Jerry has the HOH, but who has the POV?

Whether Dan goes or not depends on who wins the POV, assuming Dan and Memphis are on the block.

If Dan wins POV, then he stays.

If Dan stays on the block, then it depends on Renny, since Keesha seems to be on Dan's side (some doubt here, maybe, but II think it's a fair assumption based on his protection of her so far. She seems loyal to him.)

So if Dan is on the block, and has Keesha's vote, then how will Renny vote. If she votes against Dan, there is a tie, and Jerry kicks Dan off. If not, then Memphis leaves.

So, you see, it's not over yet, there is room for Dan to maneuver, and I think he will sway Renny this time, just as he has before. Adding to that would be Renny's stated aversion to Memphis.

One wild card is the possibility that Jerry will put Dan up against Renny. Both Keesha and Memphis would be hard to predict in that case, but both should realize that being next to Dan would be their best case scenario.

If Dan makes it thru this week, then next week Jerry goes (I don't think he can compete for the next HOH) leaving Dan, Keesha and Memphis. Since neither Dan nor Keesha can compete against Memphis (I think) at F2, there would be two of the three trying to get Memphis out, leaving Keesha and Dan at the end.

And Dan winning. Maybe. I'm beginning to lean toward Keesha if it played out like this, but getting to F2 is half the game, and leaves open the possibility that Dan could take it all.