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"Soozin goes next week (a prediction, not a spoiler)"

Posted by GangGreen on 08-11-00 at 09:13 AM
If I were one of the five people left on that island right now I'd be most interested in getting to the final two -- $100,000 (pre-tax) isn't bad -- except for Sean who could have kept his job and made more.

To be one of the last two you have to: (1) align with and truly trust one other person and (2) get rid of anyone early who might vote against you. Based on that I think that the true alliance must be Richard-Rudy or Richard-Sean (Sean's taking Ricky on the yacht might be a sign that they're aligned and he didn't trust him left with the others). I don't think that either Soozin or the Kelster is in any alliance that will last. So...thinking that Richard is still controlling the voting I think that he'll vote Sooz off next week with the help of both Rudy and Dr. Doofus. This is because Sue is most likely to turn against Rich, and Kelly will probably continue to vote against Sean so she's not a threat.

After that it could go any way. Maybe Rich and Rudy use Kelly's vote to get Sean off because he's a threat, or maybe Rich, Rudy and Sean decide to rub out Kelly. After that it's totally up in the air because whoever of the final three wins an immunity challenge (providing there is an immunity challenge at that point) will decide who goes (assuming the other two vote against each other). It will come down to whichever person the immunity winner thinks he can beat for the million.

I've also said (and I'm repeating it) that I think Richard could win a jury vote. We only see about 46 minutes out of every 72 hours. We could be seeing every arrogant and obnoxious comment Rich makes without seeing him doing and saying nice stuff. We also might be missing more homophobic, sexist and racist comments from Rudy. What I'm saying is that, based upon the editing we seen on TV, we have no idea what these people really think of each other (okay so we know that Greg and Gervase hate Susan, but she's out next week anyway if I'm right).

Remember you heard it here first: Soozin goes next week. The End of the Alliance.


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Messages in this discussion
"RE: Soozin goes next week (a prediction, not a spoiler)"
Posted by Superman on 08-11-00 at 09:26 AM
>(1) align with and truly trust one other person
I know it could be misleading but did you see the preview with sean talking about how untrustworthy everyone left is

>(Sean's taking Ricky on the yacht might be a sign that they're aligned and he didn't trust him left with the others).
Rich was talking about voting for Sean during th immunity challange. He said that he would be the next choice if Kelly won immunity. I think they changed to Colleen after they realized she would be anyone hands down in a vote from a Pagong ridden jury.

>Soozin goes next week.
I'm not convinced

>The End of the Alliance.
I'm with you on this one


"RE: Soozin goes next week (a prediction, not a spoiler)"
Posted by GangGreen on 08-11-00 at 10:55 AM
>Rich was talking about voting for
>Sean during th immunity challange.
>He said that he would
>be the next choice if
>Kelly won immunity. I think
>they changed to Colleen after
>they realized she would be
>anyone hands down in a
>vote from a Pagong ridden
>jury.
>
I think that whenever Dicque talks that openly in front of the camera he can't be trusted. Of the 5 left he seems to be most aware that he's got an audience and is putting on a show. So I'm not convinced that he ever intended to vote for Sean. I still think Susan will go -- unless she wins immunity, but she hasn't won anything yet. The final 3 will be Rich/Rudy/Sean or Rich/Rudy/Kelly.

"RE: Soozin goes next week (a prediction, not a spoiler)"
Posted by GangGreen on 08-11-00 at 11:07 AM
>Rich was talking about voting for
>Sean during th immunity challange.
>He said that he would
>be the next choice if
>Kelly won immunity. I think
>they changed to Colleen after
>they realized she would be
>anyone hands down in a
>vote from a Pagong ridden
>jury.
>
I think that whenever Dicque talks that openly in front of the camera he can't be trusted. Of the 5 left he seems to be most aware that he's got an audience and is putting on a show. So I'm not convinced that he ever intended to vote for Sean. I still think Susan will go -- unless she wins immunity, but she hasn't won anything yet. The final 3 will be Rich/Rudy/Sean or Rich/Rudy/Kelly.

"Things to consider.."
Posted by BadAs on 08-11-00 at 09:59 AM
You raise some interesting points. At this stage of the game there are 5 left. we still don't know 100% if there are immunity left in the final 4 vote. One article says that from final 4 there will be 3 IC (which includes the Jury vote) and 2 immunity. One article says that from the final 4 losers of challenges will determine who is Booted. Without knowing the rules it's hard to speculate how the end game will play out and what the thoughts of the TA are in regards to the end game.

That being said, either way immunity plays a big part of the next 2 episodes. The consensious is to still remove those who pose a threat to win immunity throught the end. We know that next weeks immunity is a Blair Witch Parody (thanks ferretkiss)which could involve both athletic ability and brain power. But are not aware of the last (few) immunity challenges.

Richard still appears to control the TA and voting. Will he vote off people that pose a threat to winning immunity? (kelly/Sean) Will Richard want to keep those who are looked upon in a negative light in the eyes of the Pagoinggoinggone Jury to meet him in the final 2? (Sean/Kelly/Sue).

susan being booted this week i think is possibility, but the slim photo evidence of SKA (susan Kelly argument) Eating rice Late both have Susan in a hand cast. It appears Susan hurt her index finger. These photo's are either next week E12 or E13 and no way so far to date them.

As always this weeks Immunity winner inthe Blair witch parody will determine the next victim, not any speculation of end game theories!! sorry for the long thread... GO Rudy!!


"RE: Soozin goes next week (a prediction, not a spoiler)"
Posted by dfox on 08-11-00 at 11:39 AM
"Remember you heard it here first: Soozin goes next week. " - I don't think so. Check my post last night: http://survivorblows.comiccrawler.com/boards/DCForumID2/75.html#


"The End of the Alliance" - Duh! Since there are 3 overt, 1 covert and one "wishy-washy" members of the alliance left on the island, this was a big stretch wasn't it?


"Teams"
Posted by AyatollahKhomeini on 08-11-00 at 12:00 PM
Sheer speculation on my part: I think Dicque believes that he has built a team and has lost sight of the game dynamics. Dicque kept his "team" focused on eliminating the Pagong, but now that they are all gone, the team has little reason to stick together.

I also can't see Kelly, who was so willing to incur Dicque's wrath by not voting for her friends to get the boot, tattling to Dicque about Sue. But I can see Dicque being extremely worried about being in a vote against Kelly for that same reason and wanting to target her ahead of Sean, which I don't think Susan would agree to do.


"RE: Teams"
Posted by dfox on 08-11-00 at 01:29 PM
> I also can't see Kelly, who was so willing to
> incur Dicque's wrath by not voting for her
> friends to get the boot, tattling to Dicque
> about Sue.

OK. Tattling may have been the wrong word. "Letting it slip" might be better. Maybe Kelly tells Sean that her and Susan are targeting Rich. Sean tells Rudy that Kelly and Susan are taking Rich down and then Rudy tells Rich that "if anyone stabbed me in the back...". I think that this is the more probable scenario.


> But I can see Dicque being extremely worried
> about being in a vote against Kelly for that
> same reason and wanting to target her ahead of
> Sean, which I don't think Susan would agree to
> do.

Wait a minute. Were you observing Ramadan last week. The episode that I watched clearly showed Susan willing to vote for Kelly ahead of Sean. I think that you are also forgetting about the catfight.



"RE: Teams"
Posted by AyatollahKhomeini on 08-11-00 at 05:31 PM
> The episode that I
>watched clearly showed Susan willing
>to vote for Kelly ahead
>of Sean. I think
>that you are also forgetting
>about the catfight.

You could be right, but...
Kelly wanted to hang around with Colleen instead of poor lonely Susan. Now Colleen's gone, so Kelly's back. All is forgiven.