LAST EDITED ON 11-21-11 AT 12:30 PM (EST)

Hello!

I’m far from being a numbers person, so I’ve always found it surprising that, for me, one of the most interesting (and fun) facets of analyzing Survivor from the vantage point of the players’ Sun Signs has been the compilation of the statistics that reveal just how fundamentally – from Casting to Final Tribal Council - their innate behaviors impact their chance at the $1,000,000. For example …

Capricorn (42) are almost twice as likely to be cast as are Libra or Gemini (23).

Yet, over 22 Seasons, 70% of the Libra natives (and 61% of the Gemini) who began the Game have reached the Final 10 and only 52% of its Capricorn have managed the feat. The other members (with Libra and Gemini) of the top tier of Sun Signs during the Tribal portion of Survivor are Taurus, Leo, Aquarius and Cancer.

Joining Capricorn and Scorpio (also at 52%) on the lower rungs of the Kirkhoffer-designed johnboat/puzzle /social ladder during this stage of the Game (but a plank or so above them) are Virgo, Aries and Sagittarius. And, at Final 10, only 47% of the Pisces have a tenuous grip on a million-dollar future.

But by Final 3, the landscape looks a bit different.

At that plateau, the Capricorn, Virgo, Aries and (most notably) Pisces have ascended (as it were) and the industrious Taurus and familial Cancer have been kicked to the proverbial curb by the more goal-driven types who have decided that they are willing to muddle through the rest of the Game without the firewood, fish, back-rubs and pep talks previously provided by their camp’s pro bono social services. There (in the F10 to F3 world) the dislodged and discombobulated have been met at the bottom of the ladder by the day-tripping Sagittarius (most of whom are, by this time, so over the whole intrigue thing) and the highly-insulted and vengeance-prone Scorpio (most of whom are, by this time, really pissed about the whole intrigue thing).

Recap at F10:
Top Tier ~ Libra (70%), Taurus (67%), Leo (64%), Gemini (61%) and Aquarius and Cancer (58%)
Bottom Tier ~ Virgo (54%), Aries and Sagittarius (53%), Capricorn and Scorpio (52%) and Pisces (47%)

Recap at F3:
Top Tier ~ Libra (30%), Virgo (21%), Capricorn and Aries (19%), Leo (18%) and Aquarius and Pisces and Gemini (17%)
Bottom Tier ~ Cancer and Scorpio (15%), Sagittarius (10%) and Taurus (9%)

So, how does all this turn out? Well, S1 thru S22, at F1 the Sun Signs in Survivor look like this:

Leo (Sandra, Amber and Sandra) at 9%, Aquarius (Jenna, Yul and Todd) at 8%, Capricorn (Tina, Tom and Rob) at 7%, Aries (Richard and Earl) and Pisces (Brian and Bob) and Cancer (Danni and JT) at 6%, Virgo (Chris and Parvati) at 5%, Libra (Aras) and Gemini (Fabio) at 4% and Taurus (Natalie) and Scorpio (Ethan) and Sagittarius (Vecepia) at 3%.

So, I've chosen my nominees (below) from two groups whose members - at one time or another in the Game - could sure use a second chance. And, in Scorpio's case, probably a third, fourth and fifth.

In a follow-up, I've posted graphics for Aries, Pisces, Taurus and Sagittarius (I get carried away, you know). So, in case any of you who haven't yet made your choices want to help out the hapless, grab one and fill in the names. Just think, we may produce another Natalie. Or Vecepia. Or Bob. Or Earl.

Oh, the possibilities ...

Thank you, Tribe.

I love watching Cancer men come to the realization that they have made a huge mistake.

Amy was Tina's replacement in Guatemala. But Survivor doesn't typecast, don't you know.