Welcome back everyone! The past few months have flown by but it's finally time for White Rice Wednesday!!

Survivor Time to Vote
ADVISORY: Vote threads are open to all who wish to participate and cast their votes, spoilers and non-spoilers alike. The posts initiating these threads contain no spoiler information other than perhaps referencing what has been revealed in TV promos for the upcoming episode. Non-spoilers, be advised that spoilers may include information in their posts here which you may not wish to read. Spoilers, please do not include spoiler information for future episodes, stick to the episode in question. Thank you.

******************** The DAWS********************

Cast your vote for the Survivor you think is going home tonight:

Mana
Aubry
Caleb
Ciera
Hali
Malcolm
Michaela
Sandra
Tony
Troyzan
Varner

Nuku
Andrea
Brad
Cirie
Debbie
JT
Ozzy
Sarah
Sierra
Tai
Zeke

********************The Rules********************

1. Put the name of your choice for this week's boot in the subject heading.

This is easy, just erase the bit in the subject heading where it says "Re: SurvivorBlowsTribe, Time to Vote..." and replace with your vote, "pick a name." Or, if you think this will be a two-boot episode: "name picked & pick a name 2." It doesn't matter which order you put them in unless it matters to you.
This makes it easier to tally votes quickly and accurately. Nicknames are tougher to tally unless they are really obvious without actually reading your post. Other things you want to vote on ("challenge winner, HII details, twists, any nonsense you have noted from the previous episode") should go in your post not in your subject line.

2. Reply only to this post. But to change your vote do reply to your own vote post.

Your new heading should read, for example, "VOTE CHANGE: pick a name 3" Or perhaps "VOTE CHANGE: pick a name 3 & pick a name 4" if you think it will be a two-boot episode.

3. This is not a discussion thread, it's not, do not treat it as such.

There are plenty of places here to debate the merits of people's arguments, have discussions, have civil and polite disagreements: this is a vote thread. But please feel free to discuss your vote(s) in your own post; we are really interested in what you have to say.

4. No graphics.

Unless they are pertinent to something in this episode. Siggies allowed.

5. Play Fair, Be Nice and Have Phun

• Ciera; Debbie,michel2, 07:31 PM, 03-06-17
• Ciera and Tony,PepeLePew13, 08:19 PM, 03-07-17
• Ciera and ... And ...,tribephyl, 04:07 AM, 03-08-17
• Sandra and ciera,kingfish, 01:53 PM, 03-08-17
• 1st boot: Ciera | 2nd boot: Andr...wait...TONY,coldbrewer, 02:33 PM, 03-08-17
• 1st: Ciera | 2nd: Cirie,Sheldor, 06:50 PM, 03-08-17
• 1st: Ciera, 2nd: Tony,CTgirl, 08:00 PM, 03-08-17

Those would be my votes and Tribe couldn't spot them in future vidcaps so I'll go with these two.

LAST EDITED ON 03-07-17 AT 08:25 PM (EST)

Based on vidcap evidence and spec out there, there is a strong suggestion that Ciera is the first victim. She makes sense as a first boot because she's proven to be so untrustworthy and will flip faster than you could say "Outwit, outplay and outlast."

The second boot is pretty well hidden and vidcaps seem to suggest that there are about 13 or so that have been seen beyond the first two episodes, which leaves the following as the most likely second boots:

Zeke
Varner
Hali
Debbie
Tony

Zeke gives me a very, very strong vibe of being a potential end-game player, so I'm going to scratch him off as a boot candidate right off the bat.

The others, well, none strike me as potential end-game players and I'm basing my Tony pick on all the chatter from Sandra about wanting to show who's the boss and they're on the same Mana tribe. It's easy to see how any of Varner, Debbie or Hali could be the second boot, but I just feel that the head-butting and showing-who's-da-boss gamemanship will take over and Sandra will twist some arms to get Tony out (they're the only two winners on their tribe).

Go ahead and prove me wrong, CBS.

Edit: I'm also rather leery of trusting any vidcaps or speculation out there - with it being a de facto all-star season, I wouldn't be surprised to see some editing hijinks this time around.

Formulating answers as I type.
Immunity Challenge #1 ends in a wheel being used to raise a flag.
The closest ones, according to vidcaps, are Nuku.

Timing would suggest that they actually raise victorious for Tribal Immunity #1.

From there we have to deduce...

The only missing Mana, from Tribal Immunity #2, is Ciera.

Tribal Council #1 Bootee: Ciera

And considering the closest to the end tribe for Tribal Immunity #2...

...is Malcolm (and therefore the rest of Mana)...


I'm of the mind to believe that Nuku goes to Tribal Council in the second hour.

And including further future deducing hints...

The "remaining" Nuku would have to include...
Brad, Tai, Ozzy and Sarah.

That leaves...
Andrea, Cirie, Debbie, JT, Sierra and Zeke as the Tribal Council #2 bootee.

From those 5 and solely because of pre-conceived (perhaps, ill-conceived) notions...

I see it more as Andrea, Cirie and JT being in the most danger.

Finally... considering that Ciera is the first boot from Mana, I'm leaning towards Andrea being the first boot from Nuku.

Tribal Council #2 Bootee: Andrea

May I always be more Wrong than Right.

LAST EDITED ON 03-08-17 AT 03:23 PM (EST)

Sandra because is a two time champ, they would be insane to not focus on her, and Ciera because I don't like her.

x

Two weaker women in challenges whose names look alike.
Removes the look alike names and leaves only 1 Sierra.

Makes things easier for us!

Vidcap spoiling for Ciera and because I'd love to see both of these guys go home tonight!