In the season preview he says... "You just lost a member."
Nothing denoting tribe.

GREAT post tribephyl!!

Last 18 player season with a quitter

S25: Philippines | Ep.5
"Got My Swag Back"
As conditions worsen at camp, one castaway is faced with a game-changing decision
Dana complains of stomach pain and despite being allowed to continue playing, she quits.

Dana quit *and* Dawson was voted out in Episode 5.

So it is possible that we could have both a quit and and vote off in Episode 7 and a 8 person Jury / Final 3 as in Philippines.

Keith votes his son out? Could that be it? He was shown talking about getting back together with Wes at the merge. Forshadowing?

The ultimate sin could be Julie.

Yes, Julie will be the one that commits the ultimate sin, at least that is what the latest promo infers. I just want to point out that historically misdirection promos are placed after the episode airs, and perhaps early in the week cycle, then as the week progresses, the later promos often lead us in the right direction. So, earlier in the week we had Jeremy vs. Josh, now we are getting the Julie suspicion...

Question is, with an impending quitter (spec: Julie), will they hold a TC as well which gives us a double eviction? Or, will they say, no TC tonight?

"...will they hold a TC as well which gives us a double eviction? Or, will they say, no TC tonight?"

Being cynical, I think it will depend on who is up for elimination. If someone that production likes is about to go, they'd say no TC. If it's a lesser player then they'll go ahead.

Well, since it is all about Jeremy vs Josh....what then? I'd say they wait, no TC.
If Josh wins immunity, and it appears to be Reed, will they wait or not? Most likely not, and TC continues?

If they do have 2 boots this episode, will it effect the end game, an F2/F3?

With this format, I think they'll have to make it a F3 (another reason why I hate this twist). What interest would there be if Jon and Jaclyn or any other pair of Loved Ones face off in the end? A Romber repeat would be hard to stomach even if SeeBS loves its Soaps!

Right now, with one elimination per episode, they are right on track to start episode 14 with 5 players, leaving them with the prefered 2 IC and 3 TC format for the finale. We've seen Finales with only 1 IC and 2 TC though. They show us a meanigless reward challenge to fill time.

That means they could still have two eliminations this week but then they'd have to really cross their fingers that no one else quits or gets injured in the next 6 episodes. So maybe the math will cure me of my cynicism and force me to say that it will be too early for a double boot no matter who is on the block.

What a tortuous way to answer a simple question!!!

Thanks for doing the math Michel!

I think if you pair the probable quit with next week's title, "wrinkle in the plan," that there is no TC this week. They weren't able to vote out their target and now the survivors have to go through another IC to see if their boot choice (Jeremy or Josh) has immunity or not.

Heh about the math.

Taking another look in a visual way, using the numbers in your post:

Ep07 - 12 left at start to 10 left (if boot + quit)
Ep08 - 10 to 9
Ep09 - 9 to 8
Ep10 - 8 to 7
Ep11 - 7 to 6
Ep12 - 6 to 5
Ep13 - 5 to 4
Ep14 - Final 4

Certainly looks like there would be a time-filler (i.e. meaningless reward challenge and/or Fallen Comrades) and a final 3 with a jury of 8 (I'd believe that over a F2 with a jury of 9). All are numbers that we've seen in past seasons, so nothing particularly unusual.

Now that the Finale has been announced for Wed Dec 17th we know there are ONLY 13 episodes this season (same as Cagayan which also had 18 players).

Ep07 - 12 left at start to 10 left (if boot + quit)
Ep08 - 10 to 9
Ep09 - 9 to 8
Ep10 - 8 to 7
Ep11 - 7 to 6
Ep12 - 6 to 5
Ep13 - 5 to 4, 4 to 3, Final 3

I would guess quitter is NOT allowed to be on the Jury
Final 3 and Jury of 8

Thanks for clearing up the schedule... so there's definitely going to be an episode with two people leaving at some point, whether it's a quit + boot or a double boot.

Same amount of episodes if you count the 2 hour premiere of Cagayan as 1 episode that consisted of 2 TCs.

Outsider wrote: "Same amount of episodes if you count the 2 hour premiere of Cagayan as 1 episode that consisted of 2 TCs"

Right. Both S28 Cagayan and S29 San Juan del Sur are 18 player seasons with 13 Episodes and NO Redemption Island to mess with the vote offs / eliminations.

S28 Cagayan had 2 Double Elimination Episodes (Ep01 and Ep05) hence Ep13 Finale was a Final2.

S29 San Juan del Sur needs One Double Elimination Episode to have a Final3 and TWO Double Elimination Episodes to have a Final2.

