LAST EDITED ON 05-08-12 AT 09:44 AM (EST)

ADVISORY: Vote threads are open to all who wish to participate and cast their votes, spoilers and non-spoilers alike. The posts initiating these threads contain no spoiler information other than perhaps referencing what has been revealed in TV promos for the upcoming episode. Non-spoilers, be advised that spoilers may include information in their posts here which you may not wish to read. Spoilers, please do not include spoiler information for future episodes, stick to the episode in question.

The DAWS

Tikiano (black) Tribe

Alicia Ross (Salani, Manono2)
Chelsea Meissner (Salani, Salani2)
Christina Cha (Salani, Manono2)
Greg "Tarzan" Smith (Manono, Manono2)
Kim Spradin (Salani, Salani2)
Sabrina Thompson (Salani, Salani2)

the jury
ep 7. Jonas Otsuji (Manono, Manono2, Tikiano)
ep 8. Michael Jefferson (Manono, Salani2, Tikiano)
ep 9. Jay Byers (Manono, Salani2, Tikiano)
ep 10. Leif Manson (Manono, Manono2, Tikiano)
ep 11. Troy "Troyzan" Robertson (Manono, Salani2, Tikiana)
ep 12. Kat Edorsson (Salani, Salani2, Tikiano)

eliminated
ep 1. Kourtney Moon (Salani) medical evacuation
ep 2. Nina Acosta (Salani)
ep 3. Matt Quinlan (Manono)
ep 4. Bill Posley (Manono)
ep 5. Monica Culpepper (Salani, Manono2)
ep 6. Colton Cumble (Manono, Manono2) medical evacuation

The Rules

1. Put the name of your choice for this week's boot in the subject heading.

This is easy, just erase the bit where it says "Re: SurvivorBlowsTribe, Time to Vote..." and replace with your vote, e.g., "Alicia." Or, if you think this will be a two-boot week: "Alicia and Tarzan." It doesn't matter which order you put them in unless it matters to you.

This makes it easier to tally votes quickly and accurately. Nicknames are tougher to tally unless they are really obvious without actually reading your post. Other things you want to vote on (who wins what challenge, who gets first confessional, if an idol gets played), these should go in your post not in your subject line.

2. Reply only to this post.

We like a nice straight vote thread around here, we are very attitudinal about it, and it's easier that way.

EXCEPTION TO RULE 2! VOTE CHANGES!

2b. But to change your vote reply to your own post.

Your new post heading should read, for example, "VOTE CHANGE: Sabrina." Or perhaps "VOTE CHANGE: Sabrina and Chelsea" if you think it will be a two-boot week.

3. This is not a discussion thread, do not treat it as such.

There are plenty of places on the forum to debate the merits of people's arguments, have discussions, have civil and polite disagreements, this is a vote thread.

But please feel free to discuss your vote(s) in your own post, cast all the extra votes you want, make smug jokes, we're all interested in what you have to say.

4. No graphics!

Well, unless you insist. If you do include a graphic please make it pertinent to something. Thank you.

5. Have fun!

Puzzles puzzles puzzles.

• Sabrina,beaglemaster, 07:23 PM, 05-08-12
• Sabrina,Flowerpower, 09:09 PM, 05-08-12
• Sabrina,Murphy3126, 11:44 PM, 05-08-12
• Sabrina,jasonkola, 00:33 AM, 05-09-12
• HEY SABRINA...,Round Robin, 00:44 AM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,Karchita, 01:48 AM, 05-09-12
• Tarzan,parathor, 09:44 AM, 05-09-12
• Bye-bye, Sabrina!,Belle Book, 09:52 AM, 05-09-12
• Chelsea,SOAR64, 10:33 AM, 05-09-12
• Tarzan,emydi, 11:03 AM, 05-09-12
  • I would agree but...,byoffer, 12:00 PM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,Blind Freddy, 11:50 AM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,byoffer, 12:02 PM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,dabo, 01:13 PM, 05-09-12
• Tarzan,Arnold_Lorax, 04:46 PM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,Corvis, 05:00 PM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,Zeek, 05:05 PM, 05-09-12
• Vote Tally #1,dabo, 05:21 PM, 05-09-12
• Kim,kingfish, 05:29 PM, 05-09-12
• Tarzan,Loree, 06:06 PM, 05-09-12
• Tarzan,michel, 06:09 PM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,Sandtiger33, 06:57 PM, 05-09-12
• Sabrina,OllieKat, 07:48 PM, 05-09-12

For the 3rd time, eventually I'll be right (unless she makes it to F3 of course)

Last week Kim wanted Sabrina, but chose to go along with the majority and vote out Kat. Kim wanted to keep Kat because she was like a goat. Tarzan, Christina, and Alicia are also all goats. So, she wants to keep them around a little longer.

To tell you the truth, I think Kim could even win vs. Chelsea. Sabrina is the tricky one, and I think Kim knows it. If she doesn't win immunity....and we know that Alicia does, I think Sabrina will be toast.

Kim needs alliance of 4 going into this TC, but only 3 coming out for F5. Perfect time for a blindside, but not of Kim's closest ally. Kim deferred changing from Sabrina to Kat until it was cleared with Alicia, Kim's ally & "delusional" goat. Chelsea is an IC threat, but Kim is no slouch at IC & Sabrina is a bigger threat at FTC. Plus, Kim already said it ... "Sabrina 1st"

After reading this weeks teaser about an unlikely alliance betrayal I was thinking Chelsea fit that description much better than Sabrina as we all know Sabrina was a target last week. But I remembered last time I took the CBS clue so literally, I was wrong. So I have switched back to picking Sabrina as the most obvious target this week. I would not be surprised if Chelsea is targeted instead.

...it's time for you to go!

Sure, Kim will eventually want to get rid of Chelsea, but she needs to get rid of Sabrina too. And she will do so while she has the opportunity.

For all the reasons already stated and because Sabrina is just a little too trusting for this game.

Sabrina is too obvious. Plus, F6, you don't blindside here... that's for F5. In a season of "men vs women," the last man standing could/would get the male jury votes. Too risky. Dump him.

(plus if he's calling Kim the "boss lady," that's a probable jury vote for her... might as well use him for a vote than sit next to him and not get his vote...)

"An unlikely betrayal within an alliance puts one castaway on the defense" = likely Sabrina. "Why was I the second boot option?" (she's not dumb, she knows Kat was told to vote for someone...)

"while another tribe member concocts an elaborate story to gain an advantage in the game" = likely Tarzan (he's crazy, and he's into stories, and he's probably the only one left bright enough to actually concoct a story).

Kim didn't get her way last time. She'll get it this time! Sabrina's too much of a threat to Kim's chances of winning, so Sabrina has to go.

This could be a close one with Sabrina being a very close alternate. I am thinking that the vote may go as follows.
Sabrina, Christina, Alicia, and Tarzan vote for Chelsea. Kim and Chelsea vote for Sabrina. Sabrina is clever enough to make it happen. I think that Sabrina and Alicia might even make it to final three.

I'm with parathor on this one. Not another blindside F6.

Furthermore, Kim does not want the 3 misfit alliance to outnumber her/chelsea or her/sabrina at F5. She can switch to the remaining 2 misfits at F5 and F4 to oust Sabrina/Chelsea

The best choice of the 3 misfits to oust is the last male Tarzan who may get some of the male jury votes, whereas Christina and Alicia are more goatish and not likely to get any votes

...I don't think the misfits have showed enough strategy to make Kim/Chelsea worry. I think Alicia still thinks she wins if she can get to the F3 with K/C, so will vote with them. Tarzan and Christina haven't shown any strategy.

My vote (which I will put in a separate post) is for the jury threat Sabrina to go.

Kim and Chelsea cull the herd so that only goats remain for competition.

The only exception would be if Chelsea and Kim decide to go after each other, but I don't hear enough in the advertising for this episode to make me think the deception is that deep.

Alt. Christina for the handshake of death.

Realistically the only member of the alliance who should be at risk this time is Alicia, for being undependable flipfloppy, but she's holding immunity. Two outsiders, Christina and Gregzan, who can swing any way they want, with dwindling numbers that's too many of them, one of them should go as easy pickins.

But Kim wants Sabrina gone, she's gone. With the idol in her pocket, last time to play it F5, she can afford the risk of being outnumbered again at F5.

Emydi and Parathor have the right pick in my opinion. He is going to try his best to get into the F3 but Kim sees through it. F5 is the time for all the fireworks. Should be a great finale.

Yep.

I've been going back and forth between Sabrina or Tarzan as the bootee. Good reasons for either have been posted.

This is vote tally #1, post #18, compiling 16 votes and 1 discussion post.

Sabrina: 12
Greg "Tarzan": 3
Chelsea: 1
all others UTR

Swimming against the tide as I usually do, and voting with my heart.

This is when things get rough since only allies and goats are left. And I would hope that the lower totem pole dwellers and the goats would see that they need to vote off the ringleader now, or it will be too late and their fates will be sealed.

A well designed blindside would have her not playing her HI, and maybe there's some hope for bottom dwellers and goats everywhere.

He acts crazy and puts a target on himself.

Not going by spoilers here, just by what I think would be the best move.

Of course, we know very little so I don't know if it truly is the best move but to keep Tarzan in the game means that Kim has to trust that Alicia doesn't want to go to the end with him. I'd never give anyone that much trust in this game.

If Alicia sees Tarzan as a goat then Kim would be putting herself in a position to win F4 immunity by keeping him. Granted, beating Tarzan, Alicia and Christina isn't that hard but still, Tarzan did beat her once.

Keeping Sabrina and Chelsea here means that one of them makes F4, probably Chelsea. Then 3 people would be playing against her and if she wins Kim can still be in the F3.

If Alicia made it clear that she sees Tarzan as a possible winner ( because of a men's voting block) and I do trust that she is being honest, then I'd eliminate Sabrina.

I'll go with the majority on this one.
The real blindside for F5 would be Chelsea not Sabrina.
The rest are just goats and have no game.

Gotta jump on the bandwagon. Just think the unlikely betrayal clue this week point in her direction - "unlikely" is too mild to indicate Kim/Chels, too weak for Tarzan and Christina, just right for Sab.