Yeah, this list looks good, but Andy seems low risk to me. He has ideas even though they don't always work out. I think the boardroom skills may help him prevail, much like Kwame did last season.

I might put Wes in the high risk category, but I don't have a real strong feeling about that.

Kevin? Why is in this country that we constantly reward people for supposedly coming to the rescue of one bad idea with another bad idea? If the team had just listened to me in the first place and my idea for the tooth people, the team's victory would have been assured from the start. When I'm not in charge there is complete chaos within the ranks. I'm surrounded by idiots.

I think Raj should be on the high or moderate list only because I don't think Donald Trump wants someone who wears a bow tie, carries a cane, and wears red pants as a PM of a major project that bears Trumps name.

Donald says repeatedly that image is everything - Raj does not have the image that Donald is looking for.

Other than switching Wes to High Risk and Andy to Moderate Risk, I agree with your list. I have the same top 3, but my order would show Jen M. to be the winner, with Kelly 2nd, and Kevin 3rd.

djandy
S8 ABC Red Ink Champ, S7 ABPABC Red Ink Champ, CMY FOMO Red Ink Champ

LAST EDITED ON 09-30-04 AT 11:53 AM (EST)

Jen C. was fired this week, so I'm updating the roster. If you read my earlier comment, you'll note that I said she'd get too emeshed in politics. It happened more quickly than I suspected, but it did happen.

here's my new list:
Fired
-----
Rob
Bradford
Stacie J
Jennifer C

High Risk
---------
Ivana
Maria
Andy
Elizabeth

Moderate Risk
-------------
Stacy R
Pamela
Sandy
Chris
John
Wes

Low Risk
--------
Jennifer M
Raj
Kevin
Kelly

Raj, Jen M, Kevin, and Kelly remain in the Low risk bracket. I give extra respect to Kevin for calling the women on their bullsh!t. It won't help him when teams remix, but he wasn't alone in saying this, and the women were more concerned with turning on Elizabeth than getting mad at a guy who disagreed with him.

Another thing that's interesting is that this group tends to hold grudges past tasks. That's totally destroying the women.

Stacy R goes higher on the moderate risk list for her tendency to gossip, but she still doesn't go to high risk because despite her annoyingness, she hasn't caused the group to fail.

Sandy drops out of the low risk bracket because Trump and Carolyn asked for her by name.

Based on the firing of Pamela, I have a new ranking.

here's my new list:
Fired
-----
Rob
Bradford
Stacie J
Jennifer C
Pamela

High Risk
---------
Ivana
Maria
Sandy
Andy
Elizabeth

Moderate Risk
-------------
Stacy R
John
Wes
Chris

Low Risk
--------
Jennifer M
Raj
Kevin
Kelly

My changes are minor this time. I moved Chris to a position above Wes because he was a succesful Project Manager. However, I'm not moving him to the low risk bracket because he still hasn't shown much.

I debated flipping Ivana and Maria around, but I think they'll probably get fired around the same time. Rumors have indicated that Ivana makes it into the top 8, but I'd like to have that verified first. Trump has asked for Ivana by name twice, so she's in the dog house as far as I know.

Sandy is at a higher level of risk now because last week, Trump asked for her in the boardroom and this week, he thought she should have been there as well.

One difficulty in handicapping the apprentice so far is that the men are much stronger as a group than first season. It's harder to differentiate between individual weaknesses.

LAST EDITED ON 10-12-04 AT 11:35 AM (EST)

I believe that Sandy will be one of the next fired. There were 2 tasks in a row: The restaurant and QVC where DT asked why Sandy wasn't there. Carolyn called her out saying that she didn't really do anything (can't remember the exact words).
Her days are numbered.

Id put ivan and elizabeth in moderate risk, Stacy in high risk, Andy and raj in Moderate risk (I think Donald is still fuming over Raj's cane).

It's time for this month's update. This will probably be the last one I do for this season, since the show is almost over.

Based on the firings of the last month, I have a new ranking.
here's my new list:
Fired
-----
Rob
Bradford
Stacie J
Jennifer C
Pamela
John
Elizabeth
Stacy R
Raj
Chris
Maria
Wes

Remaining Candidates (in order of expected firing)
-----
Sandy
Ivana
Andy
Kevin
Jennifer M
Kelly

Note that I've removed the Moderate, High, and Low risk pools. I did that early on to group the candidates so that I could think about them more easily. There are few enough left now that I can make a general prediction

I think I've been pretty much spot on except that Andy and Ivana were able to reverse the course from their beginning experiences. Andy showed that he's an excellent leader and can handle control freaks like Maria, a feat that Wes was incapable of. Ivana hasn't gotten much better, but she has wily survival skills that have kept her in the game even if she's not a good businesswoman.

There will be another double-firing during the interview episode, so the results of it are hard to predict, but I presume that Andy will go down then due to his age, and Kevin, because he shows stress physically, which the executives won't like.

Trying to outguess the apprentice has been something of a great game. I only wish the season would have gone better with more qualified women and better firings from Trump.