Comparisons of S28 and S29 Episodes and Eliminations:

Wed 02/26/14 S28E01 18->16 David/Garrett
Wed 03/05/14 S28E02 16->15 Brice
Wed 03/12/14 S28E03 15->14 J'Tia
Wed 03/19/14 S28E04 14->13 Cliff
Wed 03/26/14 S28E05 13->11 Lindsey(Quit)/Alexis
Wed 04/02/14 S28E06 11->10 Sarah
Wed 04/09/14 S28E07 10->09 Morgan
Wed 04/16/14 S28E08 09->08 LJ
Wed 04/23/14 S28E09 08->07 Jeremiah
Wed 04/30/14 S28E10 07->06 Jefra
Wed 05/07/14 S28E11 06->05 Tasha
Wed 05/14/14 S28E12 05->04 Trish
Wed 05/21/14 S28E13 04->02 Spencer/Kass; Final2 = Woo/Tony

Wed 09/24/14 S29E01 18->17 Nadiya
Wed 10/01/14 S29E02 17->16 Val
Wed 10/08/14 S29E03 16->15 John
Wed 10/15/14 S29E04 15->14 Drew
Wed 10/22/14 S29E05 14->13 Kelley
Wed 10/29/14 S29E06 13->12 Dale
Wed 11/05/14 S29E07 12->10 ???/???
Wed 11/12/14 S29E08 10->09 ???
Wed 11/19/14 S29E09 09->08 ???
Wed 11/26/14 S29E10 08->07 ???
Wed 12/03/14 S29E11 07->06 ???
Wed 12/10/14 S29E12 06->05 ???
Wed 12/17/14 S29E13 05->03 ???/???; Final3 = ???/???/???

Jeremy from 'Survivor' feels bad for what he did to John Rocker (Plus: exclusive merge photo)
By Dalton Ross on Nov 3, 2014 at 9:00AM

http://insidetv.ew.com/2014/11/03/survivor-san-juan-del-sur-merge-jeremy-photo/?ew_packageID=20354695

It’s merge time on Survivor: San Juan del Sur this Wednesday night, and we’ve got your first exclusive look at said merge right here. Check out how happy everyone appears to be as they engage in the traditional merge feast! (Did Jeff Probst make them trade comfort items for that food?) Of course, we know that happiness will soon fade for many as alliance lines are drawn going into the first pre-merge Tribal Council and one of these players is booted out of the game. But while we peek ahead, let’s also look back at the first half of the season by checking in with one of the contestants for a mid-game chat. We caught up with Jeremy Collins to get his thoughts on the big rice trade, his wife’s bizarre lie, and…an apology to John Rocker?

Do you agree with Probst that the extra rice consumption by your tribe had a direct impact on you guys winning so many challenges?
No, we were a more athletic and smarter tribe across the board. We were just a better tribe…bottom line. Coyopa is cursed.

If it had been solely up to you, would you really not have made that deal giving up all your comfort items for the extra rice?
If it was up to me we would have sucked it up for the night and ate our reward the following day. We knew the merge feast was soon. I had no problem stretching out the rice and beans for a few days. We wouldn’t starve to death.

Making it to the merge is a big milestone for any player. What were you thoughts at this point about making it this far in the game?
I expect to make the merge. Not to sound conceited or full of myself, but I did. It is a big part of the game and a nice accomplishment, but I prepared for this game for a long time…I expected to make the merge.

You’ve watched a lot of Survivor, Jeremy. I’m not trying to get you in trouble or anything at home, but how bad a move was that by your wife to lie and say she had two idols? Did you cringe when you watched that?
You are trying to get me in trouble. But I think Val felt like her back was against the wall and she made a big move. She wasn’t going down without a fight. It’s not like people didn’t believe her either. When you are in the game, you are paranoid but feel like anything is possible and bluffing that you have 2 Idols is crazy, but we just came off a season where Tony had 3 and one was magical. Maybe she should’ve said she had 1 but it was the Tyler Perry idol. I don’t cringe…I’m proud of Val.

When you are out there playing you only see the game through your own eyes, but now watching it back on TV you see everything else going on. What’s been the biggest revelation so far watching everything play out?
My biggest revelation???? I don’t know, I had a good sense of most that was going on. You know what? I take that back: John Rocker. I do feel bad about how I threw him under the bus and he genuinely tried to help Val. I wish he did a better job at it, but he kept his word and you gotta respect that.

What’s been the best and worst thing about watching yourself on TV?
This whole experience is the best…I love it all. I’ve loved this game for a long time and I love watching everything unfold. I’m not liking that I look like I’ve been homeless for 5 years, but I guess I gotta take the bad with the good.