictions (wins by state) States Won 26 David Archuleta 3 Danny Noriega 3 Chikezie 2 Jason Yeager 1 Michael Johns 1 David Cook 0 Robbie Carrico 0 Luke Menard 0 Jason Castro 0 David Hernandez 1 Tie 13 No Score 50 Total Vote Fair 1 David Archuleta 2 Michael Johns 3 Jason Castro 4 David Hernandez 5 David Cook 6 Robbie Carrico 7 Danny Noriega 8 Luke Menard 9 Jason Yeager 10 Chikezie Agman's like a brother, Your best friend forever, Making the sigs, the sigs that you like.
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zazzy 4390 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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02-27-08, 08:55 AM (EST)
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12. "RE: Top 10 Boys" |
Thought it was interesting to look at last season's Dial Idol data:Last seasons top 10 guys Dial Idol scores: 1-6 Sundance Head 1-8 (B3) Sanjaya Malakar 1-10 (B3) Chris Sligh 1-10 (B3) Blake Lewis 1-10 (B3) Phil Stacey 1-10 (B3) Jared Cotter 2-10 (B3) AJ Tabaldo 2-10 (B3) Chris Richardson 3-10 (B3) Nicholas Pedro 3-10 (B3) Brandon Rogers But here are their raw numbers rankings:
Blake Lewis Chris Sligh Phil Stacey Sundance Head Chris Richardson Brandon Rogers Nicholas Pedro AJ Tabaldo Jared Cotter Sanjaya Malakar Last seasons top ten girls Dial Idol ranking:
1-3 Melinda Doolittle 1-6 Lakisha Jones 1-10 (B3) Antonella Barba 2-10 (B3) Jordin Sparks 2-10 (B3) Alaina Alexander 2-10 (B3) Sabrina Sloan 3-10 (B3) Haley Scarnato 3-10 (B3) Leslie Hunt 3-10 (B3) Stephanie Edwards 3-10 (B3) Gina Glocksen ---------------- Last season's top 12 guys: 1-4 Sundance Head 1-10 Sanjaya Malakar 1-10 Chris Richardson 1-12 AJ Tabaldo 2-12 Blake Lewis 2-12 Phil Stacey 2-12 Brandon Rogers 2-12 Chris Sligh 2-12 Rudy Cardenas 2-12 Jared Cotter 4-12 Paul Kim 4-12 Nick Pedro
Last season's top 12 girls:
1 Lakisha Jones 2-5 Antonella Barba 2-10 Melinda Doolittle 2-11 Jordin Sparks 2-11 Stephanie Edwards 3-11 Haley Scarnato 3-12 Nicole Tranquillo 3-12 Leslie Hunt 3-12 Gina Glocksen 3-12 Sabrina Sloan 4-12 Amy Krebs 7-12 Alaina Alexander
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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02-28-08, 06:34 AM (EST)
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13. "Top 10 girls" |
Well once again it is basically pretty even among the girls.5.28 Amanda Overmyer 4.97 Brooke White 4.68 Kristie Lee Cook 4.08 Carly Smithson 3.48 Asia'h Epperson. 3.46 Alexandrea Lushington 3.13 Ramiele Malubay 2.55 Syesha Mercado 2.11 Kady Malloy 1.31 Alania Whitaker Apparently the "fear of vote off" scare for Amanda last week added to VFTW may have saved her, but the DI results say all girls are at risk.
By States Won, Again the support among the girls is really spread out where for the boys there is a clear favorite. 6 Carly Smithson 4 Asia'h Epperson. 4 Amanda Overmyer 4 Alania Whitaker 3 Ramiele Malubay 3 Brooke White 3 Kady Malloy 3 Alexandrea Lushington 2 Kristie Lee Cook 1 Syesha Mercado 1 Tie 16 No Score Vote Fair (I think the voting for this is open before the performances)
1 Ramiele Malubay 2 Syesha Mercado 3 Asia'h Epperson. 4 Brooke White 5 Carly Smithson 6 Alania Whitaker 7 Kady Malloy 8 Amanda Overmyer 9 Alexandrea Lushington 10 Kristie Lee Cook
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xwraith27 1136 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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02-28-08, 08:43 AM (EST)
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14. "RE: Top 10 girls" |
VoteFair normally shows their updated results right before or right after the results show, but they make their predictions from previous data. This week, they're predicting that David A., Jason C., and Michael Johns are safe for the guys, and that two from Amanda, Kady, Alexandrea, and Kristy will be the ones to go.
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-05-08, 06:26 AM (EST)
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16. "Top 8 Boys" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-06-08 AT 06:57 AM (EST)Dial Idol 12.79 David Archuleta safe 7.65 Jason Castro 6.98 David Cook 6.95 Danny Noriega 5.37 Chikezie 5.36 Michael Johns 4.14 David Hernandez 2.39 Luke Menard States Won 26 David Archuleta 4 David Cook 4 David Hernandez 3 Chikezie 3 Jason Castro 2 Danny Noriega 1 Michael Johns 0 Luke Menard 0 Tie 7 No Score 50 Total VoteFair
1 David Archuleta 2 Michael Johns 3 Jason Castro 4 David Hernandez 5 David Cook 6 Chikezie 7 Danny Noriega 8 Luke Menard Looks like Luke is in real trouble this week. Zaba Search Chikeze and Luke got the fewest text and phone votes after the March 4 performance show. American Idol Voting Results News Flash!!! David Archuleta got almost as many phone and text votes after the Feb 26 performance show as all the other contestants combined. He is by far the most popular contestant this early in the competition in the history of American Idol.
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-06-08, 06:55 AM (EST)
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17. "Top 8 Girls" |
LAST EDITED ON 03-06-08 AT 12:11 PM (EST)Dial Idol Score-Too Close to Call, no one listed as safe 6.02 Carly Smithson 5.53 Amanda Overmyer 5.45 Brooke White 5.4 Kristie Lee Cook 5.13 Asia'h Epperson. 4.94 Ramiele Malubay 4.9 Syesha Mercado 3.36 Kady Malloy Dial Idol By States 9 Syesha Mercado 6 Brooke White 6 Ramiele Malubay 5 Amanda Overmyer 4 Carly Smithson 3 Asia'h Epperson. 2 Kady Malloy 2 Kristie Lee Cook 0 Tie 13 No Score 50 Total Vote Fair 1 Ramiele Malubay 2 Brooke White 3 Carly Smithson 4 Syesha Mercado 5 Asia'h Epperson. 6 Kristie Lee Cook 7 Kady Malloy 8 Amanda Overmyer ETA Zaba info for the girls Ramiele Malubay and Amanda Overmyer received the most phone and text votes after the March 5 performance show.
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xwraith27 1136 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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03-06-08, 10:48 PM (EST)
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18. "VoteFair Rankings, Week 3" |
Rank | Girls | Guys |
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First most-popular | Ramiele Malubay | David Archuleta | Second most-popular | Brooke White | Michael Johns | Third most-popular | Carly Smithson | Jason Castro | Fourth most-popular | Syesha Mercado | David Hernandez | Fifth most-popular | Asia'h Epperson | David Cook | Sixth most-popular | Kristy Lee Cook | Chikezie Eze | Seventh most-popular | Kady Malloy | Danny Noriega | Eighth most-popular | Amanda Overmyer | Luke Menard |
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-12-08, 05:52 AM (EST)
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19. "Top 12 Rankings" |
Dial Idol Score 16.12 David Archuleta -safe solid #1 6.71 Brooke White 5.94 Chikezie 5.35 Carly Smithson 5.19 Amanda Overmyer 5.05 David Cook 4.91 Kristie Lee Cook 4.72 Jason Castro 4.45 Michael Johns 3.38 Ramiele Malubay 3.11 David Hernandez 2.82 Syesha MercadoEveryone else is 2-12 By State States Won 28 David Archuleta 3 Jason Castro 2 Brooke White 2 Carly Smithson 2 David Cook 2 Kristie Lee Cook 2 Michael Johns 1 Amanda Overmyer 1 Chikezie 1 Ramiele Malubay 0 David Hernandez 0 Syesha Mercado 0 Tie 6 No Score 50 Total Votefair still has the rankings separated by Boys and Girls this morning, maybe they'll have something better up later.
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-12-08, 06:58 PM (EST)
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20. "Zabasearch prediction" |
David Hernandez and Kristy Lee Cooke received the fewest phone and text votes after the March 11 performance show.
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zazzy 4390 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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03-17-08, 08:50 AM (EST)
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22. "RE: Top 12 Rankings" |
I am wondering if they (producers) are trying to turn Kristy Lee into the Sanjaya/Kellie Pickler of the season. Sanj and Kellie lasted till the middle of the pack, 7th and 6th, respectively. Given the talent this year she may not last as long...but I am starting to think that she'll make the tour, outlast a couple of others, etc. Partly depends on her performance this week, of course, and she could easily rebound from last week's flop. Any judge's comment that it was better or much better than week will go a long way.
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-19-08, 05:50 AM (EST)
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23. "Top 11 Rankings." |
Dial idol predictionsDavid A. Safe, rest ranked 2-11 13.19 David Archuleta 6.84 Syesha Mercado 5.76 David Cook 5.34 Brooke White 5.18 Jason Castro 5.16 Carly Smithson 5.1 Michael Johns 4.83 Ramiele Malubay 4.68 Chikezie 3.66 Amanda Overmyer 3.44 Kristie Lee Cook Dial Idol by state States Won 22 David Archuleta 4 Jason Castro 3 Carly Smithson 2 Amanda Overmyer 2 Michael Johns 2 Ramiele Malubay 2 Syesha Mercado 1 Chikezie 1 David Cook 1 Kristie Lee Cook 0 Brooke White 1 Tie 9 No Score 50 Total Vote Fair
1 David Archuleta 2 Brooke White 3 David Cook 4 Carly Smithson 5 Michael Johns 6 Jason Castro 7 Ramiele Malubay 8 Chikezie 9 Syesha Mercado 10 Amanda Overmyer 11 Kristie Lee Cook
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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03-26-08, 05:26 AM (EST)
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24. "Top 10 Rankings" |
Dial Idol ScoreScore...Name__________Likely Position 16.69...David Cook________1 10.29...David Archuleta___2-3 7.95....Carly Smithson____2-5 6.41....Michael Johns_____3-10 6.25....Kristie Lee Cook__3-10 4.917...Brooke White______4-10 4.916...Syesha Mercado____4-10 4.913...Ramiele Malubay___4-10 4.08....Jason Castro______4-10 3.57....Chikezie__________4-10 Dial Idol by States Won States Won 22 David Cook 11 David Archuleta 3 Carly Smithson 2 Syesha Mercado 2 Ramiele Malubay 2 Brooke White 1 Michael Johns 1 Kristie Lee Cook 1 Jason Castro 0 Chikezie 0 Tie 5 No Score 50 Total
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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04-02-08, 05:41 AM (EST)
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28. "Top 9" |
Dial Idol Score 11.28 David Archuleta 1 6.78 Michael Johns 2-8 6.62 David Cook 2-8 5.79 Syesha Mercado 2-8 5.21 Brooke White 2-9 5.07 Carly Smithson 2-9 4.96 Kristie Lee Cook 2-9 4.82 Jason Castro 2-9 2.82 Ramiele Malubay 5-9Wins by states 18 David Archuleta 7 Syesha Mercado 5 Brooke White 5 David Cook 4 Jason Castro 2 Carly Smithson 1 Ramiele Malubay 0 Michael Johns 0 Kristie Lee Cook 1 Tie 7 No Score 50 Total Vote Fair 1 David Archuleta 2 David Cook 3 Brooke White 4 Michael Johns 5 Carly Smithson 6 Jason Castro 7 Syesha Mercado 8 Ramiele Malubay 9 Kristie Lee Cook
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zazzy 4390 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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04-02-08, 11:16 AM (EST)
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29. "RE: Top 9" |
Zabasearch says: "Syesha, Kristy and Ramiele received the fewest text and phone votes after the April 1 performance show. David and David received the most. "
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zazzy 4390 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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04-09-08, 12:34 PM (EST)
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31. "RE: Top 8" |
Zabasearch boidly says:"Carly, Brooke and Syesha received the fewest text and phone votes after the April 8 performance show, but no one will be sent home this week. David Archuleta received the most votes. " That is in direct constrast to what Simon said on the Larry King show--that someone would get booted this week.
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zazzy 4390 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Jerry Springer Show Guest"
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04-10-08, 05:29 PM (EST)
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38. "RE: Top 8" |
Yes! Sorry!
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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04-10-08, 10:15 PM (EST)
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42. "RE: Top 8--TIVO spoilers" |
Zaba is pretty unreliable, they've been known to change their prediction to the right answer the morning after the elimination episode.
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xwraith27 1136 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Politically Incorrect Guest"
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04-16-08, 11:03 PM (EST)
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44. "VoteFair's Top 7" |
1. David Archuleta 2. David Cook 3. Jason Castro 4. Brooke White 5. Carly Smithson 6. Syesha Mercado 7. Kristy Lee Cook
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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04-30-08, 06:36 AM (EST)
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45. "Top 5" |
Dial Idol Rankings 15.08 Syesha Mercado (1-2) 14.14 David Cook (1-2) 9.42 David Archuleta (3-5) 8.08 Jason Castro (3-5) 7.39 Brooke White (3-5)Dial Idol GeoPredictions States Won...Name...States Lost 15 David Cook -1 11 Syesha Mercado -3 8 Brooke White -13 6 David Archuleta -8 5 Jason Castro -13 0 Tie -7 5 No Score -5 50 Total -50
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-14-08, 06:15 AM (EST)
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47. "Top 3" |
Dial Idol32.65 David Cook (First) 22.07 David Archuleta (Second) 15.81 Syesha Mercado (Third) Vote Fair is Archuleta Cook Syesha they have the "traditional" count saying Archuleta is on top, but Cook's been winning Dial Idol so I don't know what they consider "traditional". Dial Idol Geo Predictions Win....Idol....Lost 35 David Cook -4 6 David Archuleta -6 4 Syesha Mercado -32 0 Tie -3 5 No Score -5 50 Total -50
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Snidget 44369 desperate attention whore postings DAW Level: "Playboy Centerfold"
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05-21-08, 05:49 AM (EST)
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48. "Top 2" |
40.93 David Cook 29.37 David ArchuletaCook solidly first, Archuleta solidly in second. States Won 40 David Cook 9 David Archuleta 0 Tie 1 No Score 50 Total Vote Fair says the traditional vote totals is reversed of Dial Idol by about the same margin Dial Idol has. I have no idea what they use as the "traditional" but they never caught the reversal when Cook started winning the Dial Idol most weeks. Their rankings have David Archuleta winning by about 99% to 1% liking Cook. In the past VoteFair seemed to be pretty good at predicting, but this year seems really tilted to Archuleta every single week.
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p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e - p l a c e h o l d e r t e x t g o e s h e r e -
